New 4/22 USA Today/Gallup Poll

[PBS Poll-435]

It has Obama up by 10 nationally... (This is not the same poll as the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll)

But here is the strange part.

Clinton vs. McCain - Clinton 50, McCain 44 Clinton +6
B Obama vs. McCain - B Obama 47, McCain 44 B Obama +3


Seems like Clinton is the surer bet. And crossing the 50% threshold is impressive...

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-04-21-poll_N.htm?csp=34

[kstewart33]

1. It's impressive. If she can hold the lead. nt

[book_worm]

2. No it doesn't seem like Clinton is the surer bet. It's one poll

for every poll which you might find which finds her ahead there are just as many which show Obama ahead.

[PBS Poll-435]

3. According to this poll...Clinton is the surer bet.

I wasn't talking about other polls. I was talking about the one I posted.

Thanks!

[yardwork]

9. What's the margin of error in the poll you cite?

[godai]

11. "Both leads are within the margin of error". n/t

[yardwork]

13. That means that the margin of error is bigger.

That means that the poll is showing that they are tied.

[PBS Poll-435]

23. The margin of error is +/- 3.

So yes...Clinton & McCain might be tied and McCain might be beating Obama by 3.

[Teaser]

29. Sorry, bub, you got worded up on the MOE tip

.

[PBS Poll-435]

30. I need a translation.

Thanks

[Seabiscuit]

32. Translation: "I'm addicted to YouTube and text messaging. Don't expect me to

know what I'm talking about. I'm only 13."

[PBS Poll-435]

34. ...

Deleted. It was snarky and to the point.

It was, however, directed at the wrong person!

[Seabiscuit]

36. I'm wondering the same things. But I think you have me confused with the poster who actually

said: "Sorry, bub, you got worded up on the MOE tip".

[PBS Poll-435]

37. Oops....LOL

:dunce:

Need to look up every once in a while...

:blush:

[Seabiscuit]

39. I do the same thing all the time.

I was just poking a little fun at the poster whose quote you wanted translated. :)

[OzarkDem]

49. ..

:rofl: :toast:

[flpoljunkie]

19. Rasmussen and others have Obama doing better against McCain.

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/general_election_match_up_history

[PBS Poll-435]

26. All within the MOE....

[high density]

38. Well that's great if we were voting as a nation today for President

And our president was chosen by the USA Today/Gallup poll

But it's not November and Gallup doesn't decide our election. So "surer bet" makes no damn sense.

[SwampG8r]

40. yes

hes talking about this ONE hand picked poll that supports his arguement
any facts are just a distraction

[PBS Poll-435]

41. LOL...one hand picked poll.

That was released today.

[papau]

4. It's a fact - Clinton is more likely to beat McCain - that Obama supporters hate

[totodeinhere]

31. "Fact" is a very strong word. Where is your proof? And don't cite polls. Polls are...

historically often inaccurate.

[PBS Poll-435]

42. Yep. Also, exit polls are the worst!

:sarcasm:

[OzarkDem]

46. Its all about the GE

something Obama supporters don't like to focus on.

[CreekDog]

5. isn't it hasty to decide who is the stronger candidate based on a 3 point poll difference

almost 7 months before the election?

When Obama was 3 points stronger than Clinton I didn't take that seriously

[PBS Poll-435]

6. Just analyzing THIS poll. nt

[CreekDog]

14. you aren't analyzing it, you are extrapolating based on JUST ONE POLL/ONE DAY

:banghead:

[book_worm]

7. of course it is. Obama has been many times stronger in GE polls than Clinton

and we can't just jump at conclusions that she is the stronger candidate especially when nationally it looks like Obama has a stronger lead among Democrats and has demonstrated in the primaries a stronger attraction among indpendents.

[CreekDog]

15. don't discount her chances, she does better with (ahem) racists.

:think:

[PBS Poll-435]

17. You aren't serious about that, right?

[CreekDog]

18. does Obama do better among racists?

just wonderin'.

(on edit: i originally used the term "cr----" thinking it just refers to racists but on second thought i shouldn't have at all)

[PBS Poll-435]

21. Isn't the word you used racist?

[CreekDog]

25. i thought that term only referred to racists but i changed it within one minute

concerned about the impression...before you even pointed it out.

[PBS Poll-435]

27. You win the humanitarian award for today!

You said something racist and then you took it back.

Thanks!

[CreekDog]

33. and i'm white, so kinna hard to argue i'm racist against white people

if so, i'm kinda confused.

[PBS Poll-435]

35. You are the one that said it, then deleted it.

[CreekDog]

54. and you're point is?

:shrug:

[BeyondGeography]

8. I'm more impressed with her well north of 50% negative ratings

and her well south of 50% trustworthy score in poll after poll.

As an unlikeable liar who will lead us nowhere, she's a sure bet alright.

[PBS Poll-435]

12. I guess the Obama Campaign has done their job...

Mission Accomplished!

[Blondbostonian]

Well it's clear you're not an Obama supporter

I look forward to your support in November though

[PBS Poll-435]

24. Are you running for office or something? nt

[SeaLyons]

10. Hillary is our way to the White House...

[goclark]

16. We are on our way to the WH with Obama!

:bounce:

[kentuck]

20. To look a little deeper...

6% undecided in Hillary vs McCain? 10% undecided in Obama vs McCain. What part of the 6% would Hillary receive and what part of the 10% would Obama receive. If they are "independents", I would say they may go for McCain against Hillary and they may go for Obama against McCain. Confusing?

[Spider Jerusalem]

22. Care to bet on who's going to win the World Series this year?

It's sooner than the election.

[PBS Poll-435]

28. Not the Cubs or White Sox....

That's for damned sure!

[OzarkDem]

43. More Obama fluffing

It won't help, he's still going to lose in PA.

[PBS Poll-435]

44. And badly...

I can't wait til GDP tomorrow.

It is either going to be a ghost-town or people are going to be sooooo bitter.

[OzarkDem]

47. No, they'll still be calling for Clinton to get out of the race

and posting the lastest conspiracy theory about Vince Foster.

[PBS Poll-435]

50. And I am sure that you are looking forward to more...

"Clenis-Tales from the Crypt."

[OzarkDem]

51. They can't resist

the Clenis is all-powerful and omniscient. It reduces intelligent creatures to babbling idiots.

[PBS Poll-435]

52. ."It must have been cold there in my shadow...."

Eww.

[redstate_democrat]

45. This just tells me that Hillary's supporters

would be more likely to be party traitors rather than Obama's.

Go figure.

[PBS Poll-435]

48. On the flip side....

Maybe she brings Independents & women back to the party...

[Bensthename]

53. Cons are rushing to her side after her campaigning and talking of nuking Iran.

Go Hillary..