The new Clinton goalposts by kos
Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 11:36:07 AM PDT
She's lost on the math. Absent a whooping tomorrow, what little hope she has of winning the popular vote will disappear. So what's left? The "big state" nonsense.
Pennsylvania is not about finishing close, Communications Director Howard Wolfson said. “It’s about winning.”
Wolfson added that Obama is doing everything he can to win the race, outspending Clinton three to one (overall: $11.2 million to $4.8 million).
“He has gone sharply negative, and he is doing this to knock us out of the race,” Wolfson said. “And if he does not win it will again raise very serious questions among voters and superdelegates … that he can win big swing states like Pennsylvania.” He added, “If Sen. Obama can’t win a big swing state with that enormous spending advantage, just what will it take for him to win a large swing state?”
On some analysts having said Clinton needs as much as a 20-point victory and that if Obama finishes within five or six points, there will be no appreciable difference among superdelegates, top aide Geoff Garin went further.
“Those numbers are ridiculous,” Garin said. “Sen. Obama made a conscious decision to try and change the stakes here. They’re not spending this money simply to try and improve the Pennsylvania economy.” They “put their brand at stake to try and deliver this knock out blow.”
To recap,
Clinton lead by 19 points after Super Tuesday in SUSA polling, by even more in other polls. If she comes in under that, it'll mean that she is bleeding support.It's that simple.
The supers can decide whether they want to hitch their wagons with the candidate who is trying to spur an intra-party civil war, who has lost on the math, who will lose in the popular vote, and who is loosing support rather than gaining it.
Or they can side with the winner.
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/4/21/14305/7611/218/500156 
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