TAWS
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Wed Mar-12-08 11:36 AM
Original message |
Obama only needs 360 more delegates to clinch nomination |
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Edited on Wed Mar-12-08 11:49 AM by TAWS
Currently RCP has him with 1614 delegates, leaving him 410 short of the 2024 needed.
However, the delegate totals from the media do not include the 78 add-on delegates that will be given to the state winner. He will pick up at least 45 add-on delegates once the state conventions start in May and June. There are still some delegates from Colorado that have not been awarded yet, so he should gain about 5 more. This means that he would need 360 more delegates.
There are 566 delegates up for grabs in the remaining contests. If we assume he wins half of these pledged delegates, he will gain 283 and would only need 77 more delegates.
He would just need 77 from the 260 (30%) currently uncommitted superdelegates to win the nomination.
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hedgehog
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Wed Mar-12-08 11:46 AM
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Sorry, I tend to get a little excited.
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RUMMYisFROSTED
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Wed Mar-12-08 11:47 AM
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againes654
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Wed Mar-12-08 12:11 PM
Response to Reply #2 |
4. I am scared to declare it over |
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until Clinton steps down. She still seems willing to grab this at all costs.
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RUMMYisFROSTED
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Wed Mar-12-08 12:14 PM
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FunkyLeprechaun
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Wed Mar-12-08 12:05 PM
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I hope the supers go to Obama so he can win the nomination. Come on Obama, play that 50-delegate card please? Pretty please?
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Lochloosa
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Wed Mar-12-08 12:22 PM
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6. I'm "almost" sure that he has 77 committed supers |
alcibiades_mystery
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Wed Mar-12-08 12:22 PM
Response to Original message |
7. Didn't you hear about the NEW NEW nomination system? |
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Whoever wins in a state designated by the Clinton campaign after exhaustive predictive polling wins the nomination. That's the new rule. This year, the Clinton campaign has chosen
PENNSYLVANIA
as your Democratic nominating state.
So, all that stuff you just said is hereby null, void, and no longer operational. Amen.
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Scurrilous
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Wed Mar-12-08 12:35 PM
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MNDemNY
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Wed Mar-12-08 12:55 PM
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9. Until you add FL and MI, then the needed total rises. |
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And the will be counted, one way or another.
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scheming daemons
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Wed Mar-12-08 01:17 PM
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12. We're at the point that counting them won't allow Hillary to overtake Obama anyway... |
hedgehog
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Wed Mar-12-08 01:10 PM
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10. How does that change now that Spitzer is no longer a superdelegate? |
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I tried to figure it out, but it made my head hurt.
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MindMatter
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Wed Mar-12-08 01:16 PM
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11. I think it reduces superdelegates by one |
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and takes one out of Hillary's committed column.
Because the Lt. Governor is already a superdelegate.
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Thu Apr 25th 2024, 10:06 AM
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