malik flavors
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Sun Mar-30-08 02:38 PM
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Who's Favored In The Ten Remaining Primaries & Caucuses |
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Edited on Sun Mar-30-08 02:40 PM by malik flavors
Pennsylvania - Clinton Guam - ? Indiana - Obama/Clinton North Carolina - Obama West Virginia - Clinton Kentucky - Clinton Oregon - Obama Puerto Rico - Clinton Montana - Obama/Clinton South Dakota - Obama/Clinton
Is this about right?
Or am I off somewhere?
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sandnsea
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Sun Mar-30-08 02:40 PM
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IN, MT, SD are highly favored to go Obama.
Puerto Rico and Guam don't have electoral votes, so by Clinton standards, they don't count.
We're dragging this out for 3 friggin' states, that aren't going to give the election to Hillary even if she wins them.
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rox63
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Sun Mar-30-08 02:41 PM
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2. I think Obama will win MT and SD by a big margin |
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He has done well in most of the other Mountain West, normally-red states.
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grantcart
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Sun Mar-30-08 02:46 PM
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keep_it_real
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Sun Mar-30-08 02:42 PM
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3. I think Obama should have taken his vacation in PR. |
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Just to get a feel for the Island and its people; he could get lucky there if he puts some time in.
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John Q. Citizen
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Sun Mar-30-08 02:44 PM
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featherman
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Sun Mar-30-08 03:11 PM
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12. OR is rock solid for Obama |
phrigndumass
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Sun Mar-30-08 02:49 PM
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6. Latest state polls reveal ... |
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PA - Clinton +12 IN - Obama +15 (This was after Super Tuesday) NC - Obama +15 WV - Clinton +28 KY - No poll OR - Outdated poll (before Super Tuesday) SD - No poll MT - Outdated poll (before Super Tuesday) Puerto Rico - No poll Guam - No poll
:hi:
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BearSquirrel2
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Sun Mar-30-08 04:15 PM
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But we all know once Obama gets on the ground he tends to pick up quite a lot. Hillary has the name recognition. Obama has the talent.
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malik flavors
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Sun Mar-30-08 02:55 PM
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7. so we're pretty much guessing they'll split the remaining contest 5 and 5? |
JayFredMuggs
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Sun Mar-30-08 02:59 PM
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8. Which means Clinton is finished, can't close the lead |
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And will continue to self-implode with every week of unpaid bills, cash shortages, "mis-statements" about her war experience in Bosnia, and continual use of sock puppets, (her husband Bill among them like Gerry Ferraro, and that Judas-calling what's his name) who make racist remarks, and generally drag her campaign down into the mud.
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phrigndumass
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Sun Mar-30-08 03:01 PM
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10. I'm guessing 5 and 5, but more importantly |
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Pledged delegates from these contests would result in: Clinton - 278 Obama - 288
... based on polls (or lack thereof), which would be a net gain of +10 pledged delegates for Senator Obama.
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Tatiana
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Sun Mar-30-08 03:00 PM
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9. Well these were my predictions a while ago: |
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http://journals.democraticunderground.com/Tatiana/23The only thing I'd change is that I'd put WV in Clinton's column and Montana/South Dakota in Obama's.
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featherman
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Sun Mar-30-08 03:09 PM
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Clinton favored in PA, WV, KY
Obama favored in: NC, OR, MT, SD
Tossup: IN (but some now outdated polling favored Obama at one point)
Unknown: Guam, PR
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backscatter712
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Sun Mar-30-08 04:29 PM
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14. Judging by the numbers of delegates each of these contests have... |
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I'm gonna throw another prediction to the wind and say that the race will be over on May 20th. That's Kentucky and Oregon.
I'm making a few assumptions, so I may be off by a little, but assuming that Clinton can't get major victories, and Obama holds on to his delegate lead, after Kentucky and Oregon are over, it will be mathematically impossible for Clinton to catch up in pledged delegates, because the delegate lead will be greater than the total number of delegates available in the races that are left.
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Tue May 14th 2024, 06:27 AM
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