58% of the vote was women, 42 %men. If Clinton won women by 11% how does this work out?

[jezebel]

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/04/22/exit-polls-who-showed-up-at-the-polls-today/
(CNN) – Who showed up to vote in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary?

The exit polls show the overwhelming majority were white (80 percent) and women significantly outnumbered men (58-42 percent.)

About 40 percent were over 60, while only 10 percent were under 30.

Nearly half came from families who earn less than $50,000 a year, while close to 25 percent came from households who made more than $100,000.

Fifth-five percent did not have a college degree; 45 percent did.

Forty-nine percent said they were liberal, 40 percent said they were moderate, and 11 percent said they were conservative.

[goclark]

1. Are you speaking of White women only

Remember that there are other WOMEN that were given the vote.

[GoesTo11]

2. Clinton wins by 11% x 58% + 42% x Z, where Z is her lead among men

But the poll doesn't give Z, so it doesn't work out at all.

Those sneaky leaks.

[jezebel]

3. Drudge (yuck I know) has Clinton winning women by 11, and Obama winning men by 6

[CoffeeCat]

4. Maybe we could use a recent...

...poll that shows how Obama does with men.

Then we might have a rough figure for Z.

I'll see what I can find.

[GoesTo11]

10. Per first response above has Z = -6% so total about + 4% for HRC

[CoffeeCat]

11. Wow. Is that the answer?

Clinton +4 percent?

I'm an Obama supporter, and I'd take that.

Have we got our answer?

[democraticinsurgent]

5. close

if Obama, as indicated in exit polls, won 40% of the white vote (80%), that's 32%. They say he won 92%of the black vote, but not all the remaining 20% is black. Let's say he won 85% of the remaining 20% and that's 17%. 32% plus 17% is 49%.

close. really close.

[Texas Hill Country]

8. i would say that 85% of remaining 20% is high... prolly closer to 75%... but yeah, close.

[Johnny__Motown]

6. Umm.. kinda looks like a close race to me. If you use the 50k income number.. that is a pretty

accurate sign post for who supports who.

Clinton does well with people making under 50k and Obama does well with people making more than 50k.


If less than half are making less than 50k a year, plus some African American voters who make less than 50k are in that total Obama should be keeping things close.

[dsc]

7. We don't know without knowing how the men split

If she won women by 11 she won them 55 to 44 meaning she got about 31.9% of the total vote from women.

[Johnny__Motown]

9. MSNBC has slightly different numbers... under 50k 45% over 50k 55%