New Poll: Both Obama and Hillary easily win PA against McCain

[book_worm]

Hillary vs. McCain 47-38
Obama vs. McCain 47-39

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2008_pennsylvania_presidential_election

I saw somebody post yesterday how only Hillary could win PA in November.

btw, here is latest poll of primary in PA: Hillary 44-35, but more undecideds favor Obama
Senator Hillary Clinton leads Senator Barack Obama by 44 – 35 percent among Pennsylvanians likely to vote in the Democratic presidential primary on April 22. Nineteen percent remain undecided or refuse to express a preference, but that group leans toward Obama. Adding in the undecided voters who lean to one candidate or the other shrinks Clinton’s lead to 47 – 41 percent

Percent Preferences of undecided Including preferences of undecided
Clinton 44 3 47
Obama 35 6 41
Another candidate 2 2
Don’t know/not sure 17 9
Refused 2 2

Differences among demographic groups are stark:
• 83 percent of blacks favor Obama, compared to 31 percent of whites
• 79 percent under the age of 30 favor Obama, compared to 28 percent over 60 years old
• 55 percent of women favor Clinton, compared to 32 percent of men

The contest is strikingly close, however, among white men, with Obama leading in that group, 40 – 35. That group also is especially likely to express equally favorable opinions about Clinton and Obama. “White men stand out as the group with the most ambivalence about the candidates, as a group and individually,” said Hagen. “That is certainly the reason the candidates have focused so much of their attention on white men in recent weeks.”

The race remains close enough that turnout will be critical, especially in the all-important allocation of convention delegates. The two sides bring different assets to the turnout contest. The Clinton campaign has the backing of more of Pennsylvania’s top elected officials, but the Obama campaign will have more money to spend to get out the vote.

http://www.temple.edu/newsroom/2007_2008/04/stories/Templepoll_Pennsylvania.htm

[book_worm]

1. Obama is having a hard time with women, and Hillary is having a hard time with men.

there's a big gender gap.

[MadBadger]

2. Like the Time Poll, the media will use the 47-41 number.

[book_worm]

3. Either number is fine with me. The main thing to my way of thinking is that there are lots of

undecideds and, at least according to this poll, are going to Obama 2-1.

[book_worm]

4. see new info in my original post.

[MattNC]

5. this is why

supporters of both candidates who start threads on a daily basis arguing why the other candidate can't win in the GE are wasting their energy typing. It's April. I can remember '04 polls showing that Kerry was going to win Arkansas and Tennessee. Long, long way to go.