Obama memo to SDs. Who's strongest v. McCain. Full article.

[DevonRex]

Hope this link works.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120907808767143137.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

Obama Campaign's Memo to Superdelegates
April 24, 2008 7:13 p.m.
TO: Superdelegates

FR: Obama Campaign

RE: The strongest candidate to face John McCain

DA: April 24, 2008

Who's the strongest candidate to take on John McCain?

After 45 contests, Senator Obama has won more delegates, twice as many states and territories, and more of the popular vote. He's won in every part of the country, and has scored victories among every segment of electorate. He's inspired Democrats, Independents, and Republicans, building an unprecedented coalition of more than 1.4 million contributors. And when it comes to head-to-head match-ups versus John McCain, Obama performs better than Clinton in key states and shows the potential to put new states in play for Democrats up and down the ballot.

Polling data from across the country, from large states and small, reflects the advantage Senator Obama would bring in a race this fall. His ability to expand the Democratic base, and his ability to capture the crucial Independent vote, make him a stronger candidate than Senator Clinton, who would enter the fall campaign with the highest unfavorable ratings of any nominee in half a century.

Big States

• California: Obama beats McCain by 27, Clinton beats him by 23. (SurveyUSA, 2/23)

• New York: A February poll of Clinton's home state shows her beating McCain by 11, while Obama beats McCain by 10. (Quinnipiac, 3/18)

• New Jersey: Obama and Clinton both beat McCain by 5. (Farleigh Dickinson, 3/30)

• Illinois: Obama beats McCain by 29 in his home state, while Clinton wins by 9. (SurveyUSA, 2/28)


Traditional Battlegrounds

• Iowa: Obama up 7, Clinton down 6. (SurveyUSA, 4/17),
Among Independents: Obama up 9, Clinton down 31. (Rasmussen, 3/31)

• North Carolina: Clinton trails McCain by 11, Obama ties him. (Rasmussen, 4/10)
Among Independents: Obama up 8, Clinton down 16. (Rasmussen, 4/10)

• Oregon: Obama up 9, Clinton up only 1 (SurveyUSA, 4/17) A march poll showed Obama up 6 and Clinton down 6 (Rasmussen, 3/26)
Among Independents: Obama up 11, Clinton up 4. (Rasmussen, 3/26)

• Wisconsin: Obama up 5 while Clinton ties. (SurveyUSA, 4/17) A March poll showed Obama up 4 and Clinton down 4. (WPR, 3/26)
Among Independents: Obama up 17, Clinton up 2. (Rasmussen, 3/26)

• Michigan: Obama trailing by 1, Clinton trailing by 3. (Rasmussen, 3/25) A February poll showed Obama up 8 and Clinton tied. (Rasmussen, 2/17)

• New Mexico: Obama up by 3, Clinton down by 3. (Rasmussen, 4/8)
Among Independents: Obama up 8, Clinton down 5. (Rasmussen, 4/8)

• Nevada: Obama leads by 4, Clinton leads by 1. (Rasmussen 3/19)

• Minnesota: Obama up 14, Clinton up 5. (Rasmussen, 4/22)
Among Independents: Obama up 9, Clinton down 14. (Rasmussen 3/19)

• Pennsylvania: Clinton up 9, Obama up 8 (Rasmussen, 4/9)
Among Independents: Obama down 1, Clinton down 19. (Rasmussen, 4/9)


Making new states competitive

• Colorado: Obama up 3, Clinton down 14. (Rasmussen, 4/19) A February poll showed up Obama up 9 and Clinton down 6. (SurveyUSA, 2/28)
Among Independents: Obama up 9, Clinton down 13. (Rasmussen, 3/17)

• North Dakota: Obama up 4, Clinton down 19. (SurveyUSA, 2/28)
Among Independents: Obama up 9, Clinton down 29. (Survey USA, 2/28)

• Virginia: Obama down 8, Clinton down 16. (SurveyUSA, 4/17)
Among Independents: Obama up 10, Clinton down 8. (SurveyUSA, 3/16)

• Montana: Obama down 5, Clinton down 18 (Rasmussen, 4/6)
Obama down 2, Clinton down 12 (Rasmussen, 4/6)

• Texas: Obama down only 1, Clinton down 7 (SurveyUSA, 2/28)

[DevonRex]

1. Added the article to the OP. nt

[DUyellow]

2. Looks good to me!

[DevonRex]

3. Thanks for the kick! It does look good. nt

[TragedyandHope]

4. Kick

:kick:

[smiley_glad_hands]

5. K&R. eom

[Dawgs]

6. 'Making new states competitive' is the all any SD should need to see.

Time to make up your minds folks.

[DevonRex]

9. I agree completely. Here in Colorado Hillary could NEVER win.

Folks loved Bill Clinton the first time around but didn't take kindly to his morals. And since then the Christian fundamentalists have increased in numbers and they are very, very vocal.

Another thing, people out west are generally not racist for whatever reason. Maybe because this was an area that people came to in order to forge their own way in life, without all the racist crap that goes on in the South and Northeast. For the same reason, they're generally not sexist, either. That attitude, of respecting people for their accomplishments, has lingered ever since the pioneer days.

[City Lights]

7. Interesting numbers.

I'm surprised at how poorly she does here in IL compared to him, especially when comparing the NY numbers. It's also interesting to see that he polls better against McCain than she does in states that she won, shooting a hole in the idea that a primary win for her automatically translates into a GE win for her.

Thanks for posting.

Recommending.

[book_worm]

8. A very strong case indeed.

[TahitiNut]

10. Ohhh nooo! All those numbers!! Brain freeze! Brain freeze!

:rofl:

[DevonRex]

11. LOL! nt

[SunsetDreams]

12. Obama has the only strong case to win!

[wiggs]

13. No way SDs overturn primaries for a SMALLER chance to win the GE. nt

[Yurovsky]

14. That last state makes all the difference ...

If Obama could win Texas (and it looks close as of today), there is absolutely no way the GOP could win the GE. It would be like the Democrats losing California or New York. It is central to any electoral math the GOP runs in determining how to get 270. Put it in the Obama column and it's over, Johnny.

[JBoy]

15. Obama hammers Clinton among independents.

[DevonRex]

16. Yep. That's BIG. nt

[Coexist]

17. kick

[powergirl]

18. Love it! I wonder if someone's campaign will tell the DNC to not do this

Like telling Super Ds to withhold their endorsements.