God help me, a poll from Ras. : O 47 H 42

[Teaser]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll


have no idea if this reflects the speech or not.

[meow mix]

1. nice

pullin away again..

[Teaser]

3. reading Ras' notes, I think

it was really just one day's sample that put HRC in the lead.

Too often we interpret outlier samples in these moving average polls as part of a trend.

[flpoljunkie]

2. One night of polling since speech, but not much different than the 4-day average.

Just one night of polling is included since Obama’s speech and that single night result is not much different from the four-day average.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[Tropics_Dude83]

What would last night's 1 day sample have been?

Any ideas?

[flpoljunkie]

11. Not much different from the last three days, according to Rasmussen--47%-42% ballpark numbers.

[Mooney]

4. Cool.

McCain is now solidly beating both Obama and HRC though... we need to get our shit together soon.

[PM7nj]

5. Hey! Where's that 17pt drop?

I was told he was going to drop 17 points!

[Armstead]

6. What's bad is that it shows McCain leading both candidates

[TeamJordan23]

10. That will change once public begins to know the differences between Dems/Repubs. nm

[Texas Hill Country]

7. it does.

[nxylas]

8. Looks like the Wright story was just a flash in the pan

For all the M$M's attempts to turn it into another Dean Scream, it seems that Obama's ratings were only affected for one day.

[theredpen]

9. But did you read in in Koine?

Just teasing you Teaser. Good find. :hi:

[Teaser]

12. It's about Obama, so it has to be

al-Lughat al-'Arabiya

[theredpen]

15. Ooooh, that's low.

:P

[skater314159]

18. Don't you mean

الْعَرَبيّة
or just plain 'ol عَرَبيْ
:P

heh heh

[Capn Sunshine]

13. remember Rasmussen trends Republican and old because of their model

They call people at home on LAND LINES during the day.

Do you even answer your land line? Home during the day? I'm not and I don't.

Who's home during the dayparts selected? Retirees, traditional 50's model housewives, and...their parents.

[goldcanyonaz]

14. We don't even have land lines. Got rid of them years ago.

[Alhena]

16. Rasmussen polled me at night in MS

[Perry Logan]

17. "Rasmussen is a Republican firm that regularly asks slanted questions..."

Rasmussen seems to be there to cheer up the Right. I ran across this:

"Rasmussen is a Republican firm that regularly asks slanted questions and produces pro-Republican results through a questionable poll weighting method.

Rasmussen regularly has the wildest outliers of all on Bush job approval (typically about 5-7% higher than the average of other polls).

From the start of 2005, Rasmussen has weighted to make Rep and Dem party ID equal at 37%. Yet his table of unweighted data since start 2004 shows that in every month, the Dem figure exceeded the Rep figure, often significantly. This weighting introduces a persistent bias which can be quantified if you know the cross-tab data."

http://www.mydd.com/story/2006/3/17/11424/8443

[hedgehog]

19. Can you tell me where on the Rasmussen web site to bring up the

chart with the rolling average?

[AnarchoFreeThinker]

20. kicked and recccccccccccccccccc'd