The Democratic Party's best case scenario:

[John Q. Citizen]

Many people have wondered where this primary season will end. There is a leading candidate who appears to be uncatchable based on all known forms of counting delegates, and there is a second place candidate who is attempting against all odds to catch up by igniting political/social suicide bombs in the media, whenever possible.

My prediction, based on reading multiple interviews with party leaders and super delegates, based on known polling and voting patterns, and based on actions taken by both campaigns as well as by other players, leads me to the conclusion that the Dems by and large have a plan.

Part of this plan is that various Dem big wigs declare that it's fine to back Obama, such as Richardson, Leahy and Casey did recently.

My guess is the Supers will continue to migrate to Obama. This will increase to the degree that he will be able to go over the threshold by Puerto Rico or by MT, and SD primaries. He will win with pledged delegates putting him over the top, at the end of the voting/caucuses.

That way the popular narrative will be that Obama won it by being elected by the voters and caucus goers, and that he is now, officially, the universally presumed nominee. Hillary may try to dispute it, but the delegates in Obama's column will tell the tale.

Dean has set a hard date of 7/1 to have the race settled. This gives people time to workout their feelings before the cutoff. And in that way the party can move forward.

Anyway, bookmark this thread. That's my prediction of the best case scenario for the Dems, for Hillary, and fore Obama.

[Swamp Rat]

1. Then Edwards gets the VP slot and we win in November.

:D

[Yael]

2. And meanwhile, we will have the Clintons 24/7 for the next 3 months

inflicting as much damage on him as humanly (if that applies) possible.

No thanks.

[John Q. Citizen]

6. Two months, really. Then the death rattle. Every time they do something chaotic and unwise, another

delegate or two can cross over to Obama.

The point isn't the Clinton Campaign's tenacity or their willingness to throw Dems under the bus, the point is to have Obama win it with pledged delegates. Once that happens, the Clintons can pretend it didn't if they want to, but nobody else will be taking them seriously.

Nobody can make the Clintons do anything, but Obama can win this well before the convention. And that's the important part.

Calling on Clinton to resign is just one tactic among many to achieve the strategy, a universally agreed upon nominee by 7/1.

You may notice that Obama himself hasn't called on Clinton to resign. He won't, either. It's not his problem if Clinton wants to hang on. Anymore than it was McCain's problem that Huck wanted to hang on.

Winning enough pledged delegates speaks for itself. And the Supers are loathe to be put in the situation of "deciding" the nomination. Which is why it's important that Obama goes over the top as the result of a state's primary.

In the meantime, you can always denounce the latest Clinton suicide bomb. It's not like she's been showing much restraint.

[phrigndumass]

3. The number of SDs needed is 73 to make that happen

I also predict a steady trickle of superdelegates to endorse Senator Obama over the next few weeks. Then, if Senator Clinton wins PA by less than 60%, the SD floodgates will open.

[John Q. Citizen]

7. I think it will open in any event. The Super D doen't want to be remembered as

picking this years presidential candidate.

That's why I predict the movement of super D's will enable Obama to win it from pledged delegtes from a voting state, probably a late voting state since Clinton won't toss in the towel, apparently.

[elocs]

4. OK, it's bookmarked. I have one called "Predictions".

It has made for a good laugh, or a good cry, as the case may be. I wonder which yours will be?

[grantcart]

5. She will continue until she has no money.

[John Q. Citizen]

8. I have given up attempting to predict what Hill will do. What I predict is that what Obama and the

party will do is wrap this up by the end of June.

If Hill has money or no money, and whether she attempts to take this to the convention or not won't make any difference if Obama and the party do their jobs.