mystieus
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:14 PM
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Exit Polls have over 30% seniors and only 10% 18-29. |
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If those numbers get more even like SurveyUSA predicts (65+ and 18-35 both 21%) Obama's going to pull this out.
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thevolt1
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:15 PM
Response to Original message |
1. Seniors vote, young people can't be relied upon to show up |
GarbagemanLB
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:16 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
4. Seniors vote early, young people vote late. Also, welcome to DU... |
Alexander
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:16 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
5. If a candidate is inspiring enough, they can... |
nomorenomore08
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:18 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
10. "For the last time, get the hell off my lawn!" |
adoraz
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:15 PM
Response to Original message |
2. yeah and I imagine that the seniors |
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have mostly voted by now, while the younger people are still getting off from work and school.
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MadBadger
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:16 PM
Response to Original message |
3. Students vote later, so I think the 18-29 numbers will bump up |
Cali_Democrat
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:17 PM
Response to Original message |
6. isn't Pennsylvania the oldest state in the union in terms of population age? |
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Edited on Tue Apr-22-08 05:17 PM by Cali_Democrat
:shrug:
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joeybee12
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:19 PM
Response to Reply #6 |
12. Second, after Florida...n/t |
Jersey Devil
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:17 PM
Response to Original message |
7. depends on where the exit polls were taken |
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The numbers could come from areas where demographics have higher number of seniors. I'd like to see the percentages of 18-29 in Happy Valley and Penn
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jackson_dem
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:20 PM
Response to Reply #7 |
13. You would think they choose a representative cross section of places to take exit polls |
Jersey Devil
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:23 PM
Response to Reply #13 |
22. Sure, you'd think that, but we've seen these exit polls before |
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They said Kerry won Ohio, among other things.
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jackson_dem
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:35 PM
Response to Reply #22 |
26. And Obama winning Mass. I think that is just because exit polls are inherently unreliable |
mystieus
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:17 PM
Response to Original message |
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First-time voters: Obama 60, Clinton 38;
Those who decided in the last week: Clinton 58, Obama 42
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jackson_dem
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:17 PM
Response to Original message |
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Edited on Tue Apr-22-08 05:22 PM by jackson_dem
:thumbsup:
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MadBadger
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:21 PM
Response to Reply #9 |
14. Well that would be a stupid assumption |
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College kids vote later after their classes are done.
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jackson_dem
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:21 PM
Response to Reply #14 |
18. You're right. I wouldn't know because I don't show to class on election day lol |
MadBadger
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:23 PM
Response to Reply #18 |
24. Well neither do I, but I'm different. Election day here, it was light turnout until 4:00 |
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Thats when my precinct picked up the pace.
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Cant trust em
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:21 PM
Response to Reply #9 |
16. Why would college students vote early? |
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I don't think that I've ever voted before 5 p.m. in my life. I usually go after work.
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MadBadger
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:22 PM
Response to Reply #16 |
20. We dont wake up early, and have classes during the day |
jackson_dem
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:22 PM
Response to Reply #16 |
21. I am wrong and that was due to me always being a no show on election day |
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Still how much can the margin be closed? 30-10 is huge.
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BootinUp
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:21 PM
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book_worm
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:18 PM
Response to Original message |
11. PA has one of the oldest populations in the US, so not unexpected. |
jedr
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:22 PM
Response to Reply #11 |
19. dead on....next to Florida, we got the most old timers, n/t |
jackson_dem
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:21 PM
Response to Original message |
15. Ohio context, good news for Hill is true |
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In Ohio it was 23% and 16% respectively for these groups. Obama won young voters 61-35 in Ohio but Clinton won those over 60 69-28 and those over 65 72-26.
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mucifer
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:23 PM
Response to Original message |
23. ummm there's no law against young people voting for Clinton or old |
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people voting for Obama.
I think this thread is a little silly.
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jackson_dem
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:28 PM
Response to Reply #23 |
25. There are consistent trends based on the past 42 states |
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There is some deviation but we can look at this for tea leaves.
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mystieus
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:48 PM
Response to Original message |
27. Drudge: white and black percentage |
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Drudge:
Whites Clinton 60% Obama 40%
Blacks Clinton 8% Obama 92%
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jefferson_dem
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Tue Apr-22-08 05:55 PM
Response to Reply #27 |
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Survey USA had Obama taking 37% of white vote and 11% of black vote. If these results hold, he will do better than the six point spread. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b92f9f10-4d6b-4f93-b747-e06a37fce20f
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