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gabeana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 03:11 PM
Original message
for all you that think Hill is more electable because of 1 poll
Electoral-Vote now has a map color-coded for which candidate does better against McCain.
Clinton does better than Obama in 6 states totalling 92 electoral votes.

Obama does better than Clinton in 15 states totalling 164 electoral votes

dailykos.com

http://www.electoral-vote.com/
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Deep13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 03:13 PM
Response to Original message
1. There's a lot of concern around here about what HC supporters think.
One might even suppose that it mattered.
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MADem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 03:36 PM
Response to Reply #1
14. The suppression efforts are interesting. A bit unseemly, certainly not
in the HOPE CHANGE BELIEVE tradition, either. I don't think Obama would approve of much of it, actually.

I'm upbeat as all get-out, though. I think Clinton is doing well. Still, she rises, despite all of the crap flung at her. What strength, and stamina!
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Deep13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 04:16 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. Well, hope, change and (*gag*) believe is for the masses.
Campaign tactics are another matter. I think he not only approves of the smear campaign but is directing it. When all these people all over the internet are repeating the same things over and over, it is pretty clear they are reading from the same script.
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MADem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 04:28 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. It's not working, though. It's flopsweat desperate. In fact, every time I see the Team Obama
deviate from the HOPE CHANGE BELIEVE/YES WE CAN themes--and they are doing that CONSTANTLY, of late--I find it invigorating.

I think that Axlerod guy isn't as swift as some give think. This kind of crap backfires, particularly when the campaign cornerstone is anything and everthing other than "politics as usual." Rovian tactics don't work well against that "New Day, New Politics" backdrop. Cognitive dissonance takes over.
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leftofcool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 03:13 PM
Response to Original message
2. Is Obama going to take all 15 of those states in the GE?
I don't think so
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gabeana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 03:17 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. I doubt texas and probably nebraska but in the
others I think yes

do you think Hillary wins WV. KY, and Florida
I doubt it
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 03:19 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. He is losing PA, OH, FL, WV, & MO according to that map. While Hillary is winning those states.
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Deep13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 03:23 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Yeah, that's kinda how I see it too.
National trends are meaningless if ones supporters are in the wrong states.
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 03:18 PM
Response to Original message
4. Who cares about "does better" when they lose that state.
Based on that map.

Hillary wins in PA, FL, OH, WV & MO while he loses. The election is over right there.

Obama wins CO & MI while Hillary loses there. He also wins WI while Hillary ties.


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Milo_Bloom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 03:23 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Clinton wins Florida.. LMAO!!!
Not a chance.
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Deep13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 03:24 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. Well, she seems to be the only D. who gives a shit about them right now.
And LMAO is not an argument.
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Milo_Bloom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 03:26 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. LMAO is a reaction to a silly statement.
Edited on Mon Apr-28-08 03:27 PM by Milo_Bloom
Clinton doesn't care any more about florida than anyone else.

However, she has absolutely 0 chance of winning it. Florida will go for McCain no matter who the dem is.
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Deep13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 03:29 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. prove it.
Edited on Mon Apr-28-08 03:30 PM by Deep13
If it is a silly statement, the evidence must be at your fingertips. Otherwise, you are denigrating another D. (I mean the poster, not HC) for no reason but to shut that person up. And you people wonder why we are pissed off enough to swear off Obama in the GE.

PS How the hell do you know what she cares about?
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Milo_Bloom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 03:33 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. She voted for the war.
Thus, I know she cares for nothing but her own political future.


This poster is taking a poll from a 3 way contest and extrapolating it into a 2 way contest, which gives the poll about as much validity as reading tea-leaves.
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 03:32 PM
Response to Reply #6
11. The OP is the one who brought up the source. Take it up with them.
Hillary has held her own vs. McCain in FL

Poll	       Date	   Sample   McCain (R)  Clinton (D)  Und  Spread
RCP Average 03/15 - 04/10 - 44.3 44.0 9.7 McCain +0.3
Rasmussen 04/10 - 04/10 500 LV 44 45 11 Clinton +1.0
Quinnipiac 03/24 - 03/31 1136 RV 42 44 8 Clinton +2.0
PPP (D) 03/15 - 03/16 618 LV 47 43 10 McCain +4.0
Rasmussen 03/12 - 03/12 500 LV 47 40 13 McCain +7.0
SurveyUSA 02/26 - 02/28 633 RV 42 51 7 Clinton +9.0
Mason-Dixon 02/21 - 02/24 625 RV 49 40 11 McCain +9.0
Rasmussen 02/16 - 02/16 500 LV 49 43 8 McCain +6.0
Quinnipiac 02/06 - 02/12 1009 LV 44 42 9 McCain +2.0
Quinnipiac 11/26 - 12/03 1124 RV 40 47 13 Clinton +7.0
St. Pete Times 11/04 - 11/07 800 RV 48 47 6 McCain +1.0
SurveyUSA 10/24 - 10/24 511 RV 46 49 5 Clinton +3.0
Quinnipiac 10/17 - 10/22 1025 RV 43 44 6 Clinton +1.0
Quinnipiac 10/01 - 10/08 869 RV 42 46 6 Clinton +4.0
Quinnipiac 09/03 - 09/09 1141 RV 40 45 9 Clinton +5.0
Rasmussen 08/09 - 08/09 500 LV 38 52 2 Clinton +14.0


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_mccain_vs_clinton-417.html

Especially compared to Obama

Poll	     Date	   Sample  McCain (R)  Obama (D)  Und  Spread
RCP Average 03/15 - 04/10 - 49.7 38.0 9.7 McCain +11.7
Rasmussen 04/10 - 04/10 500 LV 53 38 9 McCain +15.0
Quinnipiac 03/24 - 03/31 1136 RV 46 37 9 McCain +9.0
PPP (D) 03/15 - 03/16 618 LV 50 39 11 McCain +11.0
Rasmussen 03/12 - 03/12 500 LV 47 43 10 McCain +4.0
SurveyUSA 02/26 - 02/28 632 RV 47 45 8 McCain +2.0
Mason-Dixon 02/21 - 02/24 625 RV 47 37 16 McCain +10.0
Rasmussen 02/16 - 02/16 500 LV 53 37 10 McCain +16.0
Quinnipiac 02/06 - 02/12 1009 LV 41 39 12 McCain +2.0
St. Pete Times 11/04 - 11/07 800 RV 47 45 9 McCain +2.0
Quinnipiac 10/17 - 10/22 1025 RV 42 42 9 Tie
Quinnipiac 10/01 - 10/08 869 RV 41 39 11 McCain +2.0
Quinnipiac 09/03 - 09/09 1141 RV 42 39 11 McCain +3.0


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_mccain_vs_obama-418.html



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Milo_Bloom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-28-08 03:34 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. *SIGH*
And for your proof you offer polls that are all over the place?

And worse, you try to turn a 3 way contest into a 2 way contest.


Man, people have gone completely silly these days.
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