Has anyone done the basic math thing here lately? SD numbers have changed since TX and OH

[Johnny__Motown]

Using CNN as a source (because they seem to be pro Clinton and slant things for her)

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/scorecard/


They have Obama's total at 1644 (depending on where you look at the page, different numbers down lower)


They also have 888 delegates left out there, Pledged and Supers combined

4048 - 3160 = 888


Obama needs 381

2025 - 1644 = 381


So even if Hillary got 500 of the remaining 888 Delegates she would lose. (and due to the way pledged delegates are allocated she can't get anywhere near 500 delegates without SDs switching from Barack to her)

He needs just under 43% of all remaining delegates to hit 2025. From now on 57% for Hillary is not quite a break even point. (381/888 = 42.9054%) A 55-45 win (delegate split) for her is still a 2.1% loss.


When you consider that No Super delegate has switched from Barack to Hillary and many have switched from Hillary to Barack her "chances" seem even worse.