tekisui
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Wed Apr-23-08 05:52 PM
Original message |
As Hillary Insists, It's Not About the Math. It's About the Superdelegates. |
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The argument that Hillary cannot mathematically catch Obama in the Pledged Delegate Count falls on deaf Hillary Supporter ears. Understandable. Pledged Delegate math is where it is, and has been for some time. She doesn't have to catch the Pledged Delegate number.
As it has been repeated, like a mantra, it is the one who gets to 2025 first. Neither Clinton nor Obama can without the addition of the Superdelegates. Those powerful 796 who get to cast a vote weighted more than entire towns and cities. It is what it is.
The current Superdelegate standing(at 6:41pm EST April 23) has Obama at 233 and Hillary at 256. The Pledged Delegate count stands with Obama at 1490 and Clinton at 1337.
Being generous towards Hillary, she will pick up from Guam-3, IN-38, NC-52, WV-17, KY-31, OR-25, PR-30, MT-8, and SD-7.
She will end the voting season with 1546 Pledged Delegates, at best. She will need to convince 479 Superdelegates that she is the best Nominee for President. She has convinced 256, so far. She needs 223 more.
That is 223 out of the remaining 305 who have not declared.
Using the same numbers, Obama needs 337 total Superdelegates to reach 2025. He has 233. He needs to convince 104 more that he is the best Nominee.
Actually, though, if he convinces just 83 of the remaining 305, Hillary would not have enough left to pull from to reach 2025.
83 more SD's to Obama ends it.
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antigop
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Wed Apr-23-08 06:06 PM
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1. So the magic number is 83? n/t |
tekisui
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Wed Apr-23-08 06:08 PM
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2. By my calculations, 83 more Superdelegates. |
GoldieAZ49
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Wed Apr-23-08 06:12 PM
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3. And all SD's and the DNC are going to look at the ad running in NC |
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and will have to decide if they are strong enough candidates to withstand it. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JXxkctYRAZQA Kennedy or Kerry might be willing to, but all the dems running nationwide? I don't think so.
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tekisui
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Wed Apr-23-08 06:51 PM
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4. Not all, only 100 of 305 Superdelegates. |
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Edited on Wed Apr-23-08 06:53 PM by tekisui
Of the remaining 305, 100 are elected officials.
Only 100 are needed for an Obama Nomination.
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GoldieAZ49
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Wed Apr-23-08 07:01 PM
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5. I see, you don't get it. nt |
tekisui
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Wed Apr-23-08 07:07 PM
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Thu Apr 25th 2024, 07:20 PM
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