Gallup Daily: Clinton Holds Significant Lead Over Obama

[ElsewheresDaughter]

Hillary Clinton continues to hold a statistically significant lead over Barack Obama for the Democratic presidential nomination, 48% to 43%. John McCain currently maintains an edge over both Democrats for the general election




PRINCETON, NJ -- The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking shows Hillary Clinton with a five percentage point lead over Barack Obama in national Democratic voters' nomination preferences, 48% to 43%.




This marks the second consecutive day of Gallup Poll Daily tracking showing Clinton with a statistically significant lead over Obama, something she had not accomplished since Feb. 7-9 polling. Clinton's recent momentum has coincided with the controversy created by Obama's association with controversial preacher Rev. Jeremiah Wright.

Obama made a major speech on Tuesday addressing the race issue in large part to help move past the controversy. While Tuesday night polling showed no immediate benefit for Obama, the Wednesday results were more favorable to him, as reflected in the slight drop in Clinton's three-day average lead. This suggests at least the possibility that Obama has stopped his losses. The tracking data over the next several days will be a crucial indicator of the lasting impact, if any, of the Wright controversy.

[Window]

1. LOL! Significant lead.

:rofl:

[Texas Hill Country]

3. its outside the MOE

[LulaMay]

4. That's what REUTER'S called it!

[ElsewheresDaughter]

6. the Wright Scream ....will be the Dean Scream in Nov if Obama gets the nom ....keep laughing

[The Backlash Cometh]

13. Gallup is the last poll I would believe.

[adoraz]

2. NICE!!! down 2 from yesterday!! (remember, this is 3 day tracking poll)

GOBAMA!!

[David__77]

5. "Statistically significant" not same as "significant."

While this lead is statistically significant, it is marginal in size.

[flpoljunkie]

7. "Wednesday results were more favorable to him...suggest possibility Obama has stopped his losses."

[Rageneau]

8. He that liveth by the Race Card shall dieth by the Race Card,

[book_worm]

9. significant? six points isn't significant and Obama has closed gap two-pts since yesterday.

[Teaser]

10. You do know that this will close over the next few days?

Why are people posting all these tracking polls? Look at the oscillations in the numbers.

There is a dominant 3-4 day frequency of oscillation in the values. What is the size of the moving average? 3 days.

All the changes in lead and whatnot are the product of single bad samples on particular days. It than lasts 3 days or so until the effect rolls off the average. And then it swings the other way.

This is why tracking polls are so annoying. They give you information, but people look to them to try and interpret every wiggle and squiggle. And it means almost nothing.

[easy_b94]

11. The only polls I like is the one at the clubs "wink"

[scheming daemons]

12. Too bad for Hillary that over 80% have already voted......

....

[pointsoflight]

14. Good news, Obama bouncing back. And up on Hillary for the 5th straight day in Rasmussen!

[ElsewheresDaughter]

15. linkzzz?