Clinton 49%, Obama 39% In Latest InsiderAdvantage Pennsylvania Survey

[PBS Poll-435]

April 21, 2008 — Sen. Hillary Clinton has a significant lead over Sen. Barack Obama with just a day to go until the Democratic Pennsylvania presidential primary, with an unusually high number of voters still undecided.

Here are the results of Sunday night’s poll:

Hillary Clinton 49%
Barack Obama 39%
Undecided 12%

The poll was conducted April 20 among 747 likely voters in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4%. All data have been weighted for age, race and gender.


http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_421_351.aspx

(Broken Record Alert! Obama's support is STILL between 37-44%)

[anonymous171]

1. 12% undecided!?

:wtf:

[PBS Poll-435]

4. Pretty strange....I must say,

They must be waiting on the edge of their chairs for Larry King Live. Tonight at 9EST/8CST only on CNN-The Most Trusted Name in News.

:P

[Kittycat]

2. PPP polled 3x as many - and your broken record alert is wrong.

[PBS Poll-435]

7. When you take the Poodle poll out,

My BR alert is right on.

[Lucinda]

3. That undecided figure is high.

I'm expecting a win, but there is a lot of wiggle room in all these undecideds.

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

5. Lol.

[Joe the Revelator]

6. So,at best,she completely squandered a 20 point lead.

Good for her.

[ladywnch]

17. thank you! you beat me to it.

[shayes51]

8. I believe the undecideds will break for Hillary.

[PBS Poll-435]

10. Me too...big time 4:1 or 6:1

[AlinPA]

22. Why is that?

[Joe the Revelator]

18. Why?

[Life Long Dem]

9. She needs 60% in PA and in all the remaining primary states.

How does that sound?

[PBS Poll-435]

12. Thanks for the update!

Sounds just fine to me.

Be sure to catch Larry King Live. Tonight at 9EST/8CST only on CNN-The Most Trusted Name in News.

[HereSince1628]

11. Under 30's are under represented.

Look at the cross-tabs.

This isn't a good poll.

[PBS Poll-435]

14. I disagree.

Ages 18-44 is represented as 41% of the poll.

[HereSince1628]

19. I wrote under 30 (which is 82 of the 747) less than half found in other age groups.

It'd be no big deal but we all know how heavily the under 30's are leaning.

That is way less than the 194 in the over 64 category, and we all know how heavily that group is leaning, too.


It's not just that there is bias in the sample, the bias has LEVERAGE because all the bias goes the same direction.

[bluestateguy]

13. Establishment Voters

"Well, Governor Rendell and Mayor Nutter and my union boss told me to vote for Hillary. So, who else is there? Barack who?"

[oasis]

15. Get to higher ground, Hillary's Pennslyvania tsunami is on its way. (eom)

[BeyondGeography]

16. Obama only gets 70% of the black vote in this survey

That's very low.

[aaaaaa5a]

20. DId you see the Black vote in this poll..........................

According to this poll Hillary Clinton is getting 25% of the African American Vote. I find it hard to believe 1/4 African Americans will be voting for Hillary Clinton on Tuesday.

That fact alone is enough for me to disregard these results.

[democrattotheend]

21. Not based on my experience today canvassing South Philly

Canvassed 2 predominantly black neighborhoods in South Philly today...LOTS of love for Obama...only met one Clinton supporter all day. Lots of people had Obama signs in their windows, and some of the people who did not have signs took the doorhangers we were giving out and put them in their windows. You can tell how proud of him they are, and how he brings hope to these dilapidated neighborhoods and it's pretty moving.

[MadBadger]

23. Obama has more than 70 percent of the black vote.