Color Jersey dark blue for both Dems

[Jersey Devil]

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling/admin/polls/MUP16_1.pdf

Monmouth University/Gannett poll:

Obama (D) 56%, McCain (R) 32%
Clinton (D) 52%, McCain (R) 38%

Lautenberg also in good shape:

The Senate Race
Despite New Jersey voters’ stated preference for a change of face, all signs point to Frank
Lautenberg being in a strong position for re-election in both the primary and general elections.
Overall, 48% of registered voters in the Garden State approve of the job Frank
Lautenberg is doing in the United States Senate, another 31% disapprove and 21% have no
opinion.

Jersey voters have buyers' remorse on 10 pt Clinton win on Super Tuesday and now have moved to Obama:

Clinton bested Obama in the New Jersey presidential primary on February 5th by a 54%
to 44% margin. However, the ongoing nomination contest seems to have given some Garden
State Democrats second thoughts. Currently, more Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents say they would like to see Obama (45%) rather than Clinton (38%) get the party’s
nomination.
“It appears that less than three months after giving Hillary Clinton a 10 point victory in
the state’s primary, some New Jersey voters feel buyer’s remorse,” said poll director Patrick
Murray. “Many state Democrats are concerned that the prolonged battle could hobble their
party’s eventual nominee in November.”

[rinsd]

1. Good. Polling in NJ for Clinton & Obama has been too close for my comfort.

1st vs Rudy then vs McCain.

[democrattotheend]

4. I agree. Glad to see them both with healthy leads.

Although the poll looks a little unrealistic to me. Obama wins men by 22 points...Kerry lost men by 1 point in New Jersey in 2004. Still, I have been discomforted by the closeness of some New Jersey polls, so this is good news.

[rinsd]

7. Could be an outlier.

We'll have to wait for the next poll to see.

[high density]

2. Didn't somebody release a poll a few months ago that showed NJ being a swing state?

:rofl:

[PM7nj]

3. NJ always pretends to be a swing state...

there were polls showing Bush winning here in 2004.

[democrattotheend]

5. I know! It's SO frustrating!

I wanted to vote in DC for a long time when I was in college, but people always scared me into voting in NJ because they thought it might be competitive, and it never ended up being competitive. Now that I have graduated and moved to Northern Virginia I changed my registration, because I refuse to get scared into worrying about NJ again, and I want to help turn Virginia blue!

[rinsd]

6. Other polling has shown NJ to be closer

Obama v McCain http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nj/new_jersey_mccain_vs_obama-250.html

Hillary v McCain http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nj/new_jersey_mccain_vs_clinton-249.html