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Let's look at the reality, not emotion--Clinton can't win

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texshelters Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 09:47 PM
Original message
Let's look at the reality, not emotion--Clinton can't win
I went to the CNN Delegate Calculator and plugged in some realistic numbers, giving Clinton 55% in PA (she has 54 right now) and Obama 55% in NC, WV, and some other states and Clinton 55% in Indiana. Clinton still lost the race by over 100 delegates. Oh yeah, I split the remaining super delegate 50-50. Try it:

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/29/delegate.counter /

I had to give Clinton 60% in ALL the remaining states (she's on track to get only 54% in PA)and then she needed 60% of the remaining super delegates to win by 20 delegates. It is not going to happen.

Please don't tell me I am asking Clinton to drop out. I'm not. I don't care. This is just a reality check for Obama and Clinton supporters and any Repugs wondering who to start attacking.

Peace,
Tex Shelters
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NightWatcher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 09:48 PM
Response to Original message
1. we dont want that reality in here. WE"D RATHER POST IN CAPS INSTEAD
GObama
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washingdem Donating Member (467 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 09:49 PM
Response to Original message
2. Yeah, congrats to Clinton supporters on tonight's result, but she ain't gonna be the nominee
This will end in Indiana.
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StevieM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 09:52 PM
Response to Original message
3. I'm not sure why you think Obama will win West Virginia. And I believe that if Clinton wins
Puerto Rico with 60% of the vote then she gets all 55 delegates.

I don't know who will win the nomination, although I recognize that Obama is most likely to win. But he has to do it the way every other candidate has done it--win a majority of all the delegates. When he has done that then the race is over.

Steve
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texshelters Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 10:48 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Give her those
Clinton still loses.

Tex Shelters
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