Judge The Reliability Of Pollster Survey USA.....

[aaaaaa5a]

Survey USA has produced polling for 14 concluded Democratic Primaries. Below are the results of the last poll they conducted before each primary date. The actual primary results for each state follow the polling number. This will make it easier to assess the accuracy of Survey USA in wake of the very good reputation they have developed this election season.



Alabama..............Clinton...Obama
Survey USA............47.......49
Results .................42.......56

California.............Clinton...Obama
Survey USA...........53..........42
Results..................52.........43

Connecticut........... Clinton....Obama
Survey USA............46...........48
Results...................47...........51

Illinois...................Clinton...Obama
Survey USA.............30..........66
Results...................33..........65

Maryland................Clinton...Obama
Survey USA..............32..........55
Results....................37...........60

Massachusetts.......Clinton....Obama
Survey USA.............56...........39
Results....................56...........41

Missouri..................Clinton...Obama
Survey USA..............54..........43
Results....................48...........49

New Jersey..............Clinton...Obama
Survey USA................52.........41
Results......................54.........44

New York.................Clinton...Obama
Survey USA................56..........38
Results.......................57...........40

Ohio.........................Clinton...Obama
Survey USA.................54..........44
Results.......................54..........44

Oklahoma..................Clinton.....Obama
Survey USA.................54...........27
Results........................55............31

South Carolina..............Clinton....Obama
Survey USA...................30...........43
Results..........................27...........55

Texas..........................Clinton....Obama
Survey USA...................48...........49
Results..........................51...........47

Virginia.........................Clinton...Obama
Survey USA....................38..........60
Results...........................35..........64

Survey USA's polling results are from pollster.com. The Democratic Primary percentage results are from the New York Times.

Survey USA's last poll in Pennsylvania was completed on April 14th.

Pennsylvania
Clinton..... 54
Obama....... 40

They should have another poll out Monday.

[Coexist]

1. it appear that Obama outperforms the SUSA #s by a few points

with two exceptions.

[Adelante]

2. Welcome to DU

:hi:

[4themind]

3. Thanks for the compilations

if possible, could you also put the M.O.E and number of undecideds next to the polls (I realize that ,for the latter, all the reader needs to do is simple subtraction, but it may helpful to remind those who forget to take that into account)

[ORDem]

4. So, in summary.... not much more accurate than the others.

Throw out NY and IL, since a blind monkey could have called those...

They got 2 out of the 12 remaining right on: OH, MD
6 out of 12 close enough: CA, CT, MA, NJ, OK, TX (although here they got the pop. vote winner wrong)
4 out of 12 way off: AL, MO, SC, VA (the latter three were pretty important, too).

Not impressed really.

:dem:

[dchill]

5. Interesting.

:kick:

[kentuck]

6. How did they do on NH?

I suspect we may have another one of those type races?

[PM7nj]

9. They didn't poll NH.

[book_worm]

7. they are good, but not infallible they were pretty off in Missouri and Alabama.

[IsItJustMe]

8. Just an observation, but I think they probably do better than anyone else out there.