Buzz Clik
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Fri Apr-25-08 08:56 AM
Original message |
pollster.com is up and rolling in Indiana. |
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YEESH!!!Here's my view: Kiddies, it's close!
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davidpdx
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Fri Apr-25-08 09:05 AM
Response to Original message |
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It seems like Pollster has been a little slow to get up and going on those May states. I'm waiting for some more polling for Oregon. There has only been one poll in the last three months, which was by Survey USA and Obama was up by 10. Hopefully Riley is working on some polls, which are local and dependable.
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Coexist
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Fri Apr-25-08 09:15 AM
Response to Original message |
2. he's still up 49-42 at Rasmussen today |
Buzz Clik
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Fri Apr-25-08 09:22 AM
Response to Reply #2 |
3. Those are national numbers, right? |
Coexist
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Fri Apr-25-08 09:24 AM
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4. yeah, I was just looking at how he has managed to catch up in Indiana |
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she was supposed to win that one big, right?
And I thought I'd check national. And he hasn't dropped since the PA primary.
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gaiilonfong
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Fri Apr-25-08 09:30 AM
Response to Reply #4 |
5. Hillary Clinton(NeoCon-NY) not doing as well as she thinks |
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She didn't get a big BUMP out of that SINGLE DIGIT win in Penn did she.
Well Hillary Clinton(NeoCon-NY) Why didn't you swamp Obama like you said you would?
Oh and Clyburn is telling everyone you and your megalomaniac hubby are destroying the Democratic Party...it is the 90's all over again huh Hillary Clinton(NeoCon-NY)!
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Buzz Clik
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Fri Apr-25-08 11:00 AM
Response to Reply #5 |
nonobadfish
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Fri Apr-25-08 09:58 AM
Response to Reply #3 |
11. They are national, and Rasmussen says that it indicates no bump for Hillary after PA |
CoffeeCat
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Fri Apr-25-08 09:32 AM
Response to Original message |
6. That's great that he's up in Indiana... |
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If he's up now, all he has to do is get that ground game going and hit the state hard.
Look at PA. She had a 23 point lead, and he whittled it down to 9.2 points.
He can whittle her down, and prop himself up.
This is a really good starting point for him.
Plus, she doesn't have all of the advantages that she had in PA. She doesn't have an entire state apparatus pulling for her. There' no "Lake Winola" in IN, nor are there any Indiana summer cottages where she spent her childhood shooting guns. PA was tailor-made for her.
Also, he has a semi-hometown advantage--plus, he's got tons o cash. Who knows what she has, as far as cash. I suspect she lied about her windfall, the night of the PA primary--but I guess we'll see.
Let's do it up! Let's end this!
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Zachstar
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Fri Apr-25-08 09:39 AM
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7. The polls are going to be unstable for a few days. |
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Tho my guess Obama is going to be able to keep the lead if he works hard.
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Buzz Clik
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Fri Apr-25-08 09:42 AM
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8. The pollsters will have to be at least as smart as they think they are to get a reasonable picture. |
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Indiana is really complicated. My sneaking suspicion is that there is a hidden fraction if Hoosiers who will vote for Hillary and are not showing up in the polls.
Take the average poll numbers and adjust the difference between Hillary and Obama by 5 points in Hillary's favor.
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Zachstar
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Fri Apr-25-08 09:44 AM
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9. I said there was hidden support for Obama in PA and it did not happen. So I doubt it |
Buzz Clik
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Fri Apr-25-08 09:50 AM
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10. I dunno, Zachstar. Indiana has this long history of horrid racism. |
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Much of it is hidden, but it remains.
The entire southern half of Indiana is like a Southern state. The Democrats there will smile and tell the pollsters that they have no problem voting for a Black man, and then they vote exactly the opposite when alone with their thoughts in the voting booth. Just ask Harold Ford -- that thread exists and is undeniable.
Indiana is diverse enough that much of the old Klan attitudes have been diluted, but they are there.
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Zachstar
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Fri Apr-25-08 10:02 AM
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12. Well then it is important to work HARD there then! |
Buzz Clik
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Fri Apr-25-08 10:17 AM
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