thesubstanceofdreams
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Mon Apr-21-08 09:36 AM
Original message |
Fact: PPP's sample size is LARGER than Rasmusen, Zogby and Suffolk COMBINED |
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Of course they may still be wrong (and I believe they are) but I'm cautiously optimistic that Hillary will win by fewer than 5 points. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/pa/pennsylvania_democratic_primary-240.html
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DrDan
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Mon Apr-21-08 09:40 AM
Response to Original message |
1. but it has to be a representative sample - otherwise the results can certainly be flawed |
speedoo
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Mon Apr-21-08 09:42 AM
Response to Original message |
2. It's hard to argue with PPP's track record. |
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They have been very accurate in this election cycle. I feel confident the result will be within their MOE.
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NJmaverick
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Mon Apr-21-08 09:45 AM
Response to Original message |
3. I have my fingers crossed that this will put an end to the destruction |
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and we can unite and focus on defeating McCain.
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grantcart
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Mon Apr-21-08 09:48 AM
Response to Original message |
4. They seem to be very good at states with cross over like Wiscosin |
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where they predicted Obama winning first and later on were spot on.
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PoliticalAmazon
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Mon Apr-21-08 09:50 AM
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5. Larger sample size doesn't mean more accurate... |
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...On a national poll, 1000 to 1400 respondents, IF the sample is constructed to actually reflect the opinions of the group they want to study, is sufficient for a valid study.
In a smaller sample like PA, 600 would be adequate.
More respondents doesn't mean it is more valid.
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Laura PourMeADrink
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Mon Apr-21-08 09:52 AM
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6. PPP's median error rate, historically, is 7 points. That would mean |
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a range of O winning by 12 to Clinton winning by 4.
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RUMMYisFROSTED
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Mon Apr-21-08 09:53 AM
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7. Quinnipiac 08/14 - 08/20 524 RV 42 12 Clinton +30.0 |
george_maniakes
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Mon Apr-21-08 09:58 AM
Response to Reply #7 |
8. what poll is that? for which state and when? n/t |
RUMMYisFROSTED
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Mon Apr-21-08 10:00 AM
Response to Reply #8 |
9. Follow the link in the OP. |
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Mon May 13th 2024, 10:24 PM
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