Gallup Daily: Clinton and Obama Tied at 47%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

These results, based on April 23-25 polling, are the first in which all interviews were conducted after Clinton's Tuesday Pennsylvania primary win, so it is clear that her victory there helped to erase Obama's lead. Obama led the race for much of April, while Clinton has not held a statistically significant lead since mid-March, and then only briefly. (For the full trend since Jan. 3, 2008, click here). The question now becomes whether Clinton can keep the momentum going to regain a lead over Obama heading into the May 6 primaries.

Clinton has also established a slight advantage over John McCain in general election preferences among national registered voters. The latest results, based on April 21-25 polling, shows Clinton at 47% and McCain at 44%.

Obama currently does not fare as well in the general election, only tying McCain at 45% in the latest polling.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/106825/Gallup-Daily-Clinton-Obama-Tied-47.aspx

[lisa58]

1. Thing is...

...she never gets higher than 47

[guyanakoolaid]

2. Too bad your "statistics" don't include relevant numbers like pledged delegates

:eyes:

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. My Statistic

Try George Gallup's statistics, pal...

[guyanakoolaid]

4. Too bad Gallup's "statistics" ignore Obama's insurmountable lead in delegates.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. I Don't Think That Was The Purpose Of The Survey

Maybe you can convince them to suspend their operations or just this particular one...It does have value for heuristic purposes...

[guyanakoolaid]

6. The survey is meaningless since we already have a nominee.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. Can You Please Provide Me With The Link

I wasn't aware of that development.

Thank you in advance.

[NJSecularist]

11. When was the nominee selected?

Did he/she reach 2024 pledge delegates yet?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

12. I Like Hillary But I Expect Obama To Be The Nominee

Here's my take...

Nominating either is going to alienate approximately half the Democratic base...The Super Delegates will see the peril of alienating that part of the base that supports Obama and will cast their lot with him...

The question becomes will the party be able to heal the breach?

If not the nomination will seem like a pyrrhic victory...

[NJSecularist]

13. I switched from Obama to Hillary because I thought she was more electable.

I think her base, that of white Democrats, Latinos and Asian-Americans is a base that we need to keep in the general election. Hillary will have a hard time getting Obama's African American and young vote base out to the polls, but I think she'll be able to do it.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

The Super Delegates Are Supposed To Vote Their Conscience

Even though the two are evenly matched, Obama is going to emerge from the primary season with more pledged delegates and popular votes... The Obama forces will say that if he is not nominated the nomination was stolen from him... In this heated environment such a charge would be incendiary...

I just am skeptical if the party can be put back together again...

I have seen posters suggest Obama can win without Clinton's supporters... That they can find those votes among Indys and Republicans... That's fanciful...

Either Obama or Clinton need to capture 87% + of Democratic votes to win the nomination...

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. duplicate

[DemocratSinceBirth]

15. duplicate

[StevieM]

22. Too bad that PDs don't decide the nomination. You need a majority of all delegates.

When Barack gets them--and they are made official at the convention--he becomes the nominee. And not one day sooner.

See you in Denver!

Steve

[SoCalDem]

8. ahem!

[anonymous171]

9. media+bump from PA

[DemocratSinceBirth]

10. I Find This Race Interesting

I fully expect Obama to win the nomination but I suspect if these trends continue the Super Delegates will have a lot of sleepless night... If they decide for either candidate they alienate approximately half the Democratic base and leave an open for the Republicans you can drive a truck through...

[Muttocracy]

16. Hmm, Newsweek has Obama up by 7 (also post-primary)

http://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html

[kmsarvis]

17. 1 week ago 46-45 CLINTON

I don't pay much attention to poll data collected on thursdays,fridays and saturdays.

[goldcanyonaz]

19. No, Newsweek last week was Obama 54, Clinton 35

[goldcanyonaz]

18. Obama 54, Clinton 35 were last weeks Newsweek results.

[Muttocracy]

20. I amazed how any poll could have had so many undecideds

(looking at 54 + 35 = 89, so 11% must have been undecided?)

[groovytang]

21. Obama is plummeting