Pennsylvania Poll shows Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama, 51% to 39%.

[ElsewheresDaughter]

Key findings: Obama leads among men 51% to 38% and Clinton leads among women 61% to 30%. Clinton leads among white voters 60% to 30% and Obama leads among African American voters 83% to 11%. Obama leads 46% to 43% among likely primary voters under 50 and Clinton leads 60% to 32% among likely primary voters 50 and older.

March 28, 2008

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/03/28/arg_poll_clinton_up_by_double_digits_in_pennsylvania.html

[TTUBatfan2008]

1. Which poll is it?

Thanks.

[Arugula Latte]

2. That type of a lead is going to do nothing for her. She needs waaaaaaay more delegates than that.

[slinkerwink]

3. yep. If Hillary doesn't win by 20, she's done.

[dchill]

7. Sorry, but it's more like 30.

;)

[TheWraith]

30. More than that, even, when you consider the fact that NC is going for Obama, possibly IN too.

Hillary basically has to take PA with 100% of the vote in order to even be competitive... and even then she's STILL behind.

[MadBadger]

4. Those numbers will not do. a 56-44 win would not be enough.

[cali]

5. not good enough for poor Hill;y

12 pts won't do a thing for her, and besides he's still got over 3 weeks to pare her lead down. Today Casey is endorsing him and there's bad news for your gal in all the national polls. Plus Leahy's call for her to drop out is getting a lot of play and will reverberate among uncommitted SDs.

[Vinca]

6. Today is the first day of the bus tour. nt

[Warren Stupidity]

8. It is over.

The Clinton campaign is finished. It is over. Done. Kaput. It is time to organize for November.

[loveangelc]

9. that's not that bad tbh...

also, its an ARG poll.

[MadBadger]

10. Now now, I think ARG has earned its way back into the not good but not awful pollster club.

[TeamJordan23]

11. Anything less than double digit loss is a win for Obama. nm

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

14. Double digits and beginning with the number 2.

[dchill]

12. And I suppose that you think this is GOOD news for HRC...

Nope. She would need to be leading by something like 40% at this point to allow for the "inevitable" bite that Obama's campaign in-state will take from her lead, whatever it is. And guess what? It still wouldn't give her anything close to a delegate lead - or the craved "momentum." You need to move right on to delegate poaching and advocating for those "disenfranchised" FL and MI primary voters. Oh, and character assassination of Obama and friends - that works pretty well, doesn't it?

[Upton]

13. Similar to the recent Ramussen poll (49%-39%)

she's got to do better than that.

[BeyondGeography]

15. Obama's just getting started there

Hillfans should be :scared: by numbers like these.

[Independent-Voter]

16. Veruca's got the old, ignorant, white woman crowd, but that's not nearly enough.

[MadBadger]

18. I Want the Presidency and I want it NOW!!

[rniel]

17. Throw in the towel obama

It's over. So goes Pennsylvania so goes the country.

:sarcasm: :sarcasm:

[SoCalDem]

19. She's slipping.. he's rising..

Thanks for the update

[zulchzulu]

20. I'm going to say it. Obama will win PA by 2-3%

The Clinton tax returns mid-April (if that happens) are going to hit them again as well as a speech on trade from Obama that peels back the truth behind Hillary Clinton's support of NAFTA while First Lady.

Bookmark this...

[shadowknows69]

22. From your keyboard to the voter gods ears I hope.

[AllentownJake]

26. She won't release them

There will be an excuse/delay.

[BigDDem]

21. Hillary must win every single vote in PA

or it's a huge win for Obama.

:rofl:

[Barack_America]

23. A concern about Pennsylvania polls.

They're not likely to include new registrants and party switchers. The county boards are still processing these forms. The campaigns don't yet have access to this data, so I highly doubt the pollsters have it.

On the other hand, if they're cold-calling people, how do they know whether or not these people are telling the truth about their party registration, race, age, etc.?

I'm not sure that any of the polls are going to be able to capture this.

[bigtree]

24. you sure bring out the ignored

spooky having all of those voiceless posts gathered here

Nice poll!!

[ElsewheresDaughter]

33. LOL

[TexanDem]

25. *** He's closing in on her lead -- on 3/11 it was H-55; O-36

I jotted down the numbers on my desktop notepad that day just so I would watch the progess of during what was then 6 weeks waiting for PA. The Wright story had not yet hit, and he has not yet really campaigned in PA, but he's narrowed her lead by 7 points! GOBAMA!!

[Warren DeMontague]

27. Oh, goody. So she can drag this out even longer.

She can't win. She needs to get out.

[CreekDog]

28. Can't Obama declare that PA doesn't count?

:eyes:

[gabeana]

29. I like this poll for Obama

he is just starting his strong push this week

[JeanGrey]

31. It won't matter. She cannot catch up.

[cliffordu]

32. Is this from trollpoll2000??

[PresidentObama]

34. ARG isn't reliable. She's ahead, but still. Nice trying.

[madrchsod]

35. clinton will win but not by enough to make a difference

the problem for hillary is that obama has a lot of time left in pa to make up points. even when you are ahead never give your opponent more time in the game...

[goclark]

36. It always fascinates me the way the percentages are

reported.....

If Clinton leads among "women" that must mean that African American females are included ~ right?

And if Obama leads among African American "voters" are some of those voters "women" or are they men and women or does it not matter what gender they are ?"

Huuum.....


"Clinton leads among women 61% to 30%. Clinton leads among white voters 60% to 30% and Obama leads among African American voters 83% to 11%."

[CreekDog]

37. too bad she lost all those other states or this would be a decisive margin for her

but it's not enough to catch up to Obama.