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Hillary Clinton's Pyrrhic Pennsylvania victory

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stevenleser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:17 PM
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Hillary Clinton's Pyrrhic Pennsylvania victory
http://www.opednews.com/articles/opedne_steven_l_080422_hillary_clinton_s_py.htm
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April 23, 2008

By Steven Leser

"Another such victory over the Romans and we are undone." – King Pyrrhus of Epirus, 279 BC

While most of Hillary’s campaign and its supporters are rejoicing tonight, and I congratulate them, one small but vital part of her campaign is crying, her accounting staff. Hillary Clinton's campaign began the month of April virtually broke, owing more money than it had in the bank, it emerged Sunday. <1>

Campaigns run on money. Staff has to be paid, venues rented, ads bought, transportation gassed and ticketed. Most candidates for their party’s nomination don’t drop out as a direct consequence of losing one too many contests, they drop out because after they start losing, their campaign contributions drop off and they run out of money. Financing issues have dogged the Clinton campaign for weeks. There have been reports that bills remain unpaid from appearances and contests early on in the race.

In contrast, campaign Obama is overflowing with cash. Barack Obama raised $41 million in March and had $42 million available to spend against Hillary Rodham Clinton in April, campaign finance reports filed Sunday show. Clinton reported raising $20 million in March and had $9 million for the primary available at the beginning of April. But she also reported debts of $10.3 million, putting her in the red. Overall, Obama had $51 million in the bank at the end of March, with nearly $9 million of that available only for the general election.<2>

After Clinton’s victory in Pennsylvania, her campaign is trying to make the argument that this win will cause a large inflow of campaign donations. They are hoping we don’t remember another crucial piece of information that has been around for a few months. As of February 6th, only 3 percent of Obama's hundreds of thousands of small donors have "maxed out," which means that the campaign can go back to them again and again for more. By contrast, roughly 70 percent of Hillary's donors have contributed the $2,300 maximum allowed by law.<3> It was at that point that her fundraising issues began and they have not found the additional donors necessary to solve that issue.

You cannot exploit any potential momentum from a victory if you don’t have any money. The super delegates who are elected officials or party bigwigs and know the importance of campaign financing, are not going to be impressed by one last victory that comes at the cost of going broke. Obama and those of us who support him would have definitely liked to do better in Pennsylvania, but the reality is that his efforts in that state and his spending that caused Hillary to try to spend money to keep up has won this nomination for him almost as surely as if he had won the state. A broke candidate is a candidate that is finished, and campaign Hillary Clinton is broke.


<1> Guardian Unlimited, Ewen MacAskill and Daniel Nasaw “New finance reports show Clinton campaign lacking funds” - http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/apr/21/hillaryclinton.barackobama?gusrc=rss&feed=worldnews

<2> USA Today, “Obama began April with $51M in the bank” - http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-04-20-obama-april_N.htm?csp=34

<3> Newsweek, Jonathan Alter “The Democrats’ Color Scheme “ - http://www.newsweek.com/id/108697
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stevenleser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:47 PM
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1. Self kick
:kick:
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:48 PM
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2. Just in case anyone is rounding .44 up instead of down.
Meaning margin was

9%

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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:48 PM
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3. Kick
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:59 PM
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4. kick.......
:kick:
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stevenleser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 12:09 AM
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5. Self kick #2
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jazzjunkysue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 12:29 AM
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6. "You cannot exploit any potential momentum from a victory if you don’t have any money."
She'll take Greyhound Busses to her next rally. I'm sure of it. Her staff will stay on without pay. Sure, they will.
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FedoraLV Donating Member (226 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 12:51 AM
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7. dough-re-mi
How is she going to go forward?

-FedoraLV
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 12:54 AM
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8. Don't forget to digg at the link.
:)
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bhikkhu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 01:00 AM
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9. My own take on things...
I cannot imagine she is so insulated as to not realize her situation...Hillary needs 69% wins in the remaining states to catch up in the delegate count, and lacking that she needs a flood of superdelegates. She has no money to campaign with, and 9% does not nearly open the SD floodgates.

I imagine she will capitalize on her immediate win to raise funds. She has no more big wins on the schedule to sway things. Indiana and NC are coming up, and the best she could hope for is a draw between the two, after massive efforts...I would guess she has a good week fund-raising, pays debts and doesn't campaign seriously, then drops out while her win is still fresh and her endorsement of the front-runner still has a bit of merit.
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stevenleser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 06:55 AM
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10. Wednesday morning kick
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