Obama fans: Stop panicking. Hillary's campaign is already dead.

[backscatter712]

Just keep that in mind. Even if she wins Pennsylvania (and we're seeing more and more of an if from Pennsylvania now,) she'll lose the war.

Short of Obama eating a baby on live TV, he's already won.

That's the math.

Go play with Slate's delegate calculator and see for yourself just what it would take for Hillary to catch up. In the real world, it ain't gonna happen.

So don't panic.

Don't fall for the FAUX Noise spin. Obama's campaign is doing just fine. The Bitter kerfuffle will pass. Obama's a damned strong candidate, and something as petty and idiotic as Bittergate is not going to hurt him very much. Even with Karl Rove and Rupert Murdoch working behind the scenes with Hillary to put the media in swiftboat mode, it's clear that people just aren't buying their bullshit.

So sit back, have a beer, and relax.

Victory will come. Like I said, we've already won.

[NC_Nurse]

1. Agreed. K&R

:toast:

[Mags]

23. if wishes were horses we would all be riding. It ain't over til it is over.

[billyoc]

2. Agreed as well, K & R.

Although I'd like to see her and Bill drive a few more nails in the DLC coffin before they get played off.

[Yael]

3. Her latest ad is more like a railroad spike

Good to see ya, Billy! :hi:

[The Velveteen Ocelot]

4. The zombie campaign.

Weekend at Hillary's.
Night of the Living Candidate.

If the campaign is dead, I sure wish it would go lie down.

[backscatter712]

7. You rang?

[oasis]

5. "And the Obama Kool-Aid flowed like a mighty river."

:rofl:

[damonm]

8. As usual, the facts leave you

[oasis]

14. Fact: Hillary's campaign will continue into PA and beyond. If it was

clearly dead, you'd have no need to post this thread, now would ya?

[backscatter712]

17. Yet we all already know the outcome.

Hillary has an insurmountable delegate deficit, and all Obama has to do is what he's been doing.

And don't think the superdelegates are buying what Hillary's selling either - they're going to swing with the voters.

[oasis]

20. Before "bittergate" your argument may have had a leg to stand on. Now

it's panic time in Obamaland.

BTW, SuperDs look at electability first and foremost.

[backscatter712]

22. That's what they said about Wright, and about Rezko, and about that handshake snub.

All manufactured "scandals" all shown to be without substance, and all failing to stick.

But believe what you want to.

[wileedog]

6. Its never been worrying about winning

Its about how much damage she will do before the garlic is stuffed in her mouth and the wooden stake put through her heart.

[goldcanyonaz]

9. Nothing to see here. Let's move along...

[guyanakoolaid]

10. cheers

:toast: :beer: :toast: :beer: :toast: :beer:

[Left coast liberal]

11. You're right. I'm off to get that beer. thanks for the reality reminder!

:)

[corkhead]

12. dead_cat_bounce

A dead cat bounce is a term used by traders in the finance industry to describe a pattern wherein a moderate rise in the price of a stock follows a spectacular fall, with the connotation that the rise does not indicate improving circumstances. It is derived from the notion that "even a dead cat will bounce if it falls from a great height".

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dead_cat_bounce

[RiverStone]

13. Agreed, but...

How long will the SuperD's sit on their ass and NOT validate what you said backscatter712?

Remember, Hillary has stated she plans to take it all the way to the convention in late August.

I'll relax if the SuperD's end this dance in short order no later than the last primary in June - yet ideally after Obama's lead becomes even more insurmountable after the May 6 contests.

We need to relax! But we can't until this crazy long battle ends. With a couple of months to rest, heal, forgive, and unify - we can go to Denver as a united party.

See ya at the beach this summer - I hope. :hi:

[corkhead]

16. I predict a superdelegate "intervention" within a week of PA

[backscatter712]

24. That's what I'm thinking.

Party bigwigs have been making rumblings about ending the campaign for a few days now. If Hillary loses in Pennsylvania, or wins only by a narrow margin, they're gonna get the hook...

But I absolutely don't see the drama continuing more than a few days after May 20th.

That's the day of the Kentucky and Oregon primaries, and very likely, according to my estimates, the day when Obama reaches that magic number of 1627 pledged delegates and makes it mathematically impossible for Hillary to win the pledged delegate count. Trust me, it will be over very, very soon after that, if it isn't already over.

That's my worst-case scenario - primary drama continuing till the end of May. We'll still have five months of campaigning before November to thrash on McCain.

[knixphan]

15. listen to backscatter.

And stand up tall behind our guy!

And keep donating.

We are part of the offensive game, never forget.

[Beregond2]

18. I don't think

anyone doubts that. The anger is over how low Hilary has sunk by fighting the inevitable, and the potential damage to the party and the GE.

[backscatter712]

21. I'm with you there.

and like I said, don't sweat it.

Hillary's vicious, Rovian, dishonest campaign will go down in ignominious defeat. That's inevitable. Just grab some popcorn and watch the meltdown.

[Bonaparte]

19. Good point

Obama has a 138 delegate lead. That is IMO insurmountable nomatter how many fake scandals surface.

[Milo_Bloom]

25. No one is worried about Clinton per se... she's done...

it is the damage she is trying to do for the GE.

[krkaufman]

26. Precisely. Hell, with Hillary, she may still continue attacking Obama even after she drops out ...

... whenever that is. And I'm sure she'll be doing it for the good of the country.

[cottonseed]

27. He's got it.

Obama's got the nomination and will become the next President and you "get it".

[kentuck]

28. I do recall...

that Memphis was up by 9 points with about two minutes to go in the game. And they lost....

And the Titanic was such a great ship that not even God himself could destroy it..

Beware of such dangerous over-confidence.

[FlyingSquirrel]

29. ***Breaking: Obama eats baby on live TV!***

:P