Rasmussen daily graph for 3/19/08 - Obama up 2 (47), Clinton down 2 (42)

[DavidDvorkin]

Whew.








(Pretend that the 10 and 20 lines are actually 0. Does anyone know how to make Excel label different parts of the axis differently?)

Gallup daily poll will show up here: http://www.gallup.com

These Rasmussen graphs are all contained on one Web page at http://www.dvorkin.com/rastrack.html

Rasmussen links:
Data in tabular form
Discussion

[Kittycat]

1. GOBAMA!

[goclark]

2. Go O!

[DavidDvorkin]

3. And of course these numbers precede his great speech on race

[ericgtr]

4. He's got no other way to go but up after that wonderful speech yesterday

I didn't think we would see the swing so quickly either, way to go!

[Alhena]

5. Sweet

[meow mix]

6. GOBAMA!

:toast: :toast: :toast:

[Oilwellian]

7. Boom!

To the moon Alice!

[DerekJ]

8. Another hit speech on Iraq today... wait for those polls to go up even more

[DavidDvorkin]

14. I gather it's not getting realtime coverage

The second speech may have to be spread virally.

[slinkerwink]

15. yep, it has to be up to us to do it

[DavidDvorkin]

18. Yesterday, the Obama campaign e-mailed a link to the speech

Both the video and the transcript, on the campaign Web site. No doubt their mailing list is huge, so if they do that with today's speech, as they surely will, that should get the ball rolling, or help keep it rolling.

[malik flavors]

9. This is a good sign that his base is beginning to sure up again. Very positive news.

[WillYourVoteBCounted]

10. he's getting alot of free national media exposure

turning Clinton Lemons into Obama Lemonade.

[Hepburn]

11. GOBAMA!!!

:applause:

[Teaser]

12. Does Ras make excel spreadsheets available?

I have some nifty analyses I'd like to run on his data sets if he does.

[DavidDvorkin]

13. I doubt it. I created my own.

That's how I generate these graphs.

[Teaser]

26. Too much work for this lazy schlub.

.

[DavidDvorkin]

30. It was a fair amount of work

I started nearer the beginning, though, when there was less to enter. Now I just have to enter two new numbers each day.

[RiverStone]

16. Those predicting an early demise were obviously --- WRONG!

Gawd, all that sky is falling stuff was way an over-reaction.

The American people, on balance, are wise enough to separate Wrights words from Obama the man.

Happy to see he probably has passed through this road bump....

GoBAMA!

[DavidDvorkin]

17. I keep saying, look at long-term trends

Which, of course, my spiffy and beautiful charts make it easy to do, but never mind that, I'm not posting this just to boost my own spiffy and beautiful charts.

Rasmussen and the others give us rolling averages, so a day or two of unusually high or low results can cause exhilarating or depressing short-term trends. Long-term trends are more meaningful.

Defining "long term" appropriately is a another issue, though.

[TheWraith]

19. So much for Pastorgate. nt

[DavidDvorkin]

20. Oh, there'll be something else

There always is. It may be nothing, but it will be touted as the thing that will destroy Obama. Much noise will be made about it, by rightwing radio spewers, by GOP functionaries, and by Clinton surrogates.

It's depressingly predictable.

[tabasco]

22. Yes there will be more scum dredged up from the scum of the kitchen sink.

The filthy, rotten, muckraking campaign of Hillary Clinton has exposed her as a vile, power-hungry cretin.

She is only hurting herself in the long-term.

[DavidDvorkin]

23. I'd sure like to see Obama surging in the short term, though. :)

[Teaser]

29. wait and see if Gallup closes tomorrow

.

[DavidDvorkin]

31. Ugh. Gallup now shows the opposite trend:

[Teaser]

34. I know, wait until tomorrow

The sample in Gallup has lagged rasmussen a bit.

[nsd]

21. I know day-to-day fluctuations probably don't mean anything, but still: Yes! (nt)

[FrenchieCat]

24. I don't pay attention to polling.......because it is only a snapshot of the time.....

and Obama has weeks to shore up his support. I believe that he will be our nominee.

[Georgie_92]

25. That's wonderful news!

[writes3000]

27. Interesting. Ultimately, I suspect they're still tied in the national polls. n/t

[Teaser]

28. of course they're tied

No one is pulling away with this. All "trends" observed this far have been blips, in reality.

[DavidDvorkin]

32. Gallup is completely fucked up:

I never did trust that man. Gallup, I mean.

[Teaser]

36. Dunno, if they're "fucked up"

I just think they have some different statistical issues to deal with than does Rasmussen.

[DavidDvorkin]

37. Oh, I know

I was just taking my unhappiness out on the nearest available target, which happened to be the Gallup poll.

[Mz Pip]

33. While I don't put much stock

in polls, it is interesting to note that not all of them are showing Obama tanking.

So much for the gleeful crowing of the Hillary supporters who may be premature in their reports of Obama's demise.

[AnarchoFreeThinker]

35. k & r

[DavidDvorkin]

38. Oh noes, nothr kick reqrd!

Thxbye