Monday, March 10th, 2008:
Democratic Presidential Nomination
Obama 46% - Clinton 44%
The General Election
McCain leads Obama 45% to 44%
Clinton leads McCain 46% to 45%
The General Election remains essentially tied. McCain leads Obama 45% to 44% while Clinton leads McCain 46% to 45% (see recent daily results). Both single-point leads are statistically insignificant. In each match-up, McCain benefits from a significant number of voters who preferred the other candidate in the Democratic Primary. This suggests that if the Democrats can unify their party by fall, McCain could be at a significant disadvantage. On the other hand, McCain could benefit greatly if the Democratic battle spins further out of control.
Rasmussen Markets data on Sunday morning shows that Hillary Clinton is expected to win upcoming contests in Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Kentucky. The former First Lady is very slightly favored in Indiana. Obama is expected to win in Mississippi, North Carolina, Oregon, and Montana.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll