ABC This Week: Democrats agree it should go on up to a point, but if its close in PA or if he splits

[loveangelc]

the May 6th states, there will be a major shift in super delegates to Obama. Thats what George Stephonoplis (sp?) said on This Week. I think it's interesting that he said coming close in pennsylvania OR splitting one of the 2 may 6th states would start the swarm of superdelegates. I wonder if that is his own speculation or if he really knows this will happen...

[Quixote1818]

1. It makes sense because if that happens Hillary's chances drop basically to zero

and there would be the beginnings of a ground swell for her to drop out. The Supers would start moving to Obama in droves.

[loveangelc]

2. I just thought it was interesting he said OR. so if she wins pa and he still splits

may 6th, there will still be a movement is what he is saying. I wonder if he knows this for a fact because he's discussed this with superdelegates or if its just his own speculation.

[johnnydrama]

3. here's what will happen

If she wins PA it won't be by a huge amount. He'll win NC very big, and Indiana will be very close.

The net delegates out of those states will be close to 0 at best for her.

So we'll have the 3 big remaining contests a draw, there will hardly be any states left, and she's right where she is now, with even less of a chance to win.

If NC & PA were the same day, this might already be over. She was counting on a 2 week bump after PA.