Newsmax/Zogby Poll: Clinton Up 10 Points; Beats Margin of Error

[DemocratSinceBirth]

UTICA, New York – New York's Hillary Clinton continued to pull away from rival Barack Obama of Illinois as the campaigning in Pennsylvania ended and voters prepared to cast ballots today, the latest Newsmax/Zogby daily telephone tracking poll shows.

She now leads Obama, 51% to 41%, having gained three points over the past 24 hours as Obama lost one point, pushing her beyond the poll's margin of error to create a statistically significant lead for the first time in the Pennsylvania daily tracking poll.

Meanwhile, 6% remained undecided and another 3% said they preferred someone else in the two-day tracking poll. It was conducted April 20-21, 2008, using live operators working out of Zogby's on-site call center in Upstate New York, included 675 likely Democratic primary voters in Pennsylvania. It carries a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1487

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1. If Zo(m)by Blows This Like He Blew Cali He's Done As A Pollster

I see Reuters and C-Span dropped him...

[woolldog]

2. I have some doubt about this poll

b/c on Sunday Clinton polled unusually well. Zogby's Sunday results were very different from both Monday and Saturday, so I think this poll overstates her lead a little bit b/c of the Sunday numbers.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. I'm Skeptical Of Zo(m)by

After the California debacle this is a chance for him to redeem his reputation or permanently ruin it...

It's not that out of line with the (very latest) polls...

[woolldog]

4. It must be tough being a pollster....

From Reuters/Zogby to Newsmax/Zogby....How the mighty have fallen

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. He Blew Cali By Twenty Three Points

I tried to get on Intrade to bet on HRC after Zo(m)by's poll dropped her to a 7-1 dog but couldn't figure out how to log on...

I'm not rich but I would have been comfortable risking $500.00 to get back what was to me a fairly certainly $3,500.00

I'm pretty sober about predictions and have only been wrong once- in NH this entire primary season...

[woolldog]

6. So what's your prediction for tommorrow?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. Hillary Will Win- Please Don't Ask Me For The Spread

I (assume) based on aggegate polling and (seat of the pants allocation of undecideds) the spread will be from six to ten points...

[woolldog]

9. 6-10 point spread?

I can live with that...

[DemocratSinceBirth]

13. That's My W.A.G.

~

[adoraz]

8. I don't think intrade works that way

how would you get $3500 from $500 by betting on Hillary??

Shes heavily favored on the site.

[Spider Jerusalem]

12. No she isn't...

quite the opposite.

Barack Obama to be Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008

Last Price: 81.8
What does this mean?

81.8 means the market predicts there is a 81.8%
chance that this event happens.

Hillary Clinton to be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008

Last Price: 15.3
What does this mean?

15.3 means the market predicts there is a 15.3%
chance that this event happens.

http://www.intrade.com/

[adoraz]

15. sorry, I thought you meant PA

[Azathoth]

10. When did Zogby become Newsmax's pollster? n/t

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. When Reuters And C-Span Fired Him?

~

[Bullet1987]

11. Zogby has Clinton up by 10? YEESSS!!!

[hedgehog]

16. You are aware that as of 9PM EDT tonight, this and all other

Pennsylvania polls are moot, aren't you?

[Occam Bandage]

17. Zogby says Clinton's up? Fuck yeah, we can call it for Obama!

[DeepModem Mom]

18. Looks like Zogby nailed it this time. To be frank, I'd lost confidence in him...

although I used to think he was generally the most accurate.