I heard Rush crying about this poll on his show yesterday - poor drug addict baby, does he not have the American voting public in his back pocket? This is a very good sign for Indiana, by the way, which is an open primary. Assuming Hillary wins today, that will further reduce the number of Republicans voting just to keep this thing going- they will likely figure that it's going on regardless of Indiana results if Hillary wins today.
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0408/9735.htmlIn Delaware County, a Philadelphia suburb once home to a storied Republican machine, nearly 14,000 voters have switched their party affiliation to Democratic since January compared to just 768 who became Republicans.
Those party-switchers now represent about 7 percent of the roughly 2 million Democratic voters expected to turnout Tuesday, said Madonna.
A poll of those switchers and new registrants released by Madonna last week found that Obama was the preferred candidate for 62 percent of them. Clinton insiders said they are also bracing for the same 60-40 split among newly registered Democrats.
Depending on turnout, Madonna said, those newcomers could help Obama cut a Clinton victory margin by 2 to 3 percentage points and keep her below a double-digit win that would breath new life into the hard-fought race.
“It’s another important factor working in his favor,” Madonna said.
Clinton is still favored to win the state. But Politico’s analysis illustrates how the geographic concentrations of new Democrats could make a difference, if turnout is high among them.
For instance, about 143,400 Democratic newcomers – including newly registered and party switchers — are in Philadelphia and its suburbs. Those numbers could help Obama rack up big margins in what is considered his strongest turf.