Zogby: Good news for Kerry.

[MallRat]

Go to http://www.electoral-vote.com for a graphic representation of these results.

Zogby Battleground States Poll (July 19-23)
AR: Bush +2.8
FL: Bush +0.1 (this is a 7-point swing in Bush's favor since 7/12)
IA:Kerry +1.8
MI: Kerry +8.7 (Kerry gains 3 points)
MN: Kerry +6.4
MO: Kerry +0.7 (Bush gains 2 points)
NV: Kerry +0.6 (Kerry gains 4 points)
NH: Kerry +4.6 (Bush gains 4.5 points)
NM: Kerry +9.8
OH: Bush +1.3 (Bush gains 2 points)
OR: Kerry +9.2
PA: Kerry +6.5
TN: Kerry +2.2 (Kerry gains 2 points!!!)
WA: Kerry +7.6
WV: Bush +3.9 (Kerry gains 5 points)
WI: Kerry +4.3 (Bush gains 5 points)

-MR

[proud patriot]

1. I participated in the last Zogby poll

:hi: California is in the house

[papau]

2. Kerry 291 I like!

State EV Kerry Bush Nader Date ¡Ý10 5-9 <5 Tie <5 5-9 ¡Ý10 Poll source
Alabama 9 38 52 Jun 30 9 Rasmussen
Alaska 3 33 56 5 Jun 30 3 Dittman Research
Arizona 10 42 41 Jul 18 10 Arizona State Univ.
Arkansas 6 45 47 2 Jul 23 6 Zogby
California 55 49 38 5 Jul 25 55 Survey USA
Colorado 9 43 48 3 Jun 18 9 Mason-Dixon
Connecticut 7 50 32 9 Jun 28 7 Quinnipiac Univ.
Delaware 3 55 42 3 (none) 3 2000 Election
D.C. 3 89 9 5 (none) 3 2000 Election
Florida 27 48 49 1 Jul23 27 Zogby
Georgia 15 38 51 1 Jul 11 15 Strategic Vision
Hawaii 4 56 37 6 (none) 4 2000 Election
Idaho 4 25 55 6 Jun 14 4 Greg Smith
Illinois 21 53 37 1 Jun 30 21 Rasmussen
Indiana 11 27 46 Jul 12 11 Market Research Inf.
Iowa 7 49 48 1 Jul 23 7 Zogby
Kansas 6 36 56 Jun 30 6 Survey USA
Kentucky 8 39 52 Jun 8 8 Survey USA
Louisiana 9 36 52 Jul 20 9 Market Research
Maine 4 46 45 5 Jun 30 4 Rasmussen
Maryland 10 53 39 Jun 30 10 Rasmussen
Massachusetts 12 59 30 2 Jul 18 12 Suffolk University
Michigan 17 53 44 1 Jul 23 17 Zogby
Minnesota 10 47 47 2 Jul 24 10 Strategic Vision
Mississippi 6 30 61 1 Apr 21 6 MS State Univ.
Missouri 11 49 48 2 Jul 23 11 Zogby
Montana 3 33 53 6 May 26 3 Mason-Dixon
Nebraska 5 33 62 4 (none) 5 2000 Election
Nevada 5 47 46 1 Jul 23 5 Zogby
New Hampshire 4 47 42 3 Jul 23 4 Zogby
New Jersey 15 51 41 3 Jun 30 15 Rasmussen
New Mexico 5 52 42 1 Jul 23 5 Zogby
New York 31 51 29 Jul 15 31 Siena Coll. Res. Inst.
North Carolina 15 44 49 Jul 14 15 Research 2000
North Dakota 3 33 61 3 (none) 3 2000 Election
Ohio 20 47 48 1 Jul 23 20 Zogby
Oklahoma 7 35 59 Jul 12 7 Consumer Logic
Oregon 7 52 43 1 Jul 23 7 Zogby
Pennsylvania 21 52 45 1 Jul 23 21 Zogby
Rhode Island 4 53 31 Feb 4 4 Rhode Island College
South Carolina 8 44 51 Jul 12 8 Survey USA
South Dakota 3 35 51 4 May 21 3 Zogby
Tennessee 11 49 47 1 Jul 23 11 Zogby
Texas 34 37 55 4 Jun 30 34 Rasmussen
Utah 5 22 67 3 May 13 5 Dan Jones
Vermont 3 51 36 4 May 5 3 Research 2000
Virginia 13 45 50 Jul 8 13 Survey USA
Washington 11 52 44 2 Jul 23 11 Zogby
West Virginia 5 44 48 2 Jul 23 5 Zogby
Wisconsin 10 50 46 1 Jul 23 10 Zogby
Wyoming 3 28 68 2 (none) 3 2000 Election
Sums 173 60 58 10 58 45 134 538
Updated July 27
Projected Kerry Bush Sum
electoral votes 291 237 528

[lancdem]

4. And that includes every state where Bush or Kerry has a

tiny lead. For instance, Ohio and Florida are definite tossups.

[Massacure]

7. What is with Iowa? 46 and 27 only equals 73.

Also looks like Kerry needs to get going in Minnesota.

[lancdem]

3. This is good news

Glad to see Bush's leads in Florida and Ohio are minuscule. Do you have a link?

[Seabiscuit]

10. I can't believe that Ohio

will go for Bush - it's one of the states hardest hit by Bush's economic and tax policies.

I don't believe in polls. The Iowa caucus proved all the pollsters were completely out to lunch.

[RummyTheDummy]

5. Are these interactive polls?

I hope not. I don;t have a whole lot of faith in those.

[funky_bug]

8. You must register to participate in a Zogby poll

You register your e-mail address, and they invite you to participate. I suppose someone might be able to participate with multiple e-mail addresses, but it's certainly not a "clean your browser and vote again" kind of poll. I participated in this one last week. They took their time, and I think it is very encouraging to see these results! Just wait until AFTER the convention!!!!!

[quaoar]

6. Kerry up in Tennessee

What about all the folks who have been saying that Kerry should blow off the South?

[PROGRESSIVE1]

9. .