Polls

[tpsbmam]

I'm getting sooooo sick of seeing polls posted that represent only what one side or the other want them to represent. If you're going to be honest, post polls not only that show your candidate leading but also those that show your candidate trailing. Damn, just be honest folks.

Gallup Daily 3/18: Clinton 49% Obama 42% Other 3% Unsure 6%

CBS 3/14-16: Obama 52% Clinton 45% Unsure 3%

USA Today/Gallup 3/14-16: Obama 49% Clinton 42% Gravel: 1% Someone else: 1% None/unsure: 8%

Reuters/Zogby 3/13-14: Obama 47% Clinton 44%

NBC News/WSJ 3/7-10: Clinton 47% Obama 43% Other 1% Neither: 2% Unsure 7%

Newsweek 3/5-6: Obama 45% Clinton 44% Unsure: 11%

GENERAL ELECTION

Gallup Daily: 3/18 McCain 47% Obama 43%; McCain 48% Clinton 45%

CNN 3/14-16: Obama 47% McCain 46%; Clinton 49% McCain 47%

USA Today/Gallup 3/14-16: Obama 49% McCain 47%; Clinton 51% McCain 46%

Reuters/Zogby 3/13-14: McCain 46% Obama 40%; McCain 48% Clinton 40%




Go to Polling Report if you want to go further back, see more polls, or see more details. http://www.pollingreport.com/2008.htm


You really lose credibility IMO when you post one poll favoring our candidate when there are others out there that have different or opposite results.

[slinkerwink]

1. kicking for accurate poll report

[Abacus]

2. I've switched to using the RCP average for this reason /nt

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html

[Abacus]

6. By the way,

To get a sense of the Wright effect, I averaged just the polls RCP has listed with results from the 15th and later (Gallup, Rasmussen, CBS) -- Clinton and Obama are tied at 42 & 2/3.

[Fresh_Start]

3. thank you.

I've been using pollingreport.com for several years

[slinkerwink]

7. kicking again

[TML]

4. K&R

Thank you for posting this.

[FlyingSquirrel]

5. I like Pollster

It has kewl pictures

[peruviancharm]

8. Old Gallup polls are irrelevant

Only the latest Gallup poll is relevant at any given time.
What is the importance of polls that are not up-to-date? They do not reflect the current landscape of voting preference. Every day events change people's minds.

[emilyg]

9. k/r

[quantass]

10. Thank You!

[rodeodance]

11. McCain rises and Obama plunges in series of 9 catastrophic polls for Dems

Forum Name General Discussion: Primaries
Topic subject McCain rises and Obama plunges in series of 9 catastrophic polls for Dems
Topic URL http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x5165149#5165149
5165149, McCain rises and Obama plunges in series of 9 catastrophic polls for Dems
Posted by Karmadillo on Wed Mar-19-08 08:42 PM

http://www.campaigndiaries.com/2008/03/mccain-rises-and-obama-plunges-in.html

Rarely have I seen this consistent a turnaround in general election polls: In 9 general election polls released today, McCain is on the rise and Obama declines due to his (1) continued weakness among registered Democrats and (2) the departure of many cross-over Republicans and independents who had come to support his candidacy. Also, Clinton's position generally remains stable, suggesting that it is Obama who is weakening more than McCain who is improving.

Obama's plunge looks particularly vertiginous because of how high he was riding in the last two weeks of February, looking competitive in every poll and beating McCain in many reddish states; so some of the trendlines have to be taken with a grain of salt, since they follow an Obama progression. Also, it looked likely that Obama would not keep up his strong levels of support among registered Republicans and independents once the general election campaign began, the GOP nominee was chosen and the two sides became polarized. But the consistency of the numbers suggests that March belongs to McCain.

All the polls I am about to cite follow PPP's Florida release yesterday that showed McCain up 11% in Florida against Obama. Today, two polls from Ohio show the Arizona Senator strengthened in the red state that until recently looked the most promising for Democrats:

SUSA shows Clinton leading McCain 50% to 44%, but McCain leads Obama 50% to 43%. Compared to the previous SUSA poll from late February, that's a 4% Clinton drop and a 17% Obama plunge.

In a pattern that we will find in most of these polls, Obama is weak among registered Democrats (he gets 66% to Clinton's 80%) and Clinton is weak among blacks (64%). But the shift in numbers is due to independents deserting Obama (down from 60% to 45%) and Republicans moving home (the margin is 12% better for McCain).

PPP's poll also brings good news for McCain, who trails Clinton only 45% to 44% but is ahead of Obama 49% to 41%.

Here again, Clinton is very weak among blacks (47%) and Obama among registered Democrats (60%).

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