GOP polling firm says undecideds likely to break for Kerry!!

[MoonRiver]

Then predict more bad news for AWOL!! :bounce:

snip-In recent polls, there is a "sizable gap" between his job approval score and his share of the vote.-snip

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2004/07/15/undecided_voters_likely_to_break_for_kerry.html

[NMDemDist2]

1. they do ususally break against the incumbant in most elections

either you're happy with the job (therefore you have decided already) or not

[bluestateguy]

2. That is what happened in 1980

People forget that that was a close race right on up to election day.

[Jack Rabbit]

5. That's the same pattern I see

I bleieve the result will be more or less the same: Kerry will defeat Bush by about a 10% margine, the same margine by which Reagan defeated Carter. I also believe that much of that will come in the final days before the election.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

8. If Kerry can keep his momentum and do his "thing" that....

he did in the Fall of 1996, then he could win in this manner:

Kerry: 54%
Bush: 43%
Others: 3%

It's a stretch, but I'd love to see it turn out this way.

[elperromagico]

9. And remember what he accomplished in Iowa.

Kerry is by no means an amateur when it comes to politics. The '96 Senate race and this year's primaries prove that.

[osaMABUSh]

3. Couple of things to note:

I you read the links to this Repub pollster there a couple notable points:

1) The is a battleground state poll - not nationwide

2) The undecideds have pretty much decided they don't like Bush and the direction of the country and the economy

3) Our donations are being well spent as the word is getting out: Undecideds have heard/seen more about Kerry than Bush in political ads, etc.


http://www.fabmac.com/FMA-2004-07-08-Undecideds.pdf

http://www.fabmac.com/FMA-2004-07-14-Approval-Gap.pdf

[Cha]

4. You bet they will because bush quagmire is only getting

more Mired.

[Cocoa]

6. recommends that Bush go MORE negative

:wow:

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. I Remain Cautiously Optimistic...

NT

[grasswire]

10. read the "confidential" memo at the link!

8.8 percent of those who say they approve of Bush's job performance do not plan to vote for him. That's why the numbers are skewed, always!

They recommend that Bush go negative to win this 8.8 percent.

[emulatorloo]

11. I know I'll be sorry I asked this, but how much more NEGATIVE can he go?

The latest TV ad tells me Kerry wants to kill fetuses.

The bush website is nothing but Kerry Bashing.

Then there was that web ad "Coalition of the Wild Eyed" comparing dems to hitler.

I know that they have no shame, so I guess we are in for quite a ride.