(My first GDP post) With all due respect, Some horse races are over at the 1/8 mile pole.

[No DUplicitous DUpe]

One knows which horse is going to win a race, before either gets to the finish line, unless the 2 horses are bobbing heads as they approach the wire. That is not the kind of race Sen. Clinton and Sen. Obama are in, though.

The way I see it, Sen Obama is ahead by 2 lengths at the 1/8 pole, and he is breezing down the home stretch, just showing the whip to his horse. Sen. Clinton is madly whipping her horse, but it is clearly tiring down the stretch. Although her horse might make up a 1/2 length before the finish line, this race is over, and those holding win tickets on Sen. Clinton, can safely throw their tickets away, even though the horses have not 'technically' reached the finish line, yet.

This race is over. It's Obama pulling away by 2 lengths.

It was a good race, with both horses showing a strong effort.

[peoli]

1. It was over after the first turn.

[here_is_to_hope]

2. Yeah, she turned to the right and he...ah, well you know. n/t

[uponit7771]

4. Sho nuff

[No DUplicitous DUpe]

6. I think the term is - She bore out badly in the stretch -

..forcing him to go 3 wide, but his late kick was too much for her to handle.

[liberaldem4ever]

3. That's a good way to look at it

It's over and she lost. Either today or later on. Hopefully today.

[cbayer]

5. I've never seen anyone tear up their betting stubs at the 1/8 pole. Never.

I've never seen anyone tear up their betting stubs before the actual finish line and, even then, many hang on to them in hopes of a technicality that makes their horse a winner.


And these two horses, they are running nose to nose and there may be a photo finish.


Love the analogy because it lends support to not ever giving up.

Welcome to DU.

[JTFrog]

8. Welcome to DU?

:wtf:

[No DUplicitous DUpe]

11. I guess I'm a newbie, in this part of town.

:shrug:

[cbayer]

18. My apologies.

Sincere, because I really take people to task when they don't do their homework and I clearly did not do mine. I mis-read your title and responded. I was not meaning to diminish you in anyway. I am sorry.

[No DUplicitous DUpe]

19. No Apology needed. It's always nice to be welcomed.

And Good morning!

[cbayer]

17. I will apologize to the author.

I mis-read that title as indicating that it was the first post and did not even look at the post number.

My bad - late night, just got up.

[No DUplicitous DUpe]

9. At the 1/8 pole, the race is over in less than 10 seconds, and if the leader...

...Stayed clear of traffic and had a "clean" ride (pun intended), there is very little hope of a reversal of the results, although you are right, it does happen sometimes, on rare occasions.

I don't think it's nose to nose, though, due to time/distance to go, and the math of the selection process.

Cheers!

[Awsi Dooger]

25. Seattle Slew at the peak of his prime couldn't run the final 1/8 in less than 10 seconds

Nor Count Fleet, Secretariat or anyone else. More like 12.

I appreciate horse racing analogies but you kind of lost me with that 10 seconds bit.

But if you can find a horse capable of that, please contact the great DUer Old Broad and her hubby Bill. I promise, they'll make it worth your while. :)

Actually, if you want my version of this, it's like a 5 length lead with 10 lengths to travel, after veering out slightly at the top of the stretch and making minor contact. That may not equate to delegates remaining with total number of delegates, but in this case it's not a direct relationship. Obama can only lose with the racing equivalent of breaking down in deep stretch. Or a super delegate reversal, not completely unlike winning via jockey or steward's objection.

[JTFrog]

7. Clinton is no Silky Sullivan that is for sure. n/t

[JBoy]

10. Sen Clinton is praying the track turns to slop. She loves the slop.

She's a mudder. Her husband was a mudder.

[No DUplicitous DUpe]

13. I loved your post.....

I nominate it for a DUzy!

Paging JeffR...

[Perry Logan]

12. If I only had a quarter for every time an Obamitre has declared the contest over!

[FrenchieCat]

14. Then you might have more money than the Clinton Campaign.....

[NewHampshireDem]

24. FTW!

:rofl:

FWIW, I see this as more of a baseball game.

HRC supporters want to say the only 'real innings' are the innings she won. They want to point to all the runners Obama has left on base to show that even though he's ahead, he can't push the runners across the plate. They think hitting a double in the bottom of the ninth makes up for being down by 3 runs. And they want to complain about how unfair the designated hitter rule is, since their pitcher might be able to hit better than our pitcher--no matter that we'll ever actually know since we're playing in the American League, not the National League. And they want to point out that if we were playing golf rather than baseball, HRC would be winning ...

[No DUplicitous DUpe]

15. Obamitre? I don't have a horse in this race - Just watching from the rail..

calling it the way I see it. No malice.

[taught_me_patience]

16. Good analogy!

I think we are well beyond the 1/8 pole and coming down the backstretch. You are right, Clinton is about 2 lengths back, which seems "not very far" or "within striking distance". The race is over, though because her momentum is not good and she's tiring fast. There is simply not enough track left to catch up.

[No DUplicitous DUpe]

20. exactly. nt

[joshcryer]

21. 1% is two lengths?

[taught_me_patience]

22. 1% of a mile is about 50ft

so probably about 10 lengths. That's the problem... it doesn't gap doesn't look big, but when the primaries are based on a proportionate system, 1% is a big difference. It cannot be made up.

[bobbert]

23. 1% of a mile is over 50 feet

If a horse is 50 feet in front of another, it's a done deal

[TragedyandHope]

26. Yes, this is the reality

The media has their own agenda (ratings and political), so they continue to craft a nail-bitting fantasy narrative to keep people tuned in. Obama has it locked up and if these weren't two historic candidates trying to break through the barriers of hundreds of years of tradition and if one of the candidates didn't have such a self-important sense of entitlement, we would already have our nominee.

[ClayZ]

27. Yeah! K and R