Public Opinion Watch (Kerry ahead in battleground states)

[displacedtexan]

LOL! It looks like BushCo has wasted over $50 million on TV ads. Lest we forget, they lost the 2000 election. The polling data below needs to be sent to everyone on our DU media contacts list! Take that, CNN!



Public Opinion Watch - April 21, 2004
by Ruy Teixeira
April 21, 2004

Recently released Annenberg Election Survey data are consistent with Corrado's judgement. Kerry's favorability rating in the March 1–15 period was 49 percent favorable/39 percent unfavorable in the "television states" (battleground states where the Bush campaign has been running ads). In the March 16–31 period, his rating in these states had changed only slightly: 48 percent favorable/40 percent unfavorable.

snip

Other relevant data come from the new "Battleground 2004" survey conducted by Tarrance Group/Lake Sosin Perry between March 28 and March 31. snip

According to an accompanying analysis memo written by Celinda Lake and her associates, while Kerry leads by a point overall, he leads by six points in the battleground states, where Bush's ad barrage was directed. (Note that, compared to the widely publicized late March figures from Gallup, this survey is more recent and bases its battleground state figures on about twice the number of "likely voter" respondents.)

The poll also shows Kerry ahead by seven points among independents and by 22 points among moderates.{/strong]

In terms of specific issues, the poll indicates that, where Kerry is strong, he is generally farther ahead of Bush in the battleground states than among voters as a whole.

more...
http://www.americanprogress.org/site/pp.asp?c=biJRJ8OVF&b=47267

[NMDemDist2]

1. i am bookmarking this as a response to the "Doomed" threads

heheheehe :yourock:

[displacedtexan]

2. Excellent idea!

Thanks!

[blm]

3. Good deal. Wonder if the doomers will weigh in.

They seem to avoid threads that show Kerry is doing well.

[rockymountaindem]

4. Doom!!! Doom!!! AAAAARRRRGGGG!!!

Of course, I'm talking about the Bush campaign.

[berner59]

5. send this to CNN....

It's night/day info... My gut says this is the TRUTH!!!

[displacedtexan]

7. Could it possibly be that...?

We're Not Doomed!

[enough]

6. Very interesting

snip>

It's also worth noting that Democrats lead Republicans in this poll by six points in the generic congressional contest. That lead widens to 10 points among battleground state voters, 17 points among independents, and 33 points among moderates.

These data suggest that, while the race between Bush and Kerry has clearly tightened since early March, the specific influence of the Bush campaign's ads in the battleground states may well have been exaggerated.

snip>

Great article -- thank you!

[displacedtexan]

8. Annenberg is a seriously rightwing org, too.

I procured a rural ed grant ($500,000) from them six years ago. We had to jump through conservative hoops to get that grant!

[wryter2000]

9. Among moderates

Among moderates, Kerry ahead by 22% and generic Dems in Congress by 33%. That's astonishing. Truly amazing numbers.

Thanks!

[displacedtexan]

10. Isn't it cool to get real facts?

Refreshing!

[mzmolly]

11. YEEEEAAARRRGGGGHHH!!!!

Goot newz! :toast:

[displacedtexan]

12. Loved that response, mzmolly!

Good golly!