There are all sorts of options concerning Florida and Michigan, so we do what we do best - we run all the numbers:
The options are:
- Do not seat Florida or Michigan
- Seat them based on the elections that have taken place. Don't assume Obama gets the 55 Michigan uncommitted delegates.
- Seat them based on the elections that have taken place. Give Obama the 55 Michigan uncommitted delegates.
- Split the Florida and Michigan pledged delegations 50/50. Superdelegates are free to vote as they wish.
- Split Michigan 50/50 including supers. Give Florida pledged delegates 1/2 vote, but based on January election. 1/2 vote for superdelegates also. This is supposedly under significant discussion.
Florida and Michigan hold new elections.
We are not endorsing any of these options. We're just providing information so our readers can judge how each option will affect the race.
Let us know what you think of these tables.
moreSummary of tables show Obama's pledge delegate lead in every scenario:
Total Delegates: 4048 ** W/o FL & MI - Current Status ** Needed: 2024.5Pledged Delegates(AP) Obama 1390, Clinton 1248 Superdelegates (DCW) Obama 207, Clinton 244
Total Delegates: 4415 ** With FL & MI included - Results upheld** Needed: 2208Pledged Delegates(AP & GP) Obama 1457, Clinton 1426 Superdelegates (DCW) Obama 212, Clinton 259
Total Delegates:4415 ** With FL & MI (Obama gets MI 55) ** Needed: 2208Pledged Delegates(AP & GP) Obama 1512, Clinton 1426 Superdelegates (DCW) Obama 212, Clinton 259
Total Delegates: 4415 ** With MI & FL 50/50 ** Needed: 2208Pledged Delegates(AP) Obama 1540, Clinton 1398 Superdelegates (DCW) Obama 212, Clinton 259
Total Delegates: 4309.5 ** MI 50/50 FL 1/2 Vote ** Needed: 2155Pledged Delegates(AP) Obam 1390, Clinton 1248 Superdelegates (DCW) Obama 207, Clinton 244
Total Delegates: 4415 ** FL & MI will Re-Vote ** Needed: 2208Pledged Delegates(AP) Obama 1390, Clinton 1248 Superdelegates (DCW) Obama 212, Clinton 259
Julianna Goldman and Catherine Dodge
Fri Mar 14, 12:01 AM ET
March 14 (Bloomberg) -- Barack Obama has pulled almost even with Hillary Clinton in endorsements from top elected officials and has cut into her lead among the other superdelegates she's relying on to win the Democratic presidential nomination.
Among the 313 of 796 superdelegates who are members of Congress or governors, Clinton has commitments from 103 and Obama is backed by 96, according to lists supplied by the campaigns. Fifty-three of Obama's endorsements have come since he won the Jan. 3 Iowa caucuses, compared with 12 who have aligned with Clinton since then.
``That's not glacial, that is a remarkable momentum,'' Senator Claire McCaskill of Missouri, a superdelegate and Obama supporter, said in an interview. ``I don't think there is anything that will slow that down.''
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In the overall race for superdelegates -- elected and party officials who automatically receive votes at the Democratic National Convention that will choose the nominee -- Clinton leads Obama in commitments by 249 to 212, according to an Associated Press tally.
The trend, though, is running against the New York senator. Since March 5, the day after she won primaries in Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island and Obama took Vermont, the Illinois senator has won backing from nine superdelegates and Clinton one, according to the campaigns and interviews.
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Even if Clinton scores a net gain of 10 delegates in Pennsylvania, Obama can make that up with wins in smaller states such as North Carolina and South Dakota, which vote later.
moreAnother for Obama:
Wisconsin Superdelegate Endorses Barack Obama for President
Melissa Schroeder Cites Obama’s Electability
Chicago, IL – Today Wisconsin superdelegate Melissa Schroeder endorsed Barack Obama for president, citing his unique ability to stand up to the special interests and unite all Americans to bring about real, meaningful change.
Melissa Schroeder said: “After much consideration, I have decided to endorse Senator Barack Obama. My decision came down to electability and who I felt would do a better job of unifying this country for a common purpose. Obama’s message of hope and change has touched millions of voters in a way that I haven’t seen since the late 1960’s. People from every walk of life, young and the not so young, Democrats, Independents and some Republicans, are all rallying around a belief that change can happen if we want it bad enough. With Obama as our nominee, I am confident that this November we will increase our majority in the House and Senate and elect a Democrat to the White House.”
Melissa Schroeder is Wisconsin’s 7th District Democratic Party Secretary.
Edited to add:
Popular Vote Total -
Obama 13,280,770 49.5%
Clinton 12,577,044 46.9%
Obama +703,726 +2.6% Popular Vote (w/FL) -
Obama 13,856,984 48.5%
Clinton13,448,030 47.1%
Obama +408,954 +1.4% Popular Vote (w/FL & MI)* -
Obama 13,856,984 47.5%
Clinton13,776,339 47.3%
Obama +80,645 +0.2% link