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CNN says Obama is "just barely ahead" of Clinton in pledged delegates

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Johnny__Motown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:18 PM
Original message
CNN says Obama is "just barely ahead" of Clinton in pledged delegates



They list Obama's lead at 129 delegates and then say "just barely ahead" On Ballot Bowl.



Don't they understand that proportional allocation makes this lead insurmountable?




I know CNN is slanted for Hillary, always has been. It took them a month to separate pledged and super delegates. Their confusing these gave the impression that Hillary had won impressive leads in the early contests when the truth is she has always been behind in pledged delegates.



Well, I guess it is time for another e-mail to CNN.. not that the others have done any good.




P.S. My dvr remote broke and the new one needed to be special ordered so I can't rewind right now. I may have small details wrong but the essence of this post is accurate.
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Vinca Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:19 PM
Response to Original message
1. So we can assume they didn't tell the world Obama won Texas, right? nt
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Johnny__Motown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:19 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Not that I saw.. they mentioned it but said counting was still going on
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TexanDem Donating Member (786 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:24 PM
Response to Reply #2
10. They darn sure announce other states on election nights!
They'll call a state when only 5% is in! Saying they're waiting for ALL the votes is cop out to hide their prejudices! Bet they wait till June when Texas has final convention!! They're sooooo freakin transparent!
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anamandujano Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. She won the Primary. Get it? Got it? Good.
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PseudoIntellect Donating Member (701 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:24 PM
Response to Reply #6
11. Yeah, she won the primary.
And she lost the caucus by more than she won the primary.

Therefore, she lost Texas overall.

Of course, she WON Texas if caucuses don't count at all. But I'm pretty sure it did count.
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:25 PM
Response to Reply #6
13. She won the Primary by 100,000 votes
And 4 delegates.

She lost the caucus by 9 delegates.

She lost Texas by 5 delegates. Get it? Got it? Good.
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Window Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:43 PM
Response to Reply #13
30. LOL! Arrogant little bunch, aren't they.
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anamandujano Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 04:52 PM
Response to Reply #13
45. Millions voted in the primary so it was a better read on the populace.
The fraction of people who voted in the primary doesn't begin to compare. Add to that, security in the primary was a smidgen more stringent.
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 05:00 PM
Response to Reply #45
46. The caucus portioned is design to require candidates to put boots on the
ground to win. It forces the campaigns to actually be in the state and connect with people, organize.

The Primary did have nearly 3 million voters, and Hillary eeked out a win by 100,000.

At the end of the day, Obama won Texas. He has the better organized campaign.
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BumRushDaShow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:25 PM
Response to Reply #6
14. He won the most TX delegates, which is what counts. Get it? Got it? Good.
:eyes:
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Johnny__Motown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:35 PM
Response to Reply #6
23. Only if you change the definition, she won the popular vote contest, that is not the same as the
primary

the Texan primary contest is a combination of the popular vote and the caucus. Obama wins the primary by winning more delegates, Sorry.
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JVS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:37 PM
Response to Reply #6
24. She keeps losing delegates. Can you understand what a delegate is?
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anonymous171 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:20 PM
Response to Original message
3. Can we threaten to boycott the convention coverage if they keep doing this?
I hate how they will profit off of our debacle.
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anamandujano Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:21 PM
Response to Reply #3
7. I like the sound of that.
:)
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Bicoastal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:20 PM
Response to Original message
4. This contest has been a godsend for the pundits and talking heads and they don't want it to end.
That's why every time they're not in a hurry to pick out a frontrunner.
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:22 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. Plus it means they can ignore all of the gaffes and misstatements of their boy McCain
McCain can do no wrong, and their job is even easier when the Democrats are having cat fights.
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SeattleGirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:27 PM
Response to Reply #8
17. That's so true. But even when we do have a nominee, much of the
M$M will still give McCain a free pass. Sickening.

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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:20 PM
Response to Original message
5. I'm watching that and saw them say that, too. They went on to say "Obama OR Hillary will be set to
gain a few delegates out of this. :eyes:
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PseudoIntellect Donating Member (701 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:22 PM
Response to Original message
9. Heh...gain "a few delegates" out of this...
more like Obama will gain more delegates than Clinton gained from the primary.
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:25 PM
Response to Original message
12. 129?? where did they get that number
apparently they all flunked 5th grade math

a train leaves the station and is traveling at 70 mph..a train leaves the same station on the same track 45 minutes later, and is traveling at 55 mph... when will train #2 catch up to train #1 ..

answer:..NEVER

(unless train #1 derails and train #2 crashes into it..killing all aboard)
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Swamp Rat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:35 PM
Response to Reply #12
22. I, too, would like to know from under which mossy stone they found this number.
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Johnny__Motown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:39 PM
Response to Reply #22
27. I think it was 129 pledged, again I can't rewind right now so maybe my math is off a little
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:41 PM
Response to Reply #22
29. Hey Swampy.. I have an idea for ya..
President O's motorcade going up Pennsylvania ave with Hillary in her yellow pantsuit..clinging to the back bumper :)
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Swamp Rat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:45 PM
Response to Reply #29
32. LOL... all my efforts are going toward slamming McCain from now on, but here's a 'motorcade' pic:


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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:45 PM
Response to Reply #12
31. I believe they were talking about delegate lead (total)
The pledged delegate lead is about 160. However Hillary has about a 30 or so lead in super delegates. So that brings the total delegate lead to 120 something. Not the same thing as pledged delegate lead....

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totodeinhere Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:25 PM
Response to Original message
15. CNN slants for Hillary except for Anderson Cooper, who seems to...
favor Obama. Fox is in the tank for Clinton but that's because they think she will be the weaker candidate against McCain. MSNBC is a mixed bag. Abrams, Buchanan, and Scarborough seem to be for Clinton but their highest rated host, Olberman, is for Obama.
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:26 PM
Response to Original message
16. Hillary "just barely behind Obama in the delegate count and the popular vote count..."
Then, like I said above, the guy said there's potential for EITHER ONE of them to "peel away a delegate or two" from the "3rd step" of the Texas "two-step." :eyes:
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thoughtcrime1984 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:28 PM
Response to Original message
18. CNN is largely worthless- Hillary and McCain propaganda network.
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City Lights Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:29 PM
Response to Original message
19. CNN doesn't understand percentages either.
Real Clear Politics has Obama ahead by 166 pledged delegates. What is the purpose of CNN anyway? They're certainly not a "news" organization.
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GoldieAZ49 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:32 PM
Response to Original message
20. with about a 1000 delegates that haven't voted yet
it is a minor lead, super delegates don't count on 'endorsements' but only on votes.

The convention is when all the votes will be cast.


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Johnny__Motown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:38 PM
Response to Reply #20
25. Remember Ohio.. what did she pick up .. 7? even with 1000 left she can't pick up 50
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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:39 PM
Response to Reply #20
26. Don't try to explain that to Obama fanatics
they'll tell you that you're "math challenged." LOL.

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Johnny__Motown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:41 PM
Response to Reply #26
28. Explain to me how she can pick up even 10% of those as a net gain? I am good at math
Very good at math...


Please try to exlain it..


Maybe look at wins in places Like OHIO where her net was more like 4%, and that was a big state with lots of delegates.
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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:47 PM
Response to Reply #28
33. No one wins without superdelgates
End of story.

And if it looks like he's going down to certain defeat, it's their job to ensure he doesn't get the nomination- and drag EVERYONE ELSE down with him.

Same applies to Hillary.
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Johnny__Motown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:52 PM
Response to Reply #33
35. And SD will not overturn the pledged delegate leader.. here is some math for you and a link
Edited on Sun Mar-30-08 03:58 PM by Johnny__Motown

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/scorecard/



CNN has Ohio as...


145 total delegates, Clinton's net was 7. That is a 4.8% net. Let's be generous and call it 5%


so if she can repeat that IN EVERY STATE that remains (assuming your 1000 number is accurate) she will bet 5% of 1000 or 50 (edit, there are only 918 pledged delegates left)


CNN's site has Obama's lead at 171.. so if she cuts into that with 5% of all remaining delegates Obama's lead will be approx 121.




Please find some error in the math or stop insulting Obama supporters. You are the one who refuses to accept facts
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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:56 PM
Response to Reply #35
36. Once again- he won't win without superdelegates -and the convention may be deadlocked
Which, given the way things look- would be a blessing come November.
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Johnny__Motown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:59 PM
Response to Reply #36
38. You just can't handle the truth, The SD will NOT over turn the decision of the pledged delegates
Edited on Sun Mar-30-08 03:59 PM by Johnny__Motown
It won't be deadlocked



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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 04:05 PM
Response to Reply #38
41. That's your opinion
Not mathematical fact.

And there are already increasing call for them to do just that....
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Johnny__Motown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 04:31 PM
Response to Reply #41
43. You said that you can't explain to an Obama supporter about the 1000 remaining
pledged delegates


So, try to explain it to me.....



You made the allegation, back it up.



My math clearly shows that Clinton won't be able to cut into his pledged delegate lead by even 50 delegates.


You offer nothing in return except the empty hope that Super delegates will over turn the pledged delegate leader, even when that lead is 125+ delegates.


The only people calling for them to do that are suicide bombing Clinton supporters. Dean is head of the DNC and says it won't happen. Pelosi will chair the credentials committee and says it won't happen. Reid is the most powerful dem in the senate and he says it won't happen.



Back up your opinions ..... mine are grounded in facts

and stop accusing Obama supporters of what you are doing. We have the facts and the math on our side
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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 06:20 PM
Response to Reply #43
47. "We have the facts and the math on our side" LOL
Edited on Sun Mar-30-08 06:21 PM by depakid
No, you don't. Which is why this looks like it's going to the convention. Maybe he can persuade enough superdelegates to vote for him- maybe not.

It takes 2025 to get the nomination- that's a fact, not some wishful thinking or browbeating with illusory numbers.
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Johnny__Motown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 06:31 PM
Response to Reply #47
48. We started talking pledged delegates, you couldn't back up your statement and jumped to SD to avoid
the FACT that she can't catch up to him


Every party leader says that the pledged delegate leader will be the nominee

you have nothing but unsubstantiated allegations and empty rhetoric


Obama's lead is insurmountable.


Fats and Math, on our side


Lies and innuendo, on your side
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Johnny__Motown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 04:04 PM
Response to Reply #26
40. I Am Telling You You Are Math Challenged.... try to refute my numbers
You can't



You jump to super delegates because you ARE MATH CHALLENGED
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Johnny__Motown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 04:02 PM
Response to Reply #20
39. IF she repeats her win in Ohio in EVERY state that remains she will be 127 pledged behind
Try to explain that to Clinton supporters


918 pledged delegates left


Obama's lead on CNN's site is 171


Clinton's net in Ohio was 4.8%


do the math
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RUMMYisFROSTED Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:33 PM
Response to Original message
21. Here's the funny thing:
They'll call a race with 2% reporting but they won't call a race with 92% reporting.

92% of the vote is in.

It's over.
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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:51 PM
Response to Original message
34. Their purpose is to have it carry on. It's a rating thing.
Edited on Sun Mar-30-08 03:52 PM by mmonk
They're not ready to go back to Britney or Paris yet.
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dailykoff Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 03:59 PM
Response to Original message
37. CIA Koolaid Network
Laugh, but it's true. They've pimped Bushler crimes for the last 8 years and Clinton and Bush I crimes (like Waco and Gulf War I) before that. :puke:
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samsingh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 04:06 PM
Response to Original message
42. cnn wants Hillary to win so that mccain can beat her
rw support for Hillary is designed to support mccain.

Hillary, who still like but used to love, does not inspire like Obama does. And sadly, the Clinton's seem to enable and protect bush against the bush family war crimes.
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krawhitham Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 04:42 PM
Response to Original message
44. It is called RATINGS
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