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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:15 PM
Original message
24% of Hillary's Votes in MS were Republicans.
Edited on Wed Mar-12-08 05:53 PM by Kristi1696
About 5% of Obama's vote percentage came from Republicans.

According to MSNBC (Hardball) and based on their exit-polling. I checked the math, and yes, it is right (I think, but I'm no mathematician).

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21225989

Kind of gives a new perspective on that "70% of Hillary voters would never vote for Obama" stat, eh?

Taking away that 24% makes the numbers of voters who said they wouldn't vote for the other candidate nearly equal.

ETA: This obviously affects ALL of the exit poll stats. The race divide, how many would vote for McCain, etc.
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ingac70 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:19 PM
Response to Original message
1. They are dicking with our primary...
fortunately, even with them doing this, the math is still against Hillary.
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brer cat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 07:07 PM
Response to Reply #1
32. They have a history of dicking with our primaries....
Cynthia McKinney (GA)was defeated in 2002 in her primary by republicans voting in the democratic primary.
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anonymeme Donating Member (530 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 07:34 PM
Response to Reply #32
40. WHY CLONE LIES? The Repugs Are NOT Voting for Hillary, They Are Voting for Obama!
WHY CLONE LIES? The Repugs Are NOT Voting for Hillary, They Are Voting for Obama!

And people with big wads of *duh* where their brains belong are playing right into their hands.

The Right Wing is terrified of Hillary, because she's been there and knows them all, knows their weak spots, knows how the operate on an up-close level.

She is strong, strong, strong, strong. With an Iron Will and she WILL be effective in getting what she wants!

That's WHY they are voting for Obama -- I KNOW this from other forums where both Dems and Repugs post. The Repugs are pushing so hard for Obama.

I have kept asking them from the beginning what our Dem primaries were to them and never got a straight answer -- even though I knew it was to skew our Democratic process -- and lately, I've just been telling them I'm onto them and trying to get them to trip themselves up.

If they do give us Obama as our candidate, I promise you, we will never hear the freakin' end of all Obamas bad and dangerous connections...




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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 07:43 PM
Response to Reply #40
41. Um, apparently your Republican *friends*...
That you reference talking to are NOT voting for Obama.

In MS, 24% of ALL of Hillary's votes came from Republicans. Only 5% of Obama's votes were from Republicans.

That's the math. Sorry.
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anonymous171 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:20 PM
Response to Original message
2. I knew it! That's why so many said they would vote McCain.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:23 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Good point.
I had forgotten about that freaky statistic.
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Johnny__Motown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:21 PM
Response to Original message
3. One more reason Hillary should drop out , not that she will
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 06:34 PM
Response to Reply #3
26. The question is, how many Republicans will reregister as Democrats...
To vote for her in PA. Unfortunately, we'll never know the answer to that.
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annie1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 09:58 PM
Response to Reply #3
53. she should drop out cuz pubs were voting for her? before now they were voting obama...
so maybe he should retroactively drop out.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 10:01 PM
Response to Reply #53
54. With all due respect, Republicans never represented 24% of his total votes.
But, on the other hand, I don't think this is something Hillary needs to drop out over.

It does, however, tell us that we need to take the other questions on those exit polls with a grain of salt. They have been tainted, lol.
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ClayZ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:24 PM
Response to Original message
5. K and R
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anonymous171 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:25 PM
Response to Original message
6. That's a really big number.
And they say Obama is being held up by repugs. :kick:
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 06:02 PM
Response to Reply #6
24. Obama has disgusted with the last 8 years
Edited on Wed Mar-12-08 06:02 PM by zidzi
repugs who will vote for him in the GE..hilary has rush limpbaugh repugs voting for her in the primary so they can vote against her in the ge.
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Greyskye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:25 PM
Response to Original message
7. K & R
To the GP with you.
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MADem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:30 PM
Response to Original message
8. It's an argument for CLOSED PRIMARIES. Not "closed" where independents can vote, but CLOSED
where ONLY Democrats can elect the PARTY nominee.

The GOP doesn't allow this kind of stuff. THEY pick their own candidate...not allow the other team to so do.

This kind of stuff has been happening on BOTH sides, and until the DNC sits down with the state parties and tells them we need to do the Tighten Up, it'll continue like this.

But if anyone on this fucking board thinks that Mississippi is going for ANYONE other than McCain in the general election, they're high as kites. That's one gerrymandered RED state--not even CLOSE to purple.
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:32 PM
Response to Original message
9. Wrong. Hill won white Democrats 74-21. Since almost all repubs are white...
Edited on Wed Mar-12-08 05:32 PM by jackson_dem
...given the racial voting in MS :wtf: does Obamanatin expect? Maybe Obama should "transcend" race more often, as he is advertised as having a special ability to do, and win more than one racial group more often (which will kind of be a problem in the general election)?
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:36 PM
Response to Reply #9
14. Go crunch their numbers yourself.
See if you come up with something different. I don't.

Republicans represented 12% of the electorate. 75% of Republican voters went for her. That number actually represents 24% of her total vote percentage (she received 38% overall).
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Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 07:13 PM
Response to Reply #14
34. I rand the numbers myself....24% of her votes came fdrom republicans
She got 5% from blacks
so 70% or so came from whites Dems and some indies

In a close Primary she would have gotten about three quarters of her total and Obama would have fotten about 85% of his. In a closed primary He would have won about 75% of the vote.

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cbayer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:32 PM
Response to Original message
10. Show me your math, because I contend that it is absolutely wrong.
The 3% number for Obama is correct.

The correct number for Clinton is 9%.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:39 PM
Response to Reply #10
15. 9% equals nearly a quarter of her votes. n/t
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cbayer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:41 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. Huh?
No it represent 9% of her votes.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:46 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. 9% equals nearly a quarter of her overall vote percentage...
...which was 38%.

That's how MSNBC got their numbers.
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cbayer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:50 PM
Response to Reply #18
20. You are correct.
I am wrong. Thank you.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 06:12 PM
Response to Reply #20
25. No problem. Math isn't my strongsuit.
You actually encouraged me to quadruple check it, which is good.

Thank God the other posters are better at translating numbers into words. I certainly suck at it.
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Drachasor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:50 PM
Response to Reply #16
19. 9% of the total vote (for Obama and Clinton) were Republicans voting for Clinton
Since she had 38% of the vote, 9/38 ~= 24% of votes for Clinton were from Republicans.
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KaptBunnyPants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:52 PM
Response to Reply #16
21. No, he's right.
Republicans represented 12% or the voting public. 75% of those self described Republicans voted for Hillary, meaning that 9% of the total number of voters were Republicans voting for Hillary. Her total percentage of the vote was 37%. Therefore, the ratio of Republicans who voted for her and total voters who voted for her was 9/37 or 24.3%.
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cbayer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:56 PM
Response to Reply #21
22. Yes, I get it now.
See apology above.

I seem to have forgotten all the math I once knew.
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KaptBunnyPants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:59 PM
Response to Reply #22
23. Sorry. The pile-on wasn't there when I began writing that post.
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TheDoorbellRang Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 07:47 PM
Response to Reply #10
42. Dang! She's right. Here's the math. 23.8% of Clinton's votes were Republicans
Per CNN, total vote in MS democratic primary:
Obama 255,809 + Clinton 155,686 = 411,495

Per exit polls, 12% are self described Republicans
12% of 411,495 = 49,379

Per exit polls, 75% of Republicans voting chose Clinton
75% of 49,379 = 37,034

37,034 = 23.8% of 155,686
Therefore, 23.8% of Clinton's total were Republicans

Per exit polls, 25% of Republicans voting chose Obama
25% of 49,379 = 12,345

12,345 = 4.8% of 255,809
Therefore, 4.8% of Obama's total were Republicans

The 3% vs. 9% figures would only be correct if Obama and Clinton had the same number of votes.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 08:42 PM
Response to Reply #42
46. Pretty shocking, isn't it?
I'm a bit surprised that we haven't heard more about it.

You should also see Frenchie's post:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=5046005&mesg_id=5047344

Somebody out there on the blogosphere is tracking this!
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TheDoorbellRang Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 09:28 PM
Response to Reply #46
49. Super D's should take note. n/t
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MagickMuffin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:32 PM
Response to Original message
11. How do you think she won Texas pop. vote? Billbo went on RW radio the day of the primary
He was suppose to be on Limpballs show but Rush had the flu for one day, so RW Mark Davis got the honor to interview Billbo.

Funny how they are now embracing the VERY people who went after them 24/7.


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niceypoo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:33 PM
Response to Original message
12. And if they had Voted for Obama, they would be bragging about it
Hypocrites
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Texas Hill Country Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:34 PM
Response to Original message
13. actually it doesnt make them equal... you are taking 24 % from 70%, your statistics are bad lol.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 05:44 PM
Response to Reply #13
17. So you disagree with MSNBC's exit polls?
That show 24% of Hillary's votes came from Republicans?

They're not my statistics, they belong to MSNBC.

And I didn't say that it made them "equal". I said "nearly equal". In order to determine a hard number, you'd also have to take away the number of Republicans that voted for Obama, etc. etc.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 06:37 PM
Response to Reply #13
27. No...she's right, you're wrong!
Republicans tilted the White Vote to Hillary Clinton by an astonishing 24%.....meaning that Obama's percentage in the MS White Dem vote was under-reported by 24%!

Total Votes in the Democratic primary in MS = 407,217
Total Republican voting in that number = 13% = 52,938
Total voting for Hillary of the 13% = 75%
Total Republicans voting for Hillary = 37,056
Total Hillary vote count = 155,686
Total Republican percentage made up Hillary's vote count = 23.8% which rounds to 24%
Supporting figures sources:
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#MS
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21225989





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PA Democrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 07:23 PM
Response to Reply #27
38. OMG. Those stats make me ill. I cannot reach any conclusion other than that
a good number of Republicans have followed Rush Limbaugh's advice and are voting for Hillary to throw the Democratic party into further disarray. Nothing else makes any sense based upon those exit poll results.

I would encourage people to look at the MSNBC link and reach your own conclusion.
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 06:38 PM
Response to Original message
28. Limbaugh Republicans for Hillary! n/t
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TexasLady Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 06:39 PM
Response to Original message
29. I wonder why neither Hillary nor Obama
ever bring this fact up?
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 06:52 PM
Response to Reply #29
30. Because that only encourages them?
They're not smart to think of this stuff themselves. Limbaugh is doing everything he can to promote it. No need for Democrats to add fuel to the fire.

But, after the registration deadline has passed in PA on the 24th, I wouldn't be surprised to see Obama mention it. (at that point Republicans are officially shut out of our primary)
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TexasLady Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 06:56 PM
Response to Reply #30
31. thanks for clarity
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 07:09 PM
Response to Original message
33. LOL NOW you're worried about people crossing over and screwing with our primary?
Forgetting about the weeks of "Vote Republican For a Day for Obama" are we?
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 07:15 PM
Response to Reply #33
35. I had to chucke also as i read a few of the responses.!! now they worry!!
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 07:18 PM
Response to Reply #35
37. Several didn't worry about the media manipulation until it happened to their guy either
It's very surreal in here lately. :)
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 07:59 PM
Response to Reply #37
45. yeah--some are actually asking questions now.
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 09:18 PM
Response to Reply #45
47. Better late then nevah
I guess....
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 07:27 PM
Response to Reply #33
39. Weeks? That was one flier.
It was corrected almost immediately. That is not the Obama campaign position.

Obama's campaign hasn't been asking Republicans to vote for him in just the primary, but the general too. He's asking them to switch over permanently.

What Rush Limbaugh is doing (and Bill too, by appearing on his show) is asking Republicans who have no intention of voting for a Dem in November, to participate in Dem primaries.

Completely different situation.
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 07:50 PM
Response to Reply #39
44. It happened before "flyer guy" and it's happened since.
This isn't news to many of us. The discussion has been going on here for a while now. Perhaps you have posters on ignore? Because I'm really surprised many people seen to think this is a new thing.
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yardwork Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 07:16 PM
Response to Original message
36. Does anyone seriously think that any of those Republicans would vote for Hillary in the GE?
The Democratic Party needs to close our primaries to registered Democrats.
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tabasco Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 07:49 PM
Response to Original message
43. Must be a lot of dittoheads in Mississippi.
Not surprising.
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Major Hogwash Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 09:22 PM
Response to Original message
48. So, she's still getting her ass kicked, even with the Republicans help.
Man, the Democrats must be disgusted by her by now really bad.

LoL

What a pathetic excuse of a candidate!

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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 09:35 PM
Response to Reply #48
50. Lol. I guess that's one way of looking at it.
:hi:
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Major Hogwash Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 09:51 PM
Response to Reply #50
51. It's sad really. In Idaho, no self-respecting Republican would get caught dead voting for Hillary.
Edited on Wed Mar-12-08 09:53 PM by Major Hogwash
I'm not making that up either.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 09:57 PM
Response to Reply #51
52. I know you're not.
I'm from Michigan, originally. I'm familiar with the sentiment. Shit, all I have to do is call my parents if I want to be reminded of it, lol.

Really, I think that kos opened this can of worms with their "Vote for Romney" campaign in MI. I didn't agree with that either.
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