New Jersey: Kerry 51% Bush 39%
New Jersey 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush 39%
Kerry 51%
Other 3%
Not Sure 6%
RasmussenReports.com
April 21, 2004--In New Jersey, Senator John F. Kerry leads President George W. Bush 51% to 39%. Four years ago, Bush lost the state by sixteen points to Al Gore, 56% to 40%.
When it comes to issues of national defense and the War on Terror, Garden State voters are evenly divided as to who would do a better job--45% say Bush and another 45% say Kerry. Nationally, Bush has a significant edge on this issue.
Voters prefer Kerry on the economy by a 48% to 41% margin. Nationally, Bush has a modest edge when it comes to managing the economy.
http://rasmussenreports.com/New%20Jersey_April.htmSo right now the electtoral vote count is:
Kerry with 193 electoral votes in 12 states
Bush with 180 Electoral votes in 17 states.
http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/CurrentPolls.htmIf Kerry can take 4 states which are closely contested, Florida and Ohio, Get back Oregon and Washington state (he is actually ahead in Washington) and take one more state for a few electoral votes, he wins.
THe last SUSA Poll has Bush with 45 and Kerry with 39 % in Pennsylvania, but todays Quinniapiac has it a bit closer at Bush 46 and Kerry 42 percent. Other has shrunk to 2 percent so Naders 6 percent lead in PA seems to have vanished.
This polls is more closely resembling Gores 15 point win over Bush in NJ in 2000