Electoral-vote.com shows Clinton in big trouble in the fall

[Perky]

Chances Clinton Obama

Strong Dem 43 112
Weak Dem 98 42
Barely Dem 99 84
Exactly tied 0 24
Solid Opportunity 240 262

Some Chance 16 82
Small Chance 130 37
No Chance 152 158

[http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Clinton/Maps/Apr18.html

[Arkansas Granny]

1. Maybe I haven't had enough coffee yet, but I am having a hard time understanding these tables.

[EmperorHasNoClothes]

2. The primary delegate counts show her in even more trouble in the fall

;)

[Benhurst]

3. Why post the old figures? According to today's post, Clinton would do better

against McCain than Obama by 20 electoral votes:

Obama 269
McCain 254

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Obama/Maps/Apr20.html

Clinton 289
McCain 239


http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Clinton/Maps/Apr20.html

[progressive_realist]

4. If you dig into the details, his map still looks better

There are seven states (WA/OR/HI/IA/MN/WI/CT) with 56 electoral votes he doesn't have to fight for that she would. There are only two states (WV/MA) with 17 electoral votes she wouldn't have to fight for that he does.

There are another seven states (TX/CO/NE/MI/SC/NC/NH) with 92 electoral votes that are in play for Obama but not for Clinton. There are only three states (MO/KY/FL) with 46 electoral votes that would be in play for Clinton but not for Obama.

Mind you, there are some anomalies here that I doubt depict the GE battleground accurately, but based only on these polls Obama is in better shape overall.