Swing states may be at point of saturation by Election Day

[Nicholas_J]

WASHINGTON -- Duane Pichelman has been tuning into what could be a very loud conversation by fall.

The 73-year-old retired music teacher from Urbandale, Iowa, has seen Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry up close and says he plans to vote for him Nov. 2. But President Bush's advertisements calling Kerry a tax raiser may give Pichelman second thoughts...

Bush's advisers think other states may come into play, such as New Jersey and Delaware, which both voted for Gore in 2000. The Democrats think Kerry could become competitive in three states Bush won handily in 2000: Colorado, Louisiana and North Carolina. And some states now considered "swing" could fall off the list. Republicans think, for instance, that Arkansas could be firmly in their camp come fall.

States become battlegrounds for different reasons. Nevada is on the list, in part, because its influx of new residents from other states makes it hard to predict an election outcome....


http://www.coshoctontribune.com/news/stories/20040422/localnews/276408.html


Interesting article about what Bush advisors are thinking will happen. Especially Kerry becoming a threat in sttes they easily won in 2000. I think Clark will be a major influence on what happens in Arkansas this fall

[fujiyama]

1. If Bush

wants to waste money in New Jersey and Deleware, he's welcome to. These states aren't voting for Bush.

I also doubt that North Carolina will go democratic. John Edwards might make it competetive though, but it's still a longshot.