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101,331 people from every state participating in straw poll. Hillary wins 56% to 44%

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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:42 PM
Original message
101,331 people from every state participating in straw poll. Hillary wins 56% to 44%
I know I know, it's AOL and those people are old and use, gasp, dial-up internet conmnections (as if there's any evidence to support that). Never the less, it's still a huge pool of potential voters from every state in our country and it has Hillary beating Obama in 49 out of 50 states. Now, commence to attacking the poll's credibility while I laugh at you.
http://news.aol.com/political-machine/2008/04/07/aol-straw-poll-april-7-14/
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DUyellow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:43 PM
Response to Original message
1. I voted in that poll over 3 times. What does that tell you.
Edited on Wed Apr-09-08 07:44 PM by landonb16
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:44 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. You did it from 3 different computers then because that is the only way.
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woolldog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:46 PM
Response to Reply #2
7. It's not the only way
You can just clear your cookies. Unless the poll is IP based.
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DJ13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:46 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. You did it from 3 different computers then because that is the only way.
No, just delete the AOL cookies and revote.

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NashVegas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:57 PM
Response to Reply #8
45. When I Wrote Online Polls
Edited on Wed Apr-09-08 07:58 PM by Crisco
I had a script that automatically deleted the votes of people voting multiple times from the same IP. They got "thank yous" and never knew the difference.
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TahitiNut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:14 PM
Response to Reply #45
66. AOL pools IP addys at the telco pad. So, that wouldn't work.
Anyone who next dialed in and got that IP would be refused. AOL is notorious (remember the suit?) for a high subscriber to IP ratio.

:shrug:
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BlueIdaho Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:50 PM
Response to Reply #66
97. Dynamic assigned IP addresses?
Do they matter here?
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pnorman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 04:08 AM
Response to Reply #45
146. I recall on old Freek Republic posting from a few years back.
The guy BOASTED of "Perl scripts" that would allow as many votes as desired, and within a time frame that wouldn't ring off any alarms at the other end. That was in connection with their customary exhortation of: "Hey guys, lets Freep that poll!"

pnorman
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woolldog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:58 PM
Response to Reply #8
47. lol
great minds think alike. :hi:
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DUyellow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:45 PM
Response to Reply #8
92. not only that, but diffrent IP address too. That is why i said atleast 3 times, becaues i have done
it more times, but on the same computer.
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NashVegas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:56 PM
Response to Reply #1
39. You Really Really Really Like Hillary?
Great!
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DUyellow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:46 PM
Response to Reply #39
93. huh?
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susankh4 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:49 PM
Response to Reply #93
96. You mean you voted three times for Obama?
And he still lost?

Yowzaa!
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DUyellow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 09:56 PM
Response to Reply #96
109. I guess we have the new goal post people... AOL Straw poll.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:44 PM
Response to Original message
3. What's the renegade
state in the poll?
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:45 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. MD
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:53 PM
Response to Reply #4
25. OK, so in this :"poll" she won VT
but in reality, he won VT by something like 18 pts. Clearly, there's
a discrepancy here, and what are you going to believe, real people casting real votes in a real primary, or an internet poll? Do you
see how silly this is?
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:06 PM
Response to Reply #25
60. I just see a lot of people across the country not preferring Obama.
I've never relaly claimed that it is a deal breaker of any kind, just that it suggests that Obama might not do as well in a general election as some would like to believe. personally, I never needed a poll to know that. He's winning the primaries becasue of his appeal to the margin but he needs to win the center to win a GE and guess who owns the ceneter? That's right, John Fucking McCain.
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roseBudd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:52 PM
Response to Reply #60
98. I can't wait to see young tall Obama standing next to old 5'7" McCain
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 09:55 PM
Response to Reply #98
108. yeah, That will surely win over undecided voters.
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roseBudd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 06:34 AM
Response to Reply #108
158. Unfortunately that is correct, fortunately we have the taller candidate in Obama, Hillary not
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:45 PM
Response to Original message
5. So maybe being honest and calling the poll an Internet Poll instead of Straw Poll
Edited on Wed Apr-09-08 07:45 PM by FrenchieCat
would make you appear kinda of more credible, hey?

But go ahead, we already saw this poll, and judge that Gallup is more reliable.

But thanks for giving Hillary supporters a tinch of false hopes......since they believe that there is such thing! Charlie Cook as assessed that Hillary, at this time, as a 5% chance of winning the nomination.

You don't have to laugh at us, we'll just laugh with ya! :)
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:45 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. tell that to the people who devised the poll as they called it a straw poll.
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DarienComp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:49 PM
Response to Reply #6
15. I call my dog a cat. It's a cat.
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davidinalameda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 10:03 PM
Response to Reply #15
112. meow
:hi:
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:47 PM
Response to Reply #5
10. Hillary's chances of winning the nomination are about equal to Barack's chances
of winning the general election, perhaps a little better.
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:48 PM
Original message
more nick-picking--go back to your bookbags!
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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:55 PM
Response to Reply #5
36. "judge that Gallup is more reliable."
Maybe in relative terms- but that's not saying much....
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:46 PM
Response to Original message
9. Apparently Hillary is more well liked in Illinois. Tell me Aquarius, what do you think of that?
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:47 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. A computer deficit in Chicago?
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:47 PM
Response to Original message
11. This is about
As useful as me calling the race from my canvasing data of one neighborhood in Lehigh County of 60 houses.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:49 PM
Response to Reply #11
16. bullshit. It's a sample of over 100,000 people.
what's more, AOL does this poll every week and every week it's the same thing, hundreds of thousands of people preferring McCain and Hillary over Obama.
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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:52 PM
Response to Reply #16
24. It doesn't matter how BIG the sample is
if it suffers from bias- (as this one obviously does in more ways that we might recount) the results of the "poll" will be bogus.

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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:56 PM
Response to Reply #24
41. "It suffers from bias" not unlike a caucus.
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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:00 PM
Response to Reply #41
52. Yep- Caucuses don't accurately reflect the electorate at large either
for some similar reasons- e.g. response & non-response bias, for starters.
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:02 PM
Response to Reply #41
56. WTF
Do caucuses have to do with anything?

Are you suggesting we vote via AOL?
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:55 PM
Response to Reply #16
35. ITS AN INTERNET POLL
100,000,000 people will possibly vote in this next election. This poll is targeted to a specific demographic that trends older and white. My canvasing is maybe 100 people of 100,000 people who will vote in my county for the election targeted to a demographic that lives in that one neighborhood. That's the best comparison.
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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:57 PM
Response to Reply #35
43. Oh, there's a LOT more going on than that
but it's cool that some people are at least thinking about this stuff!
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movonne Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:09 PM
Response to Reply #16
63. Sure because they want mc cain....they are afraid of Obama
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BlueIdaho Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:48 PM
Response to Original message
13. Three Words...
Internet Straw Poll

Keep moving - nothing to see here folks.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:50 PM
Response to Reply #13
18. Right, it's only 100,000+ responses, that's trivial. Move along folks.
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BlueIdaho Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:52 PM
Response to Reply #18
23. 100,000 responses how many unique voters?
Answer - you can't tell me that - huh? Could be YOU voting 100,000 times now couldn't it?
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:58 PM
Response to Reply #23
46. Nope, 1 vote per IP address. Nice try though.
Furthermore, only idiots like...would waste their time trying to skew an internet poll in favor of one person or another.
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BlueIdaho Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:26 PM
Response to Reply #46
76. Nope
Clear the cookies and vote again - I DID
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:33 PM
Response to Reply #76
83. That explains how Obama just picked up south dakota I guess.
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BlueIdaho Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:49 PM
Response to Reply #83
95. Well I guess it would depend on
if the polling was done to some recognized scientific standards of if it was some fucked up bullshit internet straw poll - huh?
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Starbucks Anarchist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:58 PM
Response to Reply #18
48. 122,000,000+ people voted in the 2004 election.
So yes, 100,000 is trivial.
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SoonerPride Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:48 PM
Response to Original message
14. The poll is not credible,
Edited on Wed Apr-09-08 07:48 PM by SoonerPride
Otherwise Hillary would have won more delegates.

The fact that she did not and has not is indicative that your "poll" is crap.
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Jane Austin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:49 PM
Response to Original message
17. I'd like to see the groups of states in each primary
closer together geographically to reduce unnecessary travel and so they oould make media buys that work for neighboring states - like Boston for both Massachusetts and New Hampshire and Kansas City for both Kansas and Missouri.

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NanceGreggs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:50 PM
Response to Original message
19. WOW!
Nothing more accurate than an on-line poll!

Any explanation as to why Hillary isn't actually beating Obama in the real world?

Just wonderin' ... :shrug:
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:54 PM
Response to Reply #19
28. Ya know, I don't even care about the primary anymore. I've moved on.
fact of the matter is, I think America is going to bitch slap Obama in November regardless of how well he does in mississippi or North carolina or Virginia. This guy is not electable.
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NanceGreggs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:00 PM
Response to Reply #28
53. Gee, you sound almost like ...
... you're hoping we'll lose in November just because your gal got trounced.


That wouldn't be the case, would it?
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:15 PM
Response to Reply #53
70. I call em as I see em. If that's too much reality for you, do yourself a favor,
put me on ignore lest your brain get hurt.
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NanceGreggs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:21 PM
Response to Reply #70
73. I never put anyone on 'Ignore' ...
... because then I'd miss all the really entertaining stuff - like people quoting AOL polls!!!
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:25 PM
Response to Reply #73
75. I'll save this just so I can send it to you after the general election.
That should be entertaining.
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NanceGreggs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:38 PM
Response to Reply #75
87. Please do!
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mrreowwr_kittty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 10:19 PM
Response to Reply #28
116. "Bitch slap" is a misogynistic and highly offensive term. Just saying. nt
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 12:35 AM
Response to Reply #116
137. true enough. My apologies.
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goldcanyonaz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:51 PM
Response to Original message
20. This would be the greatest poll in the world had Obama been in the lead.
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onenote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:53 PM
Response to Reply #20
26. and what would you have said about it if that was the case?
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goldcanyonaz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:57 PM
Response to Reply #26
44. The usual AOL sucks response.
:D
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:11 PM
Response to Reply #44
65. You'll notice, if you read my post carefully, that I anticipated that.
;-)
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bobbert Donating Member (548 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:14 PM
Response to Reply #65
67. Even though you admit there is some bias because of the users
Everywhere else in this topic you are arguing that they represent all of the US. Which is is, biased or not?

The fact that Obama even has 2 states now compared to where the numbers were yesterday when another Hillary fan posted shows that actual people are starting to vote now instead of bots.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:18 PM
Response to Reply #67
72. Actually, it probably shows a bunch of Obamamaniacs trying to skew the poll.
it's still over 100,000 people not preferring Obama for some reason. her ein ohio, I haven't talked to anybody that will vote for him. I know lots of people who intended to vote for Hillary but who have made it clear that they will not vote for BO and most of them are women. Fact is, I haven't talked to a single white female who plans to vote for him and I work with scores of white women and we talk about this stuff. Then there's the white males, we won't even get into that one.
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bobbert Donating Member (548 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:55 PM
Response to Reply #72
99. Wow, that is a representation of the ENTIRE US
it's too bad I don't know a single person that will vote for Hillary.... does that mean that there is only a tiny fraction of the US that would vote for Hillary? Your logic is crap and you didn't even respond to the first half of my post.
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onenote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 10:24 PM
Response to Reply #72
118. I just talked to my wife, a white woman, and she won't vote for Hillary
Edited on Wed Apr-09-08 10:25 PM by onenote
And then I called a family friend, also a white woman, and she said she won't vote for Hillary either.

I love these scientific polls, don't you?

BTW -- I am pushing hard with my "ABC" friends to realize that if,by some chance, HRC ends up getting the nomination, they should stop being ridiculous and vote for her over McCain, because the alternative is completely unacceptable. Sounds like you and every other woman you know would prefer McCain and everything that stands for. Sad.
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IsItJustMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 09:21 AM
Response to Reply #72
169. I would then suggest you live in a bubble, and a very small one at that.
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Blondbostonian Donating Member (298 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:54 PM
Response to Reply #20
29. I wish there was an IQ test required to get on the internet.
An internet poll? Are you fucking serious? Are Clinton supporters that desperate? If Obama supporters were touting this, I would be on them as well.

This is not a scientific poll and not valid in the slightest. In other words...IT MEANS NOTHING...
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goldcanyonaz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:58 PM
Response to Reply #29
49. Potty fingers!
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:54 PM
Response to Reply #20
33. True that. It would be definitive evidence of his overwhelming awsomeness.
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:56 PM
Response to Reply #20
40. No
I'd still bash it as an internet poll that doesn't mean anything.
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DarienComp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:56 PM
Response to Reply #20
42. Well, since we're in the lead in real polls, you can have this one.
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Bigleaf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:51 PM
Response to Original message
21. Laugh at us? Is that you Mark Penn? Come on, fess up.
:rofl:

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adoraz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:51 PM
Response to Original message
22. breaking news: Obama wins by MASSIVE margin in new straw poll
Edited on Wed Apr-09-08 07:52 PM by adoraz
I just polled my family. Results:

Obama- 100%
Clinton- 0%

Straw polls really mean nothing. I don't care how many people participate.

he leads by double digits in the scientific polls.
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DarienComp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:54 PM
Response to Reply #22
30. Hey, you plagiarist! J'accuse!
:hi:

www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=5421895&mesg_id=5422004
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adoraz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:59 PM
Response to Reply #30
51. lol! I'm trying to remember now...
If I had gotten that from your post or not. I may have, but I'm honestly not sure if I read that before. :)
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DarienComp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:02 PM
Response to Reply #51
57. don't sweat it, it's probably just a case of great minds thinking alike.
:toast:
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totodeinhere Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:53 PM
Response to Original message
27. What part of unscientific poll don't you understand?
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anonymous171 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:54 PM
Response to Original message
31. That poll is being bombarded by pro-hillary forums. Not a valid sample.
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Danger Mouse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:54 PM
Response to Original message
32. go ahead and laugh, it doesn't make the poll at all representative or valid.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:56 PM
Response to Reply #32
38. I'm gonna be laughing. That much I'm sure of.
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goldcanyonaz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:26 PM
Response to Reply #38
77. .....
:thumbsup:
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izzybeans Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:55 PM
Response to Original message
34. AOL. NT
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:56 PM
Response to Original message
37. Well hell, fuck the primarys, based on this we should giver her the nomination!
You changed my mind.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:01 PM
Response to Reply #37
54. All I'm saying is that Obama is far less popular outside of the DU primaries site than he is inside.
and that there is evidence to support the claim that he is not nearly as electable in a GE as you and others here like to assert.
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bobbert Donating Member (548 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:02 PM
Response to Reply #54
59. Have you ever seen the political discussions on AOL.com?
Take a look at that before you think about the world view, AOLers are basically freepers
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bobbert Donating Member (548 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 07:59 PM
Response to Original message
50. Jesus, we went through this last night
at least Obama caught up to Hillary in IL now. We are going to get this poll posted by a Hillary fan every night. I wish I could ignore all posts that contain 'AOL'
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Upton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:01 PM
Response to Original message
55. Do you have any idea how foolish this looks?
Edited on Wed Apr-09-08 08:02 PM by Upton
Ron Paul used to win all the online polls, look where he is.
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JVS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:02 PM
Response to Original message
58. It's an internet poll. BFD
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PseudoIntellect Donating Member (701 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:07 PM
Response to Original message
61. Hillary wins 48-2 in states. okay...
So clearly, the poll is VERY accurate.
:eyes:
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:10 PM
Response to Reply #61
64.  :headburiedinsand
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Upton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:08 PM
Response to Original message
62. Here's some real polls
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:30 PM
Response to Reply #62
81. here's some more
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Upton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:47 PM
Response to Reply #81
94. At least it's not AOL
Hillary wins Pa. by only single digits it's a victory for Obama.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 09:50 PM
Response to Reply #94
106. I disagree with that. She's winning the big traditionally blue states via primary elections.
Obama is ahead becasue of caucus voters in traditionally red states which means nothing in a general election. That coupled with the disproportionate support he has from the AA community equals the political equivalent of Katrina for us in November.
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:14 PM
Response to Original message
68. So Barack
Loses Hawaii, IL, WI, VT, WA, OR, NC, SC, etc

People voted in 44 states and Obama won 28 of them and the delegate totals in 30 of them.

So you can take AOL and when the DNC counts this as a delegate allocation device you can be happy.
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Bigleaf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:15 PM
Response to Original message
69. Quick! Get this to every major media outlet. Please! You can be sure that they will absolutely be
laughing their fucking asses off in, oh, I'd say, 2 seconds. Try it. Come on, you're fucking with us, aren't you? You really support Obama, no?

:rofl:
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DerekJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:17 PM
Response to Original message
71. I just voted and I am Canadian !!!
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MaineDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 06:12 AM
Response to Reply #71
155. Excellent point. Thank you
Another example of why this type of poll is totally unreliable.
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Medusa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:23 PM
Response to Original message
74. Desperate much?
Apparently so if AOL is now a reliable source. :rofl:
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:29 PM
Response to Reply #74
80. Curiously, the AOL Pennsylvania results are similar to the RCP Pennsylvania results
Edited on Wed Apr-09-08 08:31 PM by aquarius dawning
a little better but also with an additional 6,000 people (approx) participating.
edit: I meant the RCP polls, not Gallup specifically
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:26 PM
Response to Original message
78. Online polls are bullshit no matter who is running them
No pollster or political scientist takes them seriously.
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Condem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:28 PM
Response to Original message
79. Obamas
Why are you weighing in on this shit?
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madrchsod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:32 PM
Response to Original message
82. what does that have anything to do with anything?
the poll has no creditability because it does`t make any sense..
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:34 PM
Response to Reply #82
84. The same can be said of your post Mr. natural.
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Condem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:39 PM
Response to Reply #84
88. Hey, Aquarius
What's the Jonathan Livingston Seagull shit?
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 09:41 PM
Response to Reply #88
102. It's an albatross actually
and it's Samuel Taylor Coleridge "shit" actually, not Jonathan Livingston seagull shit.
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Condem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 09:42 PM
Response to Reply #102
103. Thanks, aquarius!
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Blondiegrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:35 PM
Response to Original message
85. OBAMA WINS WEST VIRGINIA!!!
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Symarip Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:37 PM
Response to Original message
86. Why do they even publish Gallup Polls?
AOL is all over this shit!!!


SUSA, Gallup, Zogby - your days are numbered.
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Cal Carpenter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:40 PM
Response to Original message
89. Feel free to laugh at me
but as little as I know about statistics, I can say pretty confidently that a poll like that doesn't mean much of anything - no matter who it favors :shrug:
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GarbagemanLB Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:41 PM
Response to Original message
90. I just did a poll at my son's pre-school. 80% Obama, 10% Hillary, and 10% Ron Paul.
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DerekJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 08:43 PM
Response to Original message
91. aquarius dawning, you are a M*R*N
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 09:57 PM
Response to Reply #91
110. F*C* Y*U*S*H*L*
Edited on Wed Apr-09-08 09:57 PM by aquarius dawning
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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 09:20 PM
Response to Original message
100. so many Hillary supporters discount the validity of caucuses
but they promote an online poll. :eyes:
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 09:44 PM
Response to Reply #100
104. and so many Obama supporters promote the validity of winning red state caucuses
while discounting the valdity of winning big state primaries. I'm only pointing out that Obama isn't nearly as popular outside the DU primaries forum as he is inside it and that he's more than lilkey going to lose in November.
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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 09:49 PM
Response to Reply #104
105. who discounted Hillary's primary wins?
Obama's campaign, unlike Hillary's, didn't discount and question the validity of primaries that Hillary won. Hillary's campaign actively peddled the talking point that those caucuses were insignificant or unfair.

This is not a two way street as you say because that would require equivalent behavior from both campaigns --there wasn't.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 09:53 PM
Response to Reply #105
107. because he can't discount her victories. If he could have, he would have.
Obama's caucus victories in red states really don't matter in the general election and their validity in any potential battleground state is very questionable.
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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 10:01 PM
Response to Reply #107
111. i thought we were talking about validity in the primaries
aren't we?
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 10:14 PM
Response to Reply #111
113.  we were talking about the validity of winning primary elections in large traditionally blue states
versus the validity of winning caucuses in small states and traditionally red states. Which offers a more valid expression of the will of the Democratic party? I think the answer is obvious. As I have said many times, the left most elements of this party are forcing the rest of us to accept their candidate as the most viable candidate based on the smoke and mirrors of caucus elections. We all know that Obamam can hold the left and the AAs better than Hillary but that won't do him a bit of good in the general when he has to hold the middle ground against John McCain who just happens to be the undisputed ruler of the middle ground. Obama will, more than liklely, lose in November.
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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 10:15 PM
Response to Reply #113
114. you were talking about it
this started as talking about the process so far, which first must be used to determine the nominee.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 10:35 PM
Response to Reply #114
120. I think you're working hard to avoid the reality that I just injected into your mental processes.
My points have been clear and consistent all along and you decline to address them preferring instead to argue about what we were or were not arguing about. I'll say it again, Hillary's wins in PRIMARY ELECTIONS in BIG, TRADITIONALLY BLUE STATES are more representative of the will of the Democratic party as a whole than barack obama's CAUCUS victories in SMALL and TRADITIONALLY RED STATES. His inability to win big (or at all) in battleground states is even greater cause for alarm regarding his overall electability and, the fact that he is relying on the disproprtionate support of African Americans (key word: disproportionate) forces one to conculde that he has a very small chance of winning in November. This is what we're talking about.
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bobbert Donating Member (548 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 11:30 PM
Response to Reply #107
128. Isn't this a 2 way street? How are Hillary's not discountable but Obama's are?
A win is a win until you change the rules
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 11:36 PM
Response to Reply #128
130. not really
A caucus victory is less representative than a primary victory and a red state victory of any kind but especially of the caucus variety means jack shit.
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bobbert Donating Member (548 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 12:13 AM
Response to Reply #130
132. *plonk*
I don't know why I didn't do this earlier. I still don't understand any of your logic. My sister lives in a red state because her job took her there, now her primary vote means jack shit to you (she is a Hillary supporter but that doesn't matter). I hope you get relocated to a caucus state so that you can mean jack shit.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 12:32 AM
Response to Reply #132
134. spare me your contrived vexation
Democratic primary victories in traditionally red states still mean jack shit in a GE and caucus victories in traditionally red states mean even less. These are perfectly fair points when evaluating the general electability of a candidate and the super delegates had better consider them carefully as well as every other legitimate point brought up regarding Barack Obama's unelectability in a GE for their own sakes as well as the party's.
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dailykoff Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 09:20 PM
Response to Original message
101. JOL?
It is to laugh. :rofl:
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Neshanic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 10:18 PM
Response to Original message
115. But how? Hillary supporters are old, stupid and can't work a computer.
The Obama people must be at Starbucks having that new coffee, that or out buying bookbags.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 10:37 PM
Response to Reply #115
121. spring break just ended so they must be focused on scoring weed in the dorms again.
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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 10:20 PM
Response to Original message
117. Millions more participating in party sanctioned primaries and caucuses all over the nation.
Obama leads.

Attack that. :eyes:
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 10:38 PM
Response to Reply #117
122. I just did ya stoner.
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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 10:50 PM
Response to Reply #122
124. if that doesn't matter then your AOL online poll matters even less
you're the one smokin'
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 11:08 PM
Response to Reply #124
126. Just admit it, his victories are a sham and so is he.
Obama's red state caucus wins don't matter AT ALL and Hillary's big blue state primary wins are much more representative of the will of the Democratic party as a whole than his caucus victories in small states. Even after outspending her by millions of dollars, he still doesn't win the states that fucking matter. Ya'll can't argue otherwise so you throw up your ad hominems and your straw men and avoid this nagging little inconvenient truth altogether. that's fine. I don't even care anymore.
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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 12:09 AM
Response to Reply #126
131. wow, you are self-mocking
this is not helping Hillary. and i think you know that better than anyone.
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SnoopDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 10:33 PM
Response to Original message
119. It is all about the primary... Primaries determine who the candidate is...period...!
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 10:39 PM
Response to Reply #119
123. and the red state caucuses. Don't forget about the red state caucuses.
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 10:56 PM
Response to Original message
125. OMG.. Hillary won American Idol??? What did she sing??
Did she wear the yellow pantsuit??

I was holding out hope that Sanjaya would somehow come back & win :cry:
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Spider Jerusalem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 11:09 PM
Response to Original message
127. Internet polling means fuck-all.
Anyone who thinks otherwise is deluded.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-09-08 11:34 PM
Response to Reply #127
129. So do caucuses in red states.
and anyone who thinks otherwise is also deluded.
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Spider Jerusalem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 12:15 AM
Response to Reply #129
133. Then I suggest that you lobby the Democratic Party...
Edited on Thu Apr-10-08 12:31 AM by Spider Jerusalem
and get them to totally discount any role at all for red states in selecting the Democratic nominee. 'Democratic voters in red states don't matter'...pfft. Anyone who thinks that is a worthless fucking jackass who has no business calling himself a small- or large-D democrat.

Oh, and good luck holding onto Congress without those red state Democrats whose votes don't matter, too.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 12:34 AM
Response to Reply #133
135. better yet, I'll just keep throwing these points out there so the super delegates won't forget.
and, as a bonus, if they don't listen, I'll get to tell you "I told you so" in November.
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Spider Jerusalem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 12:35 AM
Response to Reply #135
136. You mean when Hillary with her 60 percent negatives gets beaten like a gong at a Buddhist temple?
Edited on Thu Apr-10-08 12:36 AM by Spider Jerusalem
Because that's what'll happen if she's nominated. Only someone suffering from extreme brain damage would think that the Democratic nominee (no matter which of Clinton or Obama it is) will NOT win those big Democratic states in November. That is a STUPID argument.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 12:38 AM
Response to Reply #136
138. You have evidence to support that do you?
and by the way, I don't necessarily disagree with you but I do think her chances will be better than Obama's. That being said, given the three of them, I think McCain's chances are better yet.
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Spider Jerusalem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 12:39 AM
Response to Reply #138
139. Evidence that she has sixty percent negatives nationally?
Edited on Thu Apr-10-08 12:39 AM by Spider Jerusalem
Just look at the polling. 37% favourable ratings are not a sign of a winner.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 12:40 AM
Response to Reply #139
141. She does well enough where it matters though.
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Spider Jerusalem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 12:43 AM
Response to Reply #141
142. Not really
you can't win the Electoral College with those blue states alone.

The whole argument is silly anyway; she has as much of a realistic chance of winning the nomination as Sean Hannity does of being named ambassador to the Court of St James.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 12:51 AM
Response to Reply #142
143. That's right, You need the battle ground states. and who is winning the battleground states?
I agree that the rabidity of the obama camp will deter the super delegates from making the sensible choice and I also agree that Obama's chances of winning the GE are less than John McCain's when it comes right down to it. Fact of the matter is, he is an albatross and we will all have to wear him around our necks for a good long time.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 12:39 AM
Response to Reply #136
140. actually, some of those big states that Hillary beats Obama in could go either way
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AmericanUnity Donating Member (342 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 01:02 AM
Response to Original message
144. BWAAAAAAAAAAAAA BWAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA! An AOL internet poll? BWAAAAAAAAAAAAA BWAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 01:10 AM
Response to Reply #144
145. BWAAAAAAAAAAAAA BWAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA! red states and caucus? BWAAAAAAAAAAAAA BWAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
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JustinL Donating Member (439 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 04:20 AM
Response to Original message
147. I just flipped Hawaii
It only took me 3 votes.
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JustinL Donating Member (439 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 04:40 AM
Response to Original message
148. Obama takes Vermont!
Thanks to my 6 votes.

Georgia just flipped too, but that wasn't me.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 05:04 AM
Response to Reply #148
149. It's funny, the poll remains invariably consistent every week right up until it gets posted on DU.
Go figure.
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JustinL Donating Member (439 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 05:07 AM
Response to Reply #149
150. so the poll has invariably shown Clinton ahead in states where Obama won the actual election?
Go figure, indeed.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 05:22 AM
Response to Reply #150
151.  How many of the states were caucus states?
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JustinL Donating Member (439 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 05:56 AM
Response to Reply #151
153. if you want to restrict yourself to the primaries, fine
Obama won the Illinois primary 67-31. The AOL poll has him tied with Clinton 50-50.

Obama won the Mississippi primary 61-37. The AOL poll has Clinton ahead 55-45.

Obama won the Maryland primary 60-37. The AOL poll has him tied with Clinton 50-50.

And so on.

Has the AOL poll invariably been that far off from the actual election results?
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 06:38 AM
Response to Reply #153
159. man, over 100,000 people have voted in this "little" poll
They have it every week and ever week it's the same thing, Hillary beating Barack nationwide. However you slice it, that's a large group of people who just aren't buying into the Obama song and dance. I would actually be willing to bet that more Americans vote in internet polls than in primary elections. It has always been the die hards that vote in the primaries and then everyone else comes along and votes in the general after we determine who they get to vote for. It's quite easy to draw and support the conclusion that the people voting in these polls never even voted in the primary elections let alone the caucuses. But guess what, they will vote in the general election and, judging by these numbers, it won't necessarily be overwhelmingly for Obama. The inability to even consider such a possibility buy "you guys" is what makes ya'll seem so fucking cult like. You just refuse to accept even the possibility that America isn't as ready for BO as you are.
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democracy1st Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 05:28 AM
Response to Original message
152. LOL
:wtf:
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MaineDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 06:07 AM
Response to Original message
154. 100,000 from every state? That's over 5 million people. Cool.
Maybe it's 101,000 total. ;) But it's still an online poll and counts for nothing.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 06:24 AM
Response to Reply #154
156. "it's still an online poll and counts for nothing."
just like red states and red states with caucuses.
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MaineDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 06:29 AM
Response to Reply #156
157. No, nothing like that at all.
How many people from overseas voted? Non-registered people vote.

People - gasp - lie in polls.

Things like that.

Slice it and dice it anyway you want but it's totally unscientific and not valid at all. Sorry.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 06:39 AM
Response to Reply #157
160. You're right. caucuses and red states and especially red state caucuses mean even less.
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MaineDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 06:42 AM
Response to Reply #160
161. You're not making any sense.
:eyes:

I have work to do. Enjoy your postings.
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HughBeaumont Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 06:46 AM
Response to Original message
162. Well, this flamebait was productive.
:eyes:
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 06:54 AM
Response to Reply #162
163. why do you call it flame bait? Because it suggests the unthinkable?
That Americans, by and large, aren't as ready for Barack Obama as you are?
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HughBeaumont Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 09:05 AM
Response to Reply #163
167. And they WILL be ready to elect . . . the former first lady?
The only thing that's unthinkable here is Hillary's chance of winning a general election when it's been deemed mathematically improbable at this point without the overturning by the Supers.

Oh, they'll be ready.

It's either Barack Obama or Bewsh Part III. The possibility of change vs the shit-end of the stick for the middle/working/poor classes, eternal war, and tax cuts aplenty for the rich at the expense of everything else.

Not really that difficult a choice, unless the voter hates/fears/doesn't trust all African Americans, which I guess would trump all other things.
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DerekJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 07:56 AM
Response to Original message
164. Kick-He/She is so smart I 've to kick it
:rofl: :rofl:
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Vinca Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 07:57 AM
Response to Original message
165. You can't take these polls with any kind of seriousness since
you can sit and vote all night and day if you're so inclined.
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DerekJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 08:04 AM
Response to Original message
166. Another kick
The OP will love this song: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vjteGR_nLhY
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EnviroBat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-10-08 09:08 AM
Response to Original message
168. Yipeee!
I just voted in this "poll" 3 fucking times. It's a bullshit internet poll, and says nothing other than desperate hillbots will buy anything.
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