Predict the Pennsylvania Primary Results

[aaroh]

Who's going to win the Pennsylvania Primary and by what margin?

As a general guide the latest (03/24/08) Ramussen poll shows Hillary up 49 to 39

[Spider Jerusalem]

1. My best guess is Clinton by somewhere between 60-40 and 55-45

which will be nowhere near enough. And there's every chance that Obama's voter registration and GOTV efforts may exceed expectations, so this estimate is a conservative one.

[TeamsterDem]

2. As an Obama supporter

I think HRC will win the state by 10 or so points given a few factors, namely the conservative tilt to Pennsylvania. I hope I'm wrong but that's my prediction. Make me wrong Barack!!!!

[harun]

6. I think Philadelphia is going to swing it for Obama

                               .oPYo. .o oooooo 
                                   `8  8 8      
                                  oP'  8 8pPYo. 
                               .oP'    8     `8 
                               8'      8     .P 
                               8ooooo  8 `YooP' 

Keep'n the dream alive.

[Cosmocat]

7. Obama is going to close the gap ...

Living in PA ... I think Hill wins it, but as his established pattern indicates, given time to really get in and campaign, Obama will make it a lot more competitive than the early polls indicated ...

I am hoping for him to get it close to, or within five total points ...

[thoughtcrime1984]

3. 5-10 Hil

I'll say 9%, but anything in the single digits will be just fine!

[Eurobabe]

4. I say Obama by +2

Prepare to be surprised. :hi:

[davidpdx]

5. I think more then 5% and less then 10%

Then again, we may all be wrong. Predicting the outcome of any one state vote has been pretty difficult this year.

[Zachstar]

8. She may win by a small margin.

The thing is Obama has managed to turn states where she was expected to win BIG and turn them into small wins for her when it comes to delegate count. If he does the same to this one and any others that give Clinton momentum. It will be yet another big loss for Clinton who needs a big win badly.

So in terms of delegates and even vote count I think her win will be very small.

Afterwards she is getting back into the states where Obama will likely win.

So the goal here is and has always been to reduce the win to such where Clinton can't take much out of it to the convention. There is no goalpost moving by Obama. A win is great but steady progress and removing Clinton momentum will get him to the white house in the end.

Oh and hello everyone! I am back and looking very forward to Obama winning more states later on! Steady progress will win this people!!

Clinton is not likely to exit (Debt and Pride as I see it as usual) Yet as long as we keep up the efforts to expose her and give hope for a better tomorrow. We will see President Obama addressing us from the white house!