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Gallup today Obama 47 (-2) Clinton 44 (+2)

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jezebel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 11:31 AM
Original message
Gallup today Obama 47 (-2) Clinton 44 (+2)
Edited on Fri Apr-18-08 11:32 AM by jezebel
http://www.gallup.com/poll/election2008.aspx
Obama 45 McCain 44
Clinton 46 McCain 44
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AX10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 11:32 AM
Response to Original message
1. kick
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Nia Zuri Donating Member (576 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 11:34 AM
Response to Original message
2. Here we are seeing the full impact of bitter gate
Edited on Fri Apr-18-08 11:34 AM by scard
I expect to see the difference widen again given Hillary's full on negative attacks of the past few days.
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tigereye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 01:12 PM
Response to Reply #2
24. a lot of people here in PA thought bittergate had little or no impact...
Obama has been sending out a lot of anti-Hillary mailers as well - I've seen quite a few in my mailbox...
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PBS Poll-435 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 11:34 AM
Response to Original message
3. So far so good...
:hide:



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olkaz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 11:36 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. Wow, that is some serious wishful thinking.
Keep it up. I love it.
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PBS Poll-435 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 11:37 AM
Response to Reply #4
6. It is tongue-in-cheek,
But I can HOPE!
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olkaz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 11:38 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. Oh jeez.
I missed "Flamebait Edition".

You got me.
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dchill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 12:07 PM
Response to Reply #3
16. I bet you tell a really good fish story, too.
:jeebus:
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PBS Poll-435 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 12:09 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. Joke!
Just a joke.

}(
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Coexist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 11:37 AM
Response to Original message
5. I expected a hiccup, but it will swing back around.
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melody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 11:48 AM
Response to Original message
8. That's a one point deviation -- you have to be joking
Ask anyone with experience in statistics. That sort of thing happens all the time. It's not indicative of anything but the aberration of number-crunching. I said the same thing two weeks ago when someone was touting an "Obama up by two" poll.

Such a tiny variation is meaningless. It certainly doesn't speak to a trend.
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PetraPooh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 11:52 AM
Response to Reply #8
11. Exactly, it is within eom, I'm sure.
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dchill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 12:24 PM
Response to Reply #11
22. Error of margin?
:shrug:
:hi:
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melody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 03:50 PM
Response to Reply #22
25. EOM = MOE n/t
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dchill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 07:00 PM
Response to Reply #25
26. STOP = POTS : GOD = DOG n/t
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melody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 01:14 AM
Response to Reply #26
28. MADAM I'M ADAM = MADAM I'M ADAM n/t
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dchill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 01:36 AM
Response to Reply #28
30.  BOSNIA PAIN SOB
BOSNIA GASPS AGAIN SOB
:shrug:
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melody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 03:57 AM
Response to Reply #30
31. There's a shelling joke in there somewhere lol
I surrender ... you win.
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dchill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 10:55 AM
Response to Reply #31
34. Indeed!
But I have to admit, I cheated. :shrug:

http://www.palindromelist.com/

:hi:
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PetraPooh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 11:38 AM
Response to Reply #11
37. OOOOPS! My bad. Can spell, but typo and didn't proofread.
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malik flavors Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 11:50 AM
Response to Original message
9. I don't think that's today's official poll
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writes3000 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 11:58 AM
Response to Reply #9
14. Yeah, it's not on the main page. Weird. n/t
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backscatter712 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 11:51 AM
Response to Original message
10. I don't think it's Bittergate.
Bittergate's already run its course - we saw its effects in the polls yesterday and Wednesday - no effect.

We might well be seeing the first signs of the ABC "debate". It does look like a few people got fooled by the Smear Obama Show, but it's too early to tell what the full effects will be, and if Obama's campaign can successfully counter.

I am optimistic in that I believe that most people weren't fooled, and as more facts come out and the truth sinks in, I'll bet that Hillary might be hurting from this.
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thewiseguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 11:54 AM
Response to Reply #10
13. Polls in Pennsylvania show the gap closing
Dont read too much into this poll.
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 11:53 AM
Response to Original message
12. The important thing is they both lead McCain --
albeit only by a point or two, but once we get a nom and s/he turns the attention to McC, he's toast.


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BklnDem75 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 12:05 PM
Response to Original message
15. Oh I see what you did!
http://www.gallup.com/poll/106594/Gallup-Daily-Obama-49-Clinton-42.aspx

Gallup Daily: Obama 49%, Clinton 42%

There you go. That other poll was marked for the 16th. This one is more current. Don't worry, Obama has a steady lead. :)
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thewiseguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 12:08 PM
Response to Reply #15
17. Thats from yesterday
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BklnDem75 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 12:12 PM
Response to Reply #17
20. My mistake
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meow mix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 12:10 PM
Response to Original message
19. wow, a regular fluctuation repeats itself again, for the 50th time
all this does it validate the results further..
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kwenu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 12:13 PM
Response to Original message
21. You do realize this is a useless poll when it comes to nomination fight right.
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Robbins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 12:55 PM
Response to Reply #21
23. Gallup
Basicly 2 points changed between them.Not a lot to get worried about.Both still have a narrow lead over Mccain.
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hell-bent Donating Member (593 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 11:09 AM
Response to Reply #21
36. Yes, you are correct.
It will be the SDs that will decide who is the best candidate. There are no rules on how they must vote. Caucus delegates will not mean jack shit. Sorry. Let's not change the rules in mid-stream,right?
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GoesTo11 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-18-08 07:04 PM
Response to Original message
27. How many primaries does HRC need to lose by 3% to catch up in delegates?
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Political Heretic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 01:25 AM
Response to Original message
29. That's an expected bump after debate, and I'm glad to see both candidates up against McCain
Though I fear it doesn't mean much this early. As you can tell I've turned more of my attention to the general now.
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 05:31 AM
Response to Reply #29
32. PH, I've noticed a trend where Obama's numbers go up on weekends,
but as the week plays out, the numbers tighten. What, in your opinion, is significant about weekends? :shrug:
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Political Heretic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 06:54 AM
Response to Reply #32
33. I have no idea. :) Weekends are low media saturation times, but
who knows really. :shrug:

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hell-bent Donating Member (593 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-19-08 11:03 AM
Response to Original message
35. Rasmussen has BO at a 2 point spread.
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