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chance that Clintons delegate total will be below 10

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gabeana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 04:30 PM
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chance that Clintons delegate total will be below 10
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/4/23/14551/1931/616/501792

"The latest on the Pennsylvania delegate count, for those quaint enough to think that delegates should still decide an election based on, well, delegates: two different districts just had (opposite) delegate-split changes thanks to the new numbers: CD 7 flipped from 4-3 Obama to 4-3 Clinton (though it’s still in play, with 8% of precincts yet to report and Obama with an INF+2N number of only 3.72%). Meanwhile, CD 13 behaved the way commenters jpmassar and jlkenney have been arguing for several hours that it would: that district has moved from 5-2 Clinton to 4-3 Clinton, erasing her net gain from CD 7. (And with 99% reporting, CD 13 is pretty much finished.) So we’re still at Clinton +10, but with the CD 7 uncertainty (plus live contests remaining in CDs 10 and 12) there seems to me to be an outside shot at reducing that to +8 or beyond.

Meanwhile, as the INF+2N numbers show, Clinton is unlikely to gain any more net delegates from Pennsylvania. Her only slim chance would be turning CD 11 into a 4-1 split for her; to get there she’d need about 75% of the remaining ~70,000 uncounted votes in CD 11 to be Clinton votes.
If you're wondering what all that INF+2N stuff is, it's apparently "math". It took me a while to figure it out, but it's pretty cool stuff. But the bottom line -- Clinton +10, but Obama still has a chance of picking up three more net delegates as the vote counts finish up. The final spread will be Clinton +7-10 delegates. Not a particularly good night for her"

so it is fun to watch the Hillbots celebrate it looks like it won't last long though
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LSparkle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 04:46 PM
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1. What's the final percentage win for her?
I thought it was down to 9 or perhaps below (so much for the "double digit" win).
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gabeana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 04:52 PM
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2. I think once the smoke clears in the next few days
it will be obvious that this win for Hillary is not as impressive as the media is spining it. Let them and Hillbots have their fun it will be over soon enough
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