The Excel Delegate Calculator: Clinton needs 64% of the remaining Primary vote to catch Obama ( TIA)

[tiptoe]

(See "The 2008 Primaries: Statistical Footprints of Election Fraud" by TruthIsAll.

March 22, 2008

Click "Delegate Calculator" to download an Excel worksheet for projecting the total number of pledged delegates based on input Obama vote shares.  Click on "graph" to display the effect of incremental Obama projected shares on the delegate count.)

The pattern is very clear.

Starting with Clinton’s New Hampshire primary “upset”, there has been an ongoing effort to pad her votes at the expense of Obama.  And no wonder: the Republicans want to run against her and are doing all they can to make it happen.  Even so, Obama currently leads the recorded popular vote by 700,000.  But he may very well be leading the True Vote by 1,500,000 or more. That would make a big difference in pledged delegates.

The Delegate Calculator is an Excel worksheet for projecting the total number of pledged delegates based on input Obama vote shares.  This graph () displays the effect of incremental Obama projected shares on the delegate count.

It’s the ultimate Rovian dirty trick: tear apart the Democratic Party. Divide and Conquer: it’s the only way the Republicans can win in November. And yet the media doesn’t investigate the footprints of election fraud. They want the “horserace” to continue.

1. New Hampshire

The Final pre-election polls (3-4% MoE) gave Obama an average 8% margin over HRC. The early (unadjusted) exit poll had Obama winning by 8%. He won New Hampshire hand-counts by 5.90% but lost machine-counts by exactly the same margin.

2. South Carolina

Even though he finished third, Edwards would have done better in the general election than either Clinton or Obama.

3. Super Tuesday

Just like the 2004 battleground state exit poll red-shift to Bush, 14 of 16 states had a Hillary-shift from the exit poll to the recorded vote. In New York, over 80 precincts, many in black areas, recorded Zero votes for Obama. Mayor Bloomberg called it fraud. In Los Angeles, 90,000 independent votes were uncounted due to the confusing ballot design (shades of the infamous Florida 2000 “Butterfly” which cost Gore over 3,000 votes).

4. Ohio

Clinton's vote share exceeded her 9pm exit poll share by 3.6% (55.2-51.6%). She won the recorded vote by 10.6% (55.3-44.7%) over Obama. But her exit poll margin was just 3.4% (51.7-48.3%). As always, the Final Exit Poll was adjusted to match the vote count. In addition, there is concrete evidence that Republican cross-over voters played a significant role in delivering votes to Clinton. In Cuyahoga County 17,000 Republicans followed Rush Limbaugh’s advice and voted for her. And this was also the case in many other counties.

5. Primaries, Caucuses and Exit Polls

Obama is doing better in the primaries than the recorded votes indicate. But that’s not unexpected; it’s always the fate of the progressive candidate to fare better in the exit polls than in the vote count. He also does much better in human-counted caucuses than machine-counted primaries (see Texas). He leads Clinton by 700,000 votes in primaries (49.5-46.9%) and by 66.3-33.7% in caucuses. If exit polls rather than recorded votes are counted, Obama would be leading by 1.6 million votes.

In Texas, there was a strange, impossible result: Zero votes were cast for Republicans in 21 counties (all 36,239 ballots cast were for Democrats). There were zero votes cast for Democrats in 3 counties (all 1865 ballots cast were for Republicans). Did Republicans follow Rush Limbaugh’s advice and cross over to vote for Clinton? We can assume that crossovers, even if not 100%, occurred in other counties.

In Mississippi, Obama won by 61-37%, but 25% of Clinton’s votes came from Republicans who followed the advice of Rush Limbaugh. Obama won 65% of Democrats and Independents.

[Scurrilous]

1. Thanks for posting this.

:thumbsup:

[tiptoe]

3. thanks for the k & r!

:applause:

[KansasVoter]

2. Hillary is hoping.......

That Obama is tied to a prostitute or some garbage like that. Her GO will not let her quit.
I honestly don't think she cares about the party at this point.

[quantass]

4. k

[KaryninMiami]

5. kicked and recommended

[NoBushSpokenHere]

6. kick nt

[greyghost]

7. K&R!

[madrchsod]

8. this has been common knowlege

since before texas-ohio. she really needed to beat obama by a huge margin to come out ahead of obama. there`s no way she can get enough now.