Alhena
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Mon Apr-21-08 04:26 PM
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Prediction: SWITCHING supedelegates will decide the nomination |
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In my view, Hillary will not leave the race prior to the convention unless her own superdelegates start leaving her and supporting Obama out of party loyalty. And I predict that precisely that will happen starting in early June when the primaries conclude with Obama comfortably ahead in pledged delegates. He will likely get a large number of uncommitted superdelegates to rally behind him at that point, but I expect that even that will not be enough to force Hillary's hand. However, when Hillary's own superdelegates start to leave her- even 25 of them switching would be huge because it would really be a 50 delegate shirt - I expect she will see the writing on the wall and concede, wanting to preserve her 2012 chances. She may demand the vice presidency nomination to do so, however. Anyway, that's how I see things playing out- what do you guys see as the likely endgame scenario?
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NJSecularist
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Mon Apr-21-08 04:27 PM
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1. I don't see many more of her superdelegates leaving camp. |
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In fact, winning Pennsylvania could get her a few more uncommitted delegates.
Honestly, I see this going to the convention.
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Alhena
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Mon Apr-21-08 04:31 PM
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2. Not even if Pelosi and the DNC start exerting pressure? |
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There are a lot of ways pressure can be applied to superdelegates behind the scenes if the party apparatus wants to. It won't happen until after the voters have spoken, but the party knows that the fight CAN'T go to the convention, therefore it WON'T go there, IMO. It's not all in Hillary's hands, and a large number of her supes don't need to switch- 20-25 would do nicely.
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NJSecularist
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Mon Apr-21-08 04:33 PM
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3. DNC should not be taking sides. Neither should Pelosi. |
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Nancy is the chair of the Democratic National Committee Convention. She should not be taking sides. The DNC cannot play sides.
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movonne
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Mon Apr-21-08 05:01 PM
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5. Someone has to take sides....that is what the sd do...and who is |
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supposed to fix this thing???
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DJ13
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Mon Apr-21-08 04:34 PM
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4. June is too late, Im thinking within a couple of weeks the tide begins |
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Dean made it clear the other day he does NOT want the SD's to wait any longer, he wants a nominee ASAP.
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SoCalDem
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Mon Apr-21-08 05:05 PM
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6. She will spontaneously burst into flames? |
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Barring that, I see her screaming SHAME ON YOU, and wagging her finger
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TheDoorbellRang
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Mon Apr-21-08 05:11 PM
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7. She'll have to leave when Obama gets 2025 delegates |
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Probably late May/early June.
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DU
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Sun May 05th 2024, 08:45 PM
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