Gallup Daily: Obama 49%, Clinton 45%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

PRINCETON, NJ -- The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows a closer Democratic nomination race than has been the case in recent days, with 49% of Democratic voters nationwide saying they are most likely to support Barack Obama for the party's presidential nomination and 45% choosing Hillary Clinton.


Obama enjoyed a statistically significant lead in the prior four Gallup Poll Daily election tracking releases, covering March 25-27 through March 28-30 polling. His lead grew as large as 10 percentage points. Today's three-day rolling average, based on March 29-31 polling, shows an improvement for Clinton, and echoes the general pattern that has been observed in tracking since Super Tuesday, with neither candidate able to sustain a significant lead in preferences. Obama's four-day run with a significant lead was the longest lead during this time span. (To view the complete trend since Jan. 2, 2008, click here.)

The latest update on general election preferences shows Republican John McCain with a 2-point advantage over both Democrats among registered voters -- 46% to 44% versus Obama and 47% to 45% versus Clinton. McCain has held at least a slight edge in every tracking release since mid-March, shortly after he clinched the nomination. -- Jeff Jones


http://www.gallup.com/poll/105952/Gallup-Daily-Obama-49-Clinton-45-Latest-Update.aspx

[TwilightGardener]

1. Up-n-down, up-n-down.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. Clinton Took A Big Hit From Her Tuzla Fib

All politicians gild the lily... That fib was just stupid...

[TwilightGardener]

6. It was pretty bad. If it was anyone else, it would be fatal, in fact.

Imagine if Obama had said this, or John Edwards had said this, or Joe Biden--repeatedly--and got caught the way she did (on video) and reacted the same way (sleep deprivation? FOUR TIMES???). I'm surprised it didn't take that much of a toll on her in the polls, frankly. The reason why it didn't is because I don't think people who support her necessarily expect honesty from her--they don't mind her fibs and tall tales, they just like her terrier-like tenacity.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. Reagan Said He Was There When The Death Camps Were Liberated In WW ll

He was a captain in the U S Army making movies.stateside, because he couldn't serve in combat because he was near sighted...

LBJ said he served gloriously in WW 11 but his biographer discovered he spent fifteen or so minutes in actual combat...

All politicians as well as regular folk gild the lily but like I said it was a stupid and superfluous fib...

[TwilightGardener]

8. I can almost sort of see Reagan's lie--almost. Men of his generation

who were not able to serve in combat must have felt very left out of WW2--war is (or used to be) a man's proving ground. Still a lie, though, and he wasn't a fundamentally honest man anyway. I can understand Hillary exaggerating a little for effect--but to make something up that never happened, and to continue to assert it repeatedly, even though people on the trip (Sinbad) had gone public in disputing her story, is just crazy--or pure hubris.

[acrosstheuniverse]

3. I guess Hillary's manipulation worked again

The cry of how unfair it is for her to step down from the race has made her the fighting underdog people feel bad for again. The next ROCKY! Please. She's a master con-artist who intends on destroying the party.

[stratomagi]

4. Seems to me it always gets tighter mid week then the gap

widens again over the weekends.

[BeyondGeography]

5. Weekend/weekday...this is Hillary's time of the week with Gallup

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/03/claim_gallup_tracking_poll_may.php