Presidential Re-election campaigns are usually landslides

[cally]

Matthews just said that re-election campaigns are not usually close. The average spread is 14 percent. The guest said that she expects that they will be close and then break big closer to the election. I agree with this.

I don't think this election will be close. I expect * will have an October surprise but I think all the scandals and questions about * will sway voters to Kerry. I sure hope I'm right.

[billybob537]

1. I suspect many republicans

aren't proud of their intent to vote for Kerry. They probably would lie to polls and vote for Kerry quietly. Or I could be wrong!:crazy:

[surfermaw]

3. Or stay at home is what most republicans do especially in N.C

[billybob537]

4. Thats good too! n/t

[k in IA]

2. Carlos Watson from CNN said this a couple of weeks ago - Reagan and

Clinton won easily and BushI and Carter lost Big.

[billybob537]

5. Like father like son

I hope. :toast:

[DaveSZ]

6. Let's all hope the American people wake up

:)

[zbdent]

7. Ah, yes, please remind Bush41 of that trend

I'd rather start a new trend.

Odd numbered Bushes are like the Odd-Numbered Star Treks . . .

[Awsi Dooger]

8. The dynamics of these candidates/this campaign guarantee very close

Bush exudes mediocrity, or much worse, but is viewed as personally likeable and has annexed widespread fear as a pal in his "war on terror."

An extremely charismatic Democrat might defeat Bush handily, but we botched the priorities in favor of an "electable" war hero with Sominex speeches.

I saw Chris Matthews' analysis, and laughed like hell. Fifteen+ years analyzing and handcapping sports have taught me to toss out historical data when it could not be more irrelevant. Politically, 2004 is not even close to any of the re-election bids Matthews supposedly looked at.