Obama needs 211 more pledged delegates to get a majority of PDs, so ...

[ORDem]

By my (very rough) back of the envelope calculations:

Loses PA by a little
Splits Guam
Handily wins NC
Loses Indiana (little to a little bit more)
Blown out in WV
etc., etc.

It looks to me like he hits that mark on May 20th when KY and OR both have their primaries. Since he'll likely lose KY, I think that Oregon should get the credit for putting him over the top!! ;)

:woohoo:

[grantcart]

1. Oregon

[Ron Green]

2. Woops, I may have to rethink my vote for Dennis K.

[NightWatcher]

3. ahem

[sandnsea]

4. We have until April 29 to register DEMS

I hope everybody understands they have to register as a Dem to vote.

[featherman]

5. Not losing Indiana

[ORDem]

6. Just hedgin' my bets a little.... n/t

:dilemma:

[Arkana]

8. I think he'll win Indiana in a close one too--and North Carolina

by a lot.

[apocalypsehow]

7. I have a feeling that if he keeps it very close in PA, the Superdelegates will start to stampede in

his direction. And that will be that.