New SUSA Indiana poll released...Clinton +9

[Secret_Society]

Indiana polling has been very volatile. In my opinion I would say that this outcome is pretty likely but I'm sure there's still a slew more polling to come and really only one the matters.

[lolpop4]

1. Yes! Clinton pulling away!

[Secret_Society]

4. Welcome to DU

[book_worm]

6. No, actually no change from their previous poll, so according to this poll

both candidates are where they were at the beginning of this month.

[democrattotheend]

7. Nah, she was up by more in the last SUSA poll

Last SUSA poll had her up 55-39. So this poll shows Obama gaining a little bit of ground, not Hillary pulling away. Still, it's a little worrisome for Obama supporters.

[Secret_Society]

11. Last SUSA had it exactly the same

[democrattotheend]

13. Wrong

From Real Clear Politics:

SurveyUSA 04/25 - 04/27 628 LV 52 43 Clinton +9.0
SurveyUSA 04/11 - 04/13 571 LV 55 39 Clinton +16.0
SurveyUSA 03/29 - 03/31 530 LV 52 43 Clinton +9.0

[book_worm]

16. okay, that's interesting becuz SUSA is saying this poll is showing no change since

'their last poll'???? I wonder why they are ignoring that other poll showing Hillary up by 55-39 taken 4/11-4/13?????

[onenote]

19. actually, what SUSA says is that the result is identical to a poll taken four weeks ago

not that its the same as the last poll they took (which was 2 weeks ago):

No Clear Trend in Indiana -- Clinton Ends April Just As She Started: In a Democratic Primary in Indiana today, 04/28/08, 8 days until votes are counted, Hillary Clinton finishes ahead of Barack Obama, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WHAS-TV in Louisville and WCPO-TV in Cincinnati. The results are identical to a SurveyUSA TV poll released 4 weeks ago, on 04/01/08. Clinton led then 52% to 43%, leads now 52% to 43%. Other polls show the contest closer; some polls show Obama ahead. SurveyUSA tracking graphs show movement toward Clinton in the middle of April but offsetting movement to Obama at the end of April. This back-and-forth can be seen clearly on the interactive tracking graphs for males, for Democrats, for pro-choice voters, and for residents of greater Indianapolis. Clinton's advantage is steady among women, steady among voters age 50+, and steady in Southern Indiana, which borders Kentucky. Obama is gaining ground among voters under 50, where he leads for the first time; among liberals, where he leads for the first time; in Northern Indiana, where he is tied for the first time; and in Central Indiana, where he has cut Clinton's lead in half. Clinton, by contrast, is making steady inroads among Independent voters.

[TheDoorbellRang]

17. Here's the three they've done there. Two weeks ago Clinton was +16

SurveyUSA 04/25 - 04/27 628 LV 52 43 Clinton +9.0
SurveyUSA 04/11 - 04/13 571 LV 55 39 Clinton +16.0
SurveyUSA 03/29 - 03/31 530 LV 52 43 Clinton +9.0

I'm beginning to loathe polls, myself. There hasn't been one that's been right on the money in any of the contest.

[onenote]

18. only if by "pulling away" you mean losing ground

she's down three and Obama is up three since the last susa poll

[anonymous171]

2. Polling in Indiana has been interesting.

[book_worm]

3. here are demos...no clear trends according to susa

No Clear Trend in Indiana -- Clinton Ends April Just As She Started: In a Democratic Primary in Indiana today, 04/28/08, 8 days until votes are counted, Hillary Clinton finishes ahead of Barack Obama, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WHAS-TV in Louisville and WCPO-TV in Cincinnati. The results are identical to a SurveyUSA TV poll released 4 weeks ago, on 04/01/08. Clinton led then 52% to 43%, leads now 52% to 43%. Other polls show the contest closer; some polls show Obama ahead. SurveyUSA tracking graphs show movement toward Clinton in the middle of April but offsetting movement to Obama at the end of April. This back-and-forth can be seen clearly on the interactive tracking graphs for males, for Democrats, for pro-choice voters, and for residents of greater Indianapolis. Clinton's advantage is steady among women, steady among voters age 50+, and steady in Southern Indiana, which borders Kentucky. Obama is gaining ground among voters under 50, where he leads for the first time; among liberals, where he leads for the first time; in Northern Indiana, where he is tied for the first time; and in Central Indiana, where he has cut Clinton's lead in half. Clinton, by contrast, is making steady inroads among Independent

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=fbedb864-ec9d-47ab-87f2-c41203a87585&q=45558

[Independent-Voter]

14. So basically, HRC's support consists of old white women and rednecks. Oh joy.

[oasis]

5. Super delegate k&r

[MethuenProgressive]

8. Poll taken before Pastor Wright-palooza.

Why can't Axelrod get Pastor Wright to shut up?

[cliffordu]

10. Uh, because they know your opinion is worthless in this matter??

[MadBadger]

9. Shes down 7 points since the last poll.

[aquarius dawning]

12. Wait until we really start polling Kentucky and West Virginia.

Now That's gonna make for some fun. I can't wait.

[jefferson_dem]

15. Hillary 52 (-3), Obama 43 (+4) since last SUSA poll, prior to PA

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=fbedb864-ec9d-47ab-87f2-c41203a87585&q=45558

[grantcart]

20. thanks for the link

[1776Forever]

21. SurveyUSA only one with Clinton ahead! Check it out!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Indiana Democratic Primary
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample Clinton Obama Spread
RCP Average 04/14 - 04/27 - 45.5 45.5 Tie
SurveyUSA 04/25 - 04/27 628 LV 52 43 Clinton +9.0
Research 2000 04/23 - 04/24 400 LV 47 48 Obama +1.0
Indy Star/Selzer04/20 - 04/23 535 LV 38 41 Obama +3.0
Downs Center 04/14 - 04/16 578 LV 45 50 Obama +5.0